Frozen-Research-Speaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$121

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-01 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$15	23	23	+0	Down	+$5	05-11 18:43
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-11 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-11 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-11 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-11 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-11 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-11 22:16
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-11 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-01 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$4	121	0	+121	Down	$-4	05-13 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$4	19	0	+19	open	—	05-29 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-13 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$3	27	0	+27	open	—	06-01 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$3	27	0	+27	open	—	06-01 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-01 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-01 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	05-29 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	06-01 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$3	9	1	+8	open	—	05-13 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	06-01 17:28
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$2	50	0	+50	open	—	05-29 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-01 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-18 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-29 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	06-01 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-13 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-13 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$1	16	0	+16	Down	+$15	05-13 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x42d230…
06-01 17:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2f7f80…
06-01 17:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4bd05d…
06-01 17:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x96e226…
06-01 17:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xf99c3b…
06-01 17:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf93cca…
06-01 17:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe58ed1…
06-01 17:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb23326…
06-01 17:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5529a4…
06-01 17:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6a788f…
06-01 17:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x491263…
06-01 17:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xe1174b…
06-01 17:23:09	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x4f38a4…
06-01 17:20:46	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c2d25…
06-01 17:20:44	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc9a21d…
06-01 17:20:44	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x37a236…
06-01 17:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf2be39…
06-01 17:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2fb856…
06-01 17:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1d1761…
06-01 17:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x99e6f5…
06-01 17:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb99d1b…
06-01 17:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2dc806…
06-01 17:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5d11ac…
06-01 17:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x472761…
06-01 17:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0dd380…
06-01 16:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa067de…
06-01 16:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x53dd31…
06-01 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0b21da…
06-01 16:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2690ba…
06-01 16:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9db150…
06-01 16:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3a75f9…
06-01 16:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x20f652…
06-01 16:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6edecf…
05-29 02:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe4a32d…
05-29 02:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x647e71…
05-29 02:42:48	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6a5fec…
05-29 02:42:48	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x30da86…
05-29 02:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdffce2…
05-29 02:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7db17d…
05-29 02:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfab52c…
05-29 02:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa7f6db…
05-29 02:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf11e29…
05-29 02:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5eb36f…
05-29 02:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd0eb46…
05-18 02:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe089d2…
05-18 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1fa905…
05-14 03:17:51	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x495f87…
05-13 18:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x599367…
05-13 18:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1053ad…
05-13 18:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3b8f7a…
05-13 18:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xdf72d4…
05-13 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7e77d1…
05-13 15:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb1cd43…
05-13 15:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf6b25a…
05-13 15:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcb8cde…
05-13 15:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa9781d…
05-13 15:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb02b14…
05-13 15:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4c3730…
05-13 15:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xef7ab3…
05-13 15:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4b1d09…
05-13 15:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x281526…
05-13 14:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x144684…
05-13 14:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7e92a7…
05-13 14:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xae4106…
05-13 14:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x332838…
05-11 22:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3bd7aa…
05-11 22:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xefa0f0…
05-11 22:19:48	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x18ce95…
05-11 22:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x739f01…
05-11 22:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x682c5b…
05-11 20:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1abf19…
05-11 19:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x431ba1…
05-11 19:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcda6d1…
05-11 18:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xaaa651…
05-11 18:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xddf7aa…
05-11 18:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x538e35…
05-11 18:37:35	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8beff4…