Liquid-Carving — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.5%

Resolved

Trades

824

lifetime

Volume

$937

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-06 08:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772897400	4	$11	10	3	+7	open	—	03-07 15:43
btc updown 15m 1773116100	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	03-10 04:21
btc updown 15m 1772915400	4	$7	6	3	+4	open	—	03-07 20:41
btc updown 15m 1772433900	3	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	03-02 06:47
btc updown 15m 1773979200	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-20 04:10
btc updown 15m 1772911800	4	$6	6	3	+4	open	—	03-07 19:44
btc updown 15m 1772903700	3	$6	6	1	+5	open	—	03-07 17:29
btc updown 15m 1772916300	4	$6	6	3	+4	open	—	03-07 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	5	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 04:53
btc updown 15m 1772912700	2	$6	5	1	+4	open	—	03-07 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 03:14
btc updown 15m 1772944200	2	$5	5	1	+4	open	—	03-08 04:44
btc updown 15m 1772735400	4	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	03-05 18:43
btc updown 15m 1772918100	2	$5	5	1	+4	open	—	03-07 21:29
btc updown 15m 1772946900	2	$5	5	1	+4	open	—	03-08 05:25
btc updown 15m 1772945100	2	$5	5	1	+4	open	—	03-08 04:55
btc updown 15m 1773117900	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-10 04:51
btc updown 15m 1773975600	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-20 03:08
btc updown 15m 1773344700	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 19:55
btc updown 15m 1772883900	2	$5	5	2	+4	open	—	03-07 11:57
btc updown 15m 1773315000	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 11:41
btc updown 15m 1772910900	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-07 19:20
btc updown 15m 1773288900	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 04:29
btc updown 15m 1772942400	2	$5	5	1	+4	open	—	03-08 04:09
btc updown 15m 1773294300	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 05:59
btc updown 15m 1773336600	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 17:44
btc updown 15m 1772941500	2	$5	5	1	+4	open	—	03-08 03:54
btc updown 15m 1773285300	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 08:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x3444ee…
05-06 08:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x2327dd…
05-06 08:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xb03e0e…
05-06 08:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xfd7671…
05-06 08:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x2098ac…
05-06 08:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xcfc45d…
05-06 03:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x3a421f…
05-06 03:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xb0133d…
05-06 03:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x5f9b6b…
05-06 03:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x1a48fa…
05-06 03:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x01b288…
05-06 03:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xab999c…
05-06 01:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe56a3b…
05-06 01:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f7c2d…
05-06 01:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x02fdba…
05-06 01:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xfd5ad0…
05-06 01:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x7eb510…
05-06 01:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x66734c…
05-06 00:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x11ab64…
05-06 00:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf7553b…
05-06 00:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x8111cc…
05-06 00:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xcaec63…
05-06 00:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x9dab47…
05-06 00:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xeb9ecc…
05-06 00:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7b7d20…
05-05 13:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3720af…
05-05 13:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$0	0x11f6e5…
05-05 13:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb83d23…
05-05 13:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x6c9d14…
05-05 13:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x152bd5…
05-05 13:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x708d93…
05-05 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbbbff9…
05-05 13:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe40bc4…
05-05 13:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x640207…
05-05 12:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x255203…
05-05 12:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xc8a30d…
05-05 12:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x3e4f14…
05-05 09:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xcaa592…
05-05 09:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x635a8a…
05-05 09:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xc36250…
05-05 09:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x8b9394…
05-05 09:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x7a06eb…
05-05 09:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x85ae6d…
05-05 09:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2c2171…
05-05 09:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x1ce56f…
05-05 09:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x793567…
05-05 08:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xa46cba…
05-05 08:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x5be835…
05-05 08:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x4d2210…
05-05 08:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7bd3eb…
05-05 08:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x23a8e5…
05-05 08:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x73021a…
05-05 07:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x60695c…
05-05 07:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfc378a…
05-05 07:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xc505cf…
05-05 07:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x956ede…
05-05 07:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xf08a66…
05-05 07:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x5c6c77…
05-05 07:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x273dc5…
05-05 07:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x43e3ea…
05-05 07:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x760354…
05-05 07:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xb2ed84…
05-05 07:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x71c68d…
05-05 07:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xb06e05…
05-05 07:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xc2d18b…
05-05 07:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe46eda…
05-05 07:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x5934a9…
05-05 06:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xda8f4a…
05-05 06:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x86a366…
05-05 06:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x5542bf…
05-05 06:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xc68536…
05-05 06:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xc1910f…
05-05 06:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x46ff20…
05-05 06:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x439231…
05-05 06:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf13d77…
05-05 05:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x6342c0…
05-05 05:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x1316b7…
05-05 05:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xbe206f…
05-05 05:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x67d359…
05-05 05:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x6a7905…
05-05 05:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x26a4d7…
05-05 05:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xa1fae0…
05-05 05:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa2f5c9…
05-05 05:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf17ead…
05-05 05:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x1d6dee…
05-05 05:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xd35b73…
05-05 05:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x043c5b…
05-05 05:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x386530…
05-05 05:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xcebf03…
05-05 04:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x848ed2…
05-05 04:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xca9e58…
05-05 04:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4dd16d…
05-05 04:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xfbc6e5…
05-05 04:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xc9f36b…
05-05 04:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x281c4d…
05-05 04:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xf511ee…
05-05 04:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x3411fa…
05-05 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xb51f29…
05-05 04:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x752042…
05-05 03:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x27a56d…