Arctic-Supervision-Stonework — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$141

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-18 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	6	$23	21	8	+13	Down	$-9	05-07 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	8	$15	50	6	+44	Down	$-7	05-06 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-12 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$7	8	0	+8	Down	+$1	05-06 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	7	$7	6	5	+2	Up	+$0	05-07 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	Up	+$2	05-06 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-06 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-12 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-06 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$5	4	3	+1	Down	$-1	05-07 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$4	7	0	+7	Down	$-4	05-06 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-06 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$4	3	2	+1	Up	+$1	05-07 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	Down	$-1	05-07 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-12 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-07 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-07 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-06 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-07 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-06 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-06 20:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 16:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc99ea3…
05-12 22:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5e2e16…
05-12 22:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa0ac10…
05-12 22:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6b1b4b…
05-12 19:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1a4c06…
05-07 19:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbb4b56…
05-07 19:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8643c6…
05-07 19:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x95aaa2…
05-07 19:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xfe689e…
05-07 19:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x261713…
05-07 19:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd31017…
05-07 19:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8b0f6d…
05-07 19:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe8df60…
05-07 19:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x19dd96…
05-07 19:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x61df47…
05-07 19:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x5f4179…
05-07 19:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa91216…
05-07 19:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x318d53…
05-07 18:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd7505f…
05-07 18:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x22b378…
05-07 18:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf5bf0e…
05-07 18:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd0be11…
05-07 18:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xc182e7…
05-07 18:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3e9ecf…
05-07 18:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$0	0x8db7db…
05-07 18:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xd542fd…
05-07 18:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x91dc3a…
05-07 18:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcf86ff…
05-07 18:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xc467f4…
05-07 18:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc8a2cf…
05-07 18:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x9d9c27…
05-07 18:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfae919…
05-07 18:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x0e862b…
05-07 18:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf144a4…
05-07 18:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf2bc24…
05-07 18:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6427d5…
05-07 18:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x96f573…
05-07 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd4f44f…
05-07 18:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xd40cb1…
05-07 18:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaa5242…
05-07 18:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x708c41…
05-07 18:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x22e362…
05-07 17:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd2b77c…
05-07 17:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb0d2b4…
05-07 09:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x57b713…
05-07 09:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x56b5bf…
05-07 09:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1d8679…
05-06 21:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x755acf…
05-06 21:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5e0acc…
05-06 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x8aa22e…
05-06 21:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x910550…
05-06 21:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcc5e14…
05-06 21:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaccb7a…
05-06 21:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x35ddd6…
05-06 21:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xee076e…
05-06 21:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x19565a…
05-06 21:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3f8770…
05-06 21:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x739aa5…
05-06 21:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf87bf1…
05-06 21:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xeca878…
05-06 21:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xcbd824…
05-06 20:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbacc07…
05-06 20:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4d080f…
05-06 20:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0ece62…
05-06 20:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x57b2ec…
05-06 20:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x61b7cd…
05-06 20:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8c9af1…
05-06 20:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xea0ea0…
05-06 20:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x089207…
05-06 20:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb10a4e…
05-06 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2d35c4…
05-06 20:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3ceb41…
05-06 20:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x393399…
05-06 20:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd61040…
05-06 20:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3a1a80…
05-06 20:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa44474…
05-06 20:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x62c9c6…