Likely-Medication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$995

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-27 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 62% +$12

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$92	141	86	+56	open	—	04-29 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$86	409	71	+337	open	—	04-29 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$76	109	109	+0	open	—	04-29 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$71	102	52	+50	open	—	04-29 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$58	56	56	+0	open	—	04-29 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$50	183	0	+183	open	—	04-29 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$49	198	32	+167	open	—	04-29 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$49	122	45	+76	open	—	04-29 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$40	52	52	+0	open	—	04-29 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$37	41	41	+0	open	—	04-29 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$36	78	32	+46	open	—	04-29 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$30	121	0	+121	open	—	04-29 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$24	27	27	+0	open	—	04-29 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$23	316	0	+316	open	—	04-29 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$20	118	0	+118	open	—	04-29 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$20	54	0	+54	open	—	04-29 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$20	65	0	+65	open	—	04-29 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$20	68	0	+68	open	—	04-29 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$18	0	81	-81	Down	+$18	05-07 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$16	29	12	+17	Down	+$4	05-07 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$15	47	0	+47	open	—	04-29 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$12	32	0	+32	open	—	04-29 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$11	42	0	+42	open	—	05-27 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$10	225	0	+225	open	—	04-29 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$10	39	0	+39	open	—	04-29 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-29 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	04-29 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	04-29 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$7	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 14:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0xc05dae…
05-08 16:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0x4ea4b9…
05-08 16:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x6b555a…
05-07 14:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xccb85a…
05-07 14:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0xc5ca7b…
05-07 14:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa98782…
05-07 14:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x279172…
05-07 14:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2d5b09…
05-07 14:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x86d59c…
05-07 14:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xac86b9…
05-07 14:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa36556…
05-07 14:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5c575a…
05-07 13:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x6244bd…
05-07 13:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	81	22¢	$18	0x06829c…
05-07 13:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x53b0ed…
05-07 13:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x317d14…
04-29 23:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x11bc13…
04-29 23:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xabdf01…
04-29 23:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	52	51¢	$27	0x6e9f92…
04-29 23:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0x03c6f5…
04-29 23:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x9280fa…
04-29 23:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x5cde3d…
04-29 23:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	109	42¢	$46	0x0bfed9…
04-29 23:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	109	28¢	$30	0x538a1e…
04-29 22:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc477d1…
04-29 22:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	52	83¢	$43	0x64b774…
04-29 22:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0x6664d4…
04-29 22:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x5d3677…
04-29 22:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	56	68¢	$38	0xc2cbbe…
04-29 22:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x11b52a…
04-29 22:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	60¢	$16	0x62db77…
04-29 22:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	31¢	$8	0x6b6c4e…
04-29 22:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x40e8a7…
04-29 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xb3b8de…
04-29 22:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	79¢	$14	0xac0646…
04-29 22:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x96f11f…
04-29 22:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf47227…
04-29 22:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x449822…
04-29 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xdd6752…
04-29 22:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1e002e…
04-29 22:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	86	66¢	$57	0xda217e…
04-29 22:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x454a5f…
04-29 22:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xbe4c58…
04-29 22:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x074d3a…
04-29 22:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0x39c642…
04-29 22:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9ae746…
04-29 21:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x162a95…
04-29 21:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x8d251a…
04-29 21:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0x941d80…
04-29 21:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x0eec24…
04-29 21:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	337	1¢	$5	0x3fe0b3…
04-29 21:32:32	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xe33849…
04-29 21:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	71	78¢	$56	0x854b95…
04-29 21:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x268b4e…
04-29 21:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x3bd760…
04-29 21:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x880fe9…
04-29 20:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xedad75…
04-29 19:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcac687…
04-29 15:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	263	1¢	$3	0x9eb363…
04-29 15:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x39a487…
04-29 15:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0xd1a99a…
04-29 15:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x471122…
04-29 15:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2d6ba7…
04-29 15:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x1e6b45…
04-29 15:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x34eced…
04-29 15:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x6391bc…
04-29 15:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	45	63¢	$29	0x41dc9d…
04-29 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x7e887c…
04-29 15:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb02899…
04-29 12:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x436359…
04-29 12:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x211c6c…
04-29 12:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x10b3aa…
04-29 12:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0xb89844…
04-29 12:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2e5e2c…
04-29 12:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x729fb5…
04-29 12:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x835000…
04-29 11:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x870177…
04-29 11:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x34a5d1…
04-29 07:30:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xff7bd2…
04-28 14:18:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7aca46…
04-28 14:13:46	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1f4c46…
04-28 13:30:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6b527c…