Blaring-Allowance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$450

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-15 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	6	$32	49	26	+24	Up	$-18	05-06 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	5	$27	26	10	+16	Down	+$4	05-06 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$26	101	101	+0	Down	$-24	05-07 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$26	42	42	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$25	66	0	+66	Up	$-25	05-06 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$25	132	0	+132	Down	$-25	05-06 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$19	25	25	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$16	73	28	+45	Down	$-4	05-10 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$16	21	16	+5	Down	+$1	05-06 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$15	604	0	+604	Up	$-15	05-07 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$15	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	05-07 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$14	67	5	+62	Up	$-6	05-06 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$13	15	9	+5	Up	+$2	05-06 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	6	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-20 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$11	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$10	31	0	+31	Up	+$21	05-06 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	05-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-26 01:59
btc updown 5m 1781563800	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-15 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-02 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-07 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 01:31:52	btc updown 5m 1781573400	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xd6eb1d…
06-16 01:31:34	btc updown 5m 1781573400	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbe5218…
06-16 01:23:00	btc updown 5m 1781572800	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x75145b…
06-16 01:23:00	btc updown 5m 1781572800	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x09f32a…
06-16 01:21:07	btc updown 5m 1781572800	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xeade56…
06-16 01:19:22	btc updown 5m 1781572500	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x1b445e…
06-15 22:52:37	btc updown 5m 1781563800	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x902a77…
06-15 22:52:19	btc updown 5m 1781563800	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8f2939…
06-15 22:49:16	btc updown 5m 1781563500	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7d1569…
06-10 01:20:40	btc updown 5m 1781054400	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x3268a7…
06-10 01:20:27	btc updown 5m 1781054400	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfb793f…
06-02 03:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x430ff8…
06-02 03:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x563e87…
05-26 01:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xef0535…
05-26 01:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8c0506…
05-20 01:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf963b1…
05-20 01:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc059f8…
05-20 01:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xa56ff1…
05-20 01:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x75eaad…
05-20 01:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xd9b63a…
05-20 01:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3f561e…
05-15 03:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x72d6ff…
05-15 03:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x11b4c0…
05-15 03:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x842f43…
05-15 03:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2f817c…
05-15 01:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3729c8…
05-15 01:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0b837e…
05-12 08:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa39f5c…
05-12 08:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6208ec…
05-12 08:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x40fc19…
05-12 04:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0xb106cf…
05-12 04:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc586f1…
05-12 04:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x790441…
05-12 04:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8cd29f…
05-12 03:24:35	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x5b5096…
05-12 03:23:43	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa5c690…
05-12 03:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x513b21…
05-10 23:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xeed8d3…
05-10 23:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	28	23¢	$6	0x1a2e0a…
05-10 23:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2a699e…
05-10 23:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0xc847fa…
05-10 23:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8f09bb…
05-07 22:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa1923a…
05-07 22:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcacd0a…
05-07 22:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x62d821…
05-07 22:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x35f2ee…
05-07 22:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xcc543f…
05-07 22:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x883cee…
05-07 22:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc4f5e5…
05-07 22:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9fc593…
05-07 22:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x584b6d…
05-07 22:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe60de8…
05-07 22:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x15cb85…
05-07 22:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x67c9ec…
05-07 22:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0xb04f20…
05-07 21:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x52ff77…
05-07 21:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb6b4e5…
05-06 05:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x27920c…
05-06 05:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x248477…
05-06 05:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xd13580…
05-06 05:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x629576…
05-06 05:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf5d6a4…
05-06 05:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb1250e…
05-06 05:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6cf1af…
05-06 05:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x28dfb2…
05-06 05:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xda33a9…
05-06 05:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x5afd08…
05-06 04:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb23861…
05-06 04:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x751175…
05-06 03:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0bbea4…
05-06 03:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x979a0e…
05-06 03:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x2009b3…
05-06 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7a9eab…
05-06 03:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xe19d67…
05-06 03:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1833f4…
05-06 03:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x033bf3…
05-06 03:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x53840f…
05-06 03:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0x6b44c3…
05-06 03:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x89d637…
05-06 03:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x40766e…
05-06 03:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7fdd33…
05-06 03:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6eb971…
05-06 03:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0xdeb094…
05-06 03:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb0754b…
05-06 03:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3d3ad9…
05-06 03:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xfa267f…
05-06 03:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xc04556…
05-06 03:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xe642de…
05-06 03:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7f20e7…
05-06 02:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x122300…
05-06 02:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb6e300…
05-06 02:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0b65ab…
05-06 02:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xc1acf9…
05-06 02:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x323594…
05-06 02:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf8f2b4…
05-06 02:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x97c3e5…
05-06 02:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x778d29…