Hurtful-Causeway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$701

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-11 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$2

Sports

32% 100% +$3

Politics

27% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc raf mau4 2026 01 31	1	$77	157	+157	open	—	01-31 10:17
will qatar strike iran by march 31	1	$43	48	+48	open	—	03-23 06:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$38	54	+54	open	—	04-10 12:00
nba det okc 2026 03 30	1	$38	44	+44	open	—	03-30 07:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$34	126	+126	open	—	02-20 10:41
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	3	$31	33	+33	open	—	06-11 08:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$30	100	+100	open	—	04-21 10:29
lol navi fnc 2026 02 16	1	$30	61	+61	open	—	02-16 07:38
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	1	$29	31	+31	open	—	06-11 08:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$28	68	+68	open	—	04-21 10:30
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	1	$27	39	+39	open	—	05-16 01:17
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$25	29	+29	open	—	05-13 04:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$25	27	+27	No	+$2	05-07 17:18
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$24	26	+26	open	—	05-20 01:52
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$21	35	+35	open	—	05-16 01:18
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	1	$21	40	+40	open	—	06-02 06:21
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$21	24	+24	Thunder	+$3	05-07 17:19
epl liv wes 2026 02 28 liv	1	$20	29	+29	open	—	02-27 11:17
nba cle atl 2026 04 10	1	$20	74	+74	open	—	04-10 08:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$19	21	+21	open	—	05-13 03:03
nba det cha 2026 04 10	1	$17	42	+42	open	—	04-10 08:02
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	1	$16	46	+46	open	—	04-18 11:04
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 ast	1	$15	31	+31	open	—	02-27 11:17
cs2 navi aur1 2026 03 23	1	$15	39	+39	open	—	03-23 06:11
nba phi por 2026 02 09	1	$13	21	+21	open	—	02-09 13:13
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	1	$12	21	+21	open	—	04-18 11:01
lol vit mkoi 2026 02 16	1	$12	20	+20	open	—	02-16 12:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 08:59:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x5cd4b8…
06-11 08:58:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcaa578…
06-11 08:58:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xf10cf1…
06-11 08:57:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xf27d6e…
06-02 06:21:35	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x07c10b…
05-20 01:52:25	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0x026d3d…
05-16 01:18:13	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0xe91a3f…
05-16 01:17:54	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	EDward Gaming	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0x0ef5ff…
05-13 04:37:59	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x1a2824…
05-13 03:03:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x308c02…
05-07 17:19:18	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xa83fb4…
05-07 17:18:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x6cea5a…
04-21 10:30:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0x2f0c6f…
04-21 10:29:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x6b4770…
04-18 11:04:30	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Lakers	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0x12f78b…
04-18 11:01:48	bitcoin above 76k on april 18	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xf01a51…
04-10 12:00:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	54	71¢	$38	0x19eb7c…
04-10 08:02:55	nba cle atl 2026 04 10	Cavaliers	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x21314c…
04-10 08:02:31	nba det cha 2026 04 10	Pistons	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0x69889d…
03-30 07:45:22	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Thunder	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0x8ab5c4…
03-23 06:17:37	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x01a6ff…
03-23 06:11:31	cs2 navi aur1 2026 03 23	Aurora Gaming	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x21a54d…
02-27 11:17:55	epl liv wes 2026 02 28 liv	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x841649…
02-27 11:17:49	epl wol ast 2026 02 27 ast	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x51389b…
02-20 10:41:58	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb8c483…
02-20 10:39:12	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	107	27¢	$29	0x54c864…
02-16 12:00:19	lol vit mkoi 2026 02 16	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x86f72a…
02-16 07:38:01	lol navi fnc 2026 02 16	Natus Vincere	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x80ea28…
02-09 13:13:59	nba phi por 2026 02 09	76ers	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xd0d0b9…
01-31 10:17:42	ufc raf mau4 2026 01 31	Fiziev	BUY	157	49¢	$77	0xc018fb…