Actual-Gondola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$132

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-13 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 37% $-14

Sports

8% 100% +$2

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-11	$-0	2¢	$-0	+$0	06-13 14:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$10	10	10	+0	Sean Brady	+$2	05-09 19:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-10	05-10 19:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	Down	+$3	05-09 04:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	6	$6	17	0	+17	Down	$-6	05-09 05:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 19:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$5	102	2	+100	Up	$-1	05-10 19:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	Up	$-5	05-09 02:06
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$4	206	0	+206	Down	$-4	05-10 19:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 15:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$3	50	25	+25	Down	+$1	05-09 03:44
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	1	$3	100	0	+100	open	—	05-09 01:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	3	$3	142	0	+142	Up	$-3	05-09 03:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$3	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	05-09 05:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 18:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 14:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$2	82	0	+82	Down	$-2	05-10 19:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-09 06:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-10 19:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-10 18:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-09 05:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	05-09 05:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-10 19:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	Down	+$6	05-09 04:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$2	117	0	+117	Down	$-2	05-09 02:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	05-09 03:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-09 05:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-10 19:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-09 05:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$2	11	0	+11	Up	$-2	05-09 04:02
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 14:24:00	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x1c0245…
06-13 14:22:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x9732bd…
05-10 19:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe0bd6c…
05-10 19:35:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2e8d61…
05-10 19:33:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x56423f…
05-10 19:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xadb59e…
05-10 19:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5f43b7…
05-10 19:28:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8d6b6d…
05-10 19:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe44d1…
05-10 19:25:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4ec10a…
05-10 19:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa6e6a5…
05-10 19:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x43d54a…
05-10 19:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x5c9a78…
05-10 19:14:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x94bf75…
05-10 19:10:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xae9fcd…
05-10 19:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x11b8fe…
05-10 19:04:01	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x66485b…
05-10 19:00:15	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x16b4e0…
05-10 18:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4f73c0…
05-10 18:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe856cc…
05-10 18:45:52	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x21d04d…
05-10 18:45:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7571d6…
05-10 18:44:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x561c34…
05-10 18:33:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x24a0b8…
05-10 18:32:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9d24a7…
05-10 15:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x701642…
05-10 15:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x042360…
05-10 15:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x545ec6…
05-10 14:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x52d239…
05-10 14:35:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x267ea5…
05-09 19:46:12	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x26e684…
05-09 06:00:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa55934…
05-09 06:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x548b65…
05-09 05:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x31cee4…
05-09 05:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6a1836…
05-09 05:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe00acc…
05-09 05:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9615a5…
05-09 05:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf11752…
05-09 05:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda4c38…
05-09 05:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc2cf82…
05-09 05:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xce2527…
05-09 05:36:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4b3bd6…
05-09 05:35:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe8acad…
05-09 05:30:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdc93b9…
05-09 05:25:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x00a93d…
05-09 05:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcb011c…
05-09 05:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x89c1e9…
05-09 05:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfbf60f…
05-09 05:25:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2985e9…
05-09 05:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1de12f…
05-09 05:22:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd0db12…
05-09 05:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa43851…
05-09 05:10:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc0f7f0…
05-09 05:06:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb50ec6…
05-09 05:06:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9f3586…
05-09 04:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xf63cf0…
05-09 04:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xac65b1…
05-09 04:46:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x0ee41d…
05-09 04:32:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x781d09…
05-09 04:31:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x86f1f2…
05-09 04:31:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcd9f7c…
05-09 04:20:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0323eb…
05-09 04:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe08994…
05-09 04:12:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x239d5e…
05-09 04:12:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xabddc6…
05-09 04:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ade97…
05-09 04:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x480e6c…
05-09 04:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa77611…
05-09 03:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2f8ecd…
05-09 03:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd99d1e…
05-09 03:54:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc01ac3…
05-09 03:50:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9e9879…
05-09 03:48:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbffbe1…
05-09 03:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xd78a35…
05-09 03:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf8806d…
05-09 03:36:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x18c19f…
05-09 03:35:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb74dd8…
05-09 03:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3ea1fb…
05-09 03:27:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1c0436…
05-09 03:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb2d88e…
05-09 03:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x234b52…
05-09 02:59:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4923cf…
05-09 02:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x83017b…
05-09 02:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8173af…
05-09 02:31:34	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa87172…
05-09 02:29:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x35d4a4…
05-09 02:06:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb3315b…
05-09 01:40:49	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7ac25e…
05-09 01:15:06	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x514672…