Trim-Discourse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

456

lifetime

Volume

$108.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-08 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

93% 100% +$3

Other

3% 100% +$7

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	270	$81.2K	42,696	40,765	+1,931	open	—	02-02 10:50
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	15	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	01-30 11:58
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$5.2K	2,596	2,596	+0	open	—	01-30 11:56
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-01 06:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	74	$2.2K	2,208	2,208	+0	open	—	01-30 07:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$393	201	201	+0	open	—	04-07 06:37
Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	01-21 11:30
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$260	260	0	+260	open	—	05-17 17:53
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	04-14 06:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	10	$249	250	0	+250	open	—	05-15 07:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$228	230	0	+230	open	—	04-29 11:25
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$219	220	0	+220	open	—	01-29 06:56
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$219	220	0	+220	open	—	01-14 16:20
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$211	110	110	+0	open	—	01-21 07:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	3	$208	210	0	+210	open	—	04-24 06:12
bitcoin above 84k on february 6	1	$202	202	0	+202	open	—	02-06 12:57
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$201	202	0	+202	open	—	01-28 04:14
bitcoin above 56k on february 19	1	$201	201	0	+201	open	—	02-19 05:31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	4	$201	208	0	+208	Hanwha Life Esports	+$7	05-05 08:57
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	1	$201	201	0	+201	open	—	02-06 02:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$201	218	0	+218	open	—	03-21 21:10
Over $500K committed to the Bitway public sale?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	01-25 09:22
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-22 03:47
ethereum above 2500 on february 10	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-10 10:57
ethereum above 1600 on february 11	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-11 11:50
bitcoin above 60k on february 23	1	$200	201	0	+201	open	—	02-23 12:48
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-04 02:19
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	01-11 16:51
lol al lgd 2026 06 05	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	06-05 11:42
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-16 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 04:24:58	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1f3bad…
06-05 11:42:00	lol al lgd 2026 06 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x44500e…
05-27 03:41:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a38e9…
05-27 03:40:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4df91c…
05-27 03:40:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x13ce7a…
05-27 03:40:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb83f5f…
05-17 17:53:08	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x06e6e6…
05-15 07:35:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbea0a9…
05-15 07:33:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x383a58…
05-15 07:33:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x586a2f…
05-15 07:33:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x26ecd5…
05-15 07:33:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x076ebb…
05-15 07:33:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf8743e…
05-15 07:33:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd8d6bd…
05-15 07:33:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb9a3e4…
05-15 07:32:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x469b3e…
05-15 07:32:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xccd535…
05-15 07:32:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7a5fe4…
05-11 09:14:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xfa1eb0…
05-08 09:33:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x950ad1…
05-08 09:27:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x172749…
05-08 09:24:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x332153…
05-05 08:57:44	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x882473…
05-05 08:57:26	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x542f63…
05-05 08:51:52	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa34a92…
05-05 08:51:48	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	73	97¢	$71	0xe26973…
04-29 11:25:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0xaccb49…
04-29 11:19:34	LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x763d7d…
04-24 06:12:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0xb9fe60…
04-24 05:56:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3d1b62…
04-24 05:56:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x06ddfa…
04-22 13:55:38	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x435582…
04-14 06:51:15	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xc2f126…
04-07 06:37:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	201	98¢	$196	0xa05fe2…
04-02 08:28:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	201	98¢	$197	0xffce1b…
03-21 21:10:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	218	92¢	$201	0x3f8d42…
03-21 07:02:41	lol blg jdg 2026 03 21	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x61cf0b…
03-17 05:29:21	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	122	90¢	$110	0x30bfcf…
03-14 11:11:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6ffe29…
03-10 10:34:29	ethereum above 1700 on march 10	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x281a65…
03-06 04:57:49	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x348892…
02-27 15:38:11	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0xe84517…
02-27 15:38:11	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	116	92¢	$107	0x6253e4…
02-27 06:41:44	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x47cdfa…
02-27 06:40:46	will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x01e106…
02-23 12:48:48	bitcoin above 60k on february 23	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x584563…
02-22 03:48:38	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1fb7f7…
02-22 03:47:56	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1e3da3…
02-19 05:32:18	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x303ede…
02-19 05:32:00	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6249dd…
02-19 05:31:38	bitcoin above 56k on february 19	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x1e095b…
02-16 06:06:55	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xef9f36…
02-14 13:45:23	ethereum above 2400 on february 14	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x68ebad…
02-11 11:52:25	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97e6c2…
02-11 11:50:47	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9faa3d…
02-10 10:58:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x822bd0…
02-10 10:57:13	ethereum above 2500 on february 10	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6aa564…
02-06 12:57:37	bitcoin above 84k on february 6	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x257957…
02-06 02:52:59	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x295669…
02-06 02:52:53	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x19823b…
02-06 02:52:27	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x5ceff2…
02-04 02:20:12	Tria FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb4af5…
02-04 02:19:56	Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53b864…
02-04 02:19:42	Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5471f4…
02-02 11:16:34	ethereum above 2700 on february 2	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x7a2b05…
02-02 11:03:18	ethereum above 2700 on february 2	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xbfe924…
02-02 10:50:50	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,020	99¢	$1,007	0x4b95ab…
02-02 10:50:40	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	334	99¢	$330	0x70304a…
02-02 10:50:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	446	99¢	$440	0xc8c420…
02-02 10:32:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,376	98¢	$1,355	0xc0f2e7…
02-02 10:30:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xee9b64…
02-02 10:28:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7877be…
02-02 10:28:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	197	99¢	$195	0x296d4f…
02-02 10:14:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0x40d372…
02-02 10:13:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xff8189…
02-02 10:12:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x940e03…
02-02 10:10:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x97d090…
02-02 10:08:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	181	99¢	$179	0xda408f…
02-02 10:08:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x147066…
02-02 10:07:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xeebd3a…
02-02 10:06:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xc1dd99…
02-02 10:06:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x83dd08…
02-02 10:06:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x5d4a5d…
02-02 10:04:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x6ec9f9…
02-02 10:03:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xbbd716…
02-02 10:02:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0x7c9335…
02-02 10:02:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xee02a7…
02-02 10:02:02	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa30780…
02-02 10:01:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xdffae6…
02-02 10:00:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xa73db0…
02-02 10:00:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x5870d2…
02-02 10:00:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xadcd30…
02-02 09:59:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xef17a5…
02-02 09:59:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8e4f90…
02-02 09:58:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,805	99¢	$1,781	0xe9728c…
02-02 09:36:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x19cfdc…
02-02 09:36:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,480	99¢	$2,445	0x7e19c6…
02-02 09:36:02	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x06fa49…
02-02 09:22:36	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,500	99¢	$2,468	0xa097d8…
02-02 09:10:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,750	99¢	$1,726	0x1d3125…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	52	$8.69K	2,118	05-15 15:44
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	49	$39.0K	14,360	04-16 06:42
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	48	$369.4K	6,064	05-26 22:56
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	43	$1.91K	654	03-27 09:14
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	42	$5.68K	2,574	05-26 21:25
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	40	$44.8K	3,406	03-28 10:00
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	40	$4.66K	3,165	05-13 05:22
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	40	$2.58K	1,596	05-13 18:32