Friendly-Kale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.15K

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,050

lifetime

Volume

$744.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$709

Open exposure

$13.8K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-30 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

85% 0% $-574

Other

14% 0% $-598

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-13,694	$-13,626	99¢	$-13598	+$28	06-28 18:50
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+228	$-1,897	100¢	$228	+$2,125	06-16 16:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$86.3K	59,765	59,765	+0	open	—	05-30 05:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	27	$59.7K	19,410	47,435	-28,025	open	—	06-01 13:32
iran closes its airspace by june 8	8	$51.2K	31,134	31,134	+0	open	—	06-07 21:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	47	$48.0K	40,928	40,928	+0	open	—	04-08 01:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	98	$47.7K	525,983	26,346	+499,637	open	—	06-17 22:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	11	$47.7K	33,999	33,999	+0	open	—	05-26 17:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	49	$41.3K	26,400	26,400	+0	open	—	06-19 21:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	34	$35.6K	13,315	27,009	-13,694	open	—	06-28 18:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	49	$27.5K	17,196	17,196	+0	open	—	05-25 03:33
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	18	$24.4K	14,105	14,105	+0	open	—	06-18 21:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	34	$21.2K	11,736	11,736	+0	open	—	05-11 06:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$19.0K	26,170	26,170	+0	open	—	02-28 06:56
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	26	$17.6K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	06-29 22:25
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	54	$16.9K	10,100	9,872	+228	open	—	06-16 16:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	16	$16.7K	18,773	6,666	+12,107	open	—	05-23 20:31
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	28	$16.0K	11,893	11,893	+0	open	—	06-18 21:19
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$14.8K	11,344	11,344	+0	open	—	01-14 17:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$12.7K	7,400	7,400	+0	open	—	04-29 04:37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	37	$12.1K	7,500	7,500	+0	open	—	03-08 22:25
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$9.8K	6,600	6,600	+0	open	—	01-14 22:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$9.1K	6,522	6,522	-0	open	—	06-09 16:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$9.0K	7,204	7,204	-0	open	—	06-07 21:10
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$9.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-15 21:40
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	15	$7.9K	6,066	6,066	+0	open	—	06-08 02:55
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$5.9K	3,300	3,300	+0	open	—	04-04 16:37
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$5.8K	14,500	14,500	+0	open	—	05-12 19:42
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	13	$5.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-29 04:13
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	2	$5.3K	2,665	2,665	+0	open	—	04-02 17:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	16	$4.6K	11,440	11,440	+0	No	$-598	04-07 20:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	8	$4.6K	6,666	0	+6,666	open	—	04-29 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 20:09:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	400	22¢	$88	0x516090…
06-29 22:25:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	6,000	85¢	$5,100	0x99388d…
06-29 22:11:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	6,000	85¢	$5,100	0xb3a6b5…
06-28 18:50:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0x56487d…
06-26 06:35:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,796	0x5b1b3e…
06-26 06:02:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5,369	58¢	$3,114	0x36984e…
06-26 05:46:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	90	58¢	$52	0xfdea14…
06-26 05:45:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	39	58¢	$23	0xd01dea…
06-26 05:45:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	46	58¢	$27	0xc6db53…
06-26 05:45:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0x868f3a…
06-26 05:45:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0x82daf7…
06-26 05:45:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	55	58¢	$32	0x4f69d3…
06-26 05:45:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x5bd9f6…
06-26 05:45:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x6240b6…
06-26 05:43:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xbf336a…
06-26 05:43:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x7daafa…
06-26 05:43:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0x0fe487…
06-26 05:43:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x5e4a12…
06-26 05:42:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x2d786b…
06-26 05:42:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x55507a…
06-26 05:42:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd38dee…
06-26 05:40:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6c5560…
06-26 05:40:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xf4cee0…
06-26 05:35:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x9af1aa…
06-26 05:33:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	257	58¢	$149	0x8c1246…
06-25 15:59:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4,351	66¢	$2,872	0x6b0832…
06-25 15:56:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xa06a2b…
06-25 15:55:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x06abce…
06-25 15:55:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,628	66¢	$1,074	0xe4f850…
06-20 16:15:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	4,532	17¢	$763	0x3bde9e…
06-20 02:18:46	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xd878bf…
06-20 01:20:49	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x004e37…
06-20 01:17:35	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total home 3pt5	Over	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x1fd4e5…
06-20 01:17:23	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xb74631…
06-20 01:09:55	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x150faa…
06-19 21:10:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	13,200	94¢	$12,408	0xcb7e1e…
06-19 21:04:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	13,200	92¢	$12,144	0xe9de56…
06-19 20:51:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,400	80¢	$1,120	0xb4556b…
06-19 20:22:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	91	74¢	$67	0x54198b…
06-19 20:22:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xa5f4d2…
06-19 20:21:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	900	74¢	$666	0x92afae…
06-19 20:08:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0x28e09d…
06-19 20:01:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	994	78¢	$775	0xe96811…
06-19 20:01:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6f0b07…
06-19 19:46:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	76¢	$759	0x188fa4…
06-19 19:21:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x4068ab…
06-19 19:21:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0x15c0f4…
06-19 19:21:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf19f92…
06-19 19:21:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xe72963…
06-19 19:21:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x144a38…
06-19 19:21:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa90f19…
06-19 19:20:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xbf6050…
06-19 19:20:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x2caffc…
06-19 19:20:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x559d63…
06-19 19:20:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x874257…
06-19 19:20:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3b2ac7…
06-19 19:20:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x2f56b2…
06-19 19:20:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	161	69¢	$111	0xe13250…
06-19 19:20:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x901baa…
06-19 19:20:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	68	69¢	$47	0x7cb875…
06-19 19:15:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3,521	71¢	$2,500	0x4a49f6…
06-19 19:13:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	447	72¢	$322	0x92ee43…
06-19 19:10:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x7b899a…
06-19 19:10:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x0b5472…
06-19 19:10:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf310f0…
06-19 19:10:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x8a6b37…
06-19 19:10:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb0c7a6…
06-19 19:10:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x0eff42…
06-19 18:35:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	328	55¢	$180	0xcc44eb…
06-19 18:35:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x0e6a88…
06-19 18:06:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x05daed…
06-19 18:03:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb7a9b3…
06-19 18:03:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	361	51¢	$184	0x60bb5c…
06-19 18:03:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$9	0xebf33e…
06-19 18:02:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbb41f7…
06-19 18:02:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5cb797…
06-19 18:02:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x08108e…
06-19 18:02:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x5635fa…
06-19 17:58:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0x7ac4ad…
06-19 17:40:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	58¢	$1,160	0x11a2f2…
06-19 17:17:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc1d41e…
06-19 17:07:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	750	55¢	$413	0x9cd38e…
06-19 17:00:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0xc75788…
06-19 16:59:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3,625	54¢	$1,958	0x7f9f16…
06-19 15:31:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7,225	58¢	$4,220	0xba5f81…
06-19 10:52:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0xc9ac77…
06-19 10:48:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xff1e18…
06-19 10:44:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xdbda6c…
06-19 10:43:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x6c49ea…
06-19 10:43:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x8242e5…
06-19 10:43:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xda9e94…
06-19 10:43:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x79e3ef…
06-19 10:43:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0x324f80…
06-19 10:43:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xce7eb7…
06-19 10:43:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xc39731…
06-19 10:42:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x8e9947…
06-19 10:31:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	12,218	93¢	$11,363	0xec46e3…
06-19 05:30:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	48	88¢	$42	0x8758d8…
06-19 05:29:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x1ccce9…
06-19 05:29:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	38	88¢	$33	0x73feeb…