Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.1%

Resolved

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$6.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-24 05:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

77% 100% +$1

Other

20% 50% +$4

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	52	$2.7K	0	5,542	-5,542	open	—	04-12 14:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	42	$1.2K	0	2,400	-2,400	open	—	04-14 13:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$805	410	410	+0	open	—	04-16 13:10
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	6	$750	400	400	+0	open	—	04-15 12:43
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	9	$516	267	267	+0	No	+$1	04-16 14:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$242	200	200	+0	open	—	04-17 02:26
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	17	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	04-17 07:23
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	14	$137	160	160	+0	open	—	04-20 21:25
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	6	$120	80	80	+0	Yes	+$5	04-17 07:30
Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	2	$78	40	40	+0	Yes	$-0	04-17 07:32
Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	6	$68	92	92	+0	open	—	04-17 08:04
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$59	20	40	-20	open	—	04-17 07:29
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 5M in Q1?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	04-16 10:21
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-24 05:26
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.2M in Q1?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 08:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 03:29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-12 03:18
Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?	7	$1	60	0	+60	open	—	04-15 17:44
ufc son sea1 2026 01 24	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 05:59
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-13 05:23
ufc der wal2 2026 01 24	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-21 05:59
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 05:26:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x51d310…
05-13 05:23:50	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6ccdf1…
04-20 21:25:26	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xeea0a9…
04-18 18:32:38	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xe700e9…
04-18 18:28:04	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x01fa25…
04-18 17:51:52	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x0e8e8e…
04-18 04:10:48	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	41	41¢	$17	0xf9f980…
04-17 08:56:44	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x9780a2…
04-17 08:04:26	Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xe8c599…
04-17 07:36:14	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	37	43¢	$16	0x91702b…
04-17 07:32:44	Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x951f98…
04-17 07:30:12	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xbb75b2…
04-17 07:29:14	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xb8a7fa…
04-17 07:23:56	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0x64f188…
04-17 07:12:26	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xe77662…
04-17 07:02:42	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x04a4b3…
04-17 06:48:12	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x16ee68…
04-17 06:47:36	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x04d86c…
04-17 06:42:28	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbe8a6f…
04-17 06:35:50	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x01dc22…
04-17 06:32:42	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x51f487…
04-17 05:38:06	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb8313b…
04-17 05:24:20	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0c4897…
04-17 05:18:56	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe331fd…
04-17 05:16:30	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb56462…
04-17 04:42:28	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x21d83e…
04-17 04:28:30	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0x638059…
04-17 03:29:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xfb6be4…
04-17 02:26:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x3cf9eb…
04-16 18:14:38	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$15	0xefd245…
04-16 18:14:30	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xeeef09…
04-16 18:14:30	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x3a582f…
04-16 18:14:28	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xd1574a…
04-16 15:49:22	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1bc600…
04-16 15:27:08	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x981860…
04-16 15:27:08	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	80	91¢	$72	0x7b643f…
04-16 15:27:08	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	75	43¢	$32	0x0f1ca7…
04-16 15:22:12	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$9	0x539175…
04-16 15:22:12	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4142d1…
04-16 14:29:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x249fe4…
04-16 14:00:10	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	92	98¢	$89	0x1eb6b3…
04-16 13:40:22	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x536749…
04-16 13:19:54	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xe862b7…
04-16 13:10:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	116	98¢	$114	0x8d171a…
04-16 13:05:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0xee79a0…
04-16 12:50:02	Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xc674d6…
04-16 10:22:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x919644…
04-16 10:21:32	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 5M in Q1?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x556be0…
04-16 10:19:04	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x04e081…
04-16 08:41:58	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.2M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5483b9…
04-16 07:57:46	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xb1a4d2…
04-16 07:52:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xebbc78…
04-16 04:18:34	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 5M in Q1?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x48a037…
04-16 03:57:44	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	45	44¢	$20	0xdd400a…
04-15 22:37:14	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x38d625…
04-15 22:37:12	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x78d547…
04-15 22:37:12	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x2fefab…
04-15 20:26:58	Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0x237862…
04-15 20:06:04	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xf85f8b…
04-15 17:44:24	Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xecc620…
04-15 17:44:24	Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x187c65…
04-15 16:42:20	Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2feae1…
04-15 16:38:48	Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x5a893c…
04-15 16:17:06	Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc538f8…
04-15 16:02:40	Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa74006…
04-15 15:49:32	Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x1102ed…
04-15 14:24:36	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x7a1b38…
04-15 14:16:20	Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xc8a9e3…
04-15 14:10:06	Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x16f98f…
04-15 14:06:08	Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	25	85¢	$22	0x9e33a2…
04-15 13:47:18	Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$22	0x107c6c…
04-15 13:10:42	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x462657…
04-15 12:43:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x09a1d0…
04-15 12:39:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	185	95¢	$176	0x853bc9…
04-15 12:35:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x98c180…
04-15 12:23:20	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0xa9fe17…
04-15 12:21:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xc40c42…
04-15 12:18:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x7c8a62…
04-15 12:03:46	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x840985…
04-15 12:00:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	153	94¢	$143	0x967795…
04-15 12:00:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0x68822e…
04-15 11:59:22	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x63b2c8…
04-15 11:43:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0x6210e9…
04-14 13:44:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	53	26¢	$14	0x748cf3…
04-14 05:47:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xafa783…
04-14 05:46:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x15ec89…
04-14 05:39:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	116	30¢	$35	0x11b27a…
04-14 04:18:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	200	72¢	$143	0x297c2d…
04-13 13:50:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$105	0x613101…
04-13 11:40:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	200	47¢	$93	0x1511a6…
04-13 08:34:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd42326…
04-12 14:09:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	200	60¢	$121	0x0dc596…
04-12 13:29:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$79	0xa721ac…
04-12 13:01:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$73	0x027ccc…
04-12 12:53:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x8adc60…
04-12 12:42:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	200	49¢	$97	0xe2795b…
04-12 12:03:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	200	50¢	$101	0xa68cc4…
04-12 11:29:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$107	0xbc9f79…
04-12 11:21:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	200	47¢	$95	0xa486a3…
04-12 10:16:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	71	46¢	$33	0x3e4e7b…