Cruel-Accuracy-Lever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$617

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-29 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 64% $-17

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	05-13 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$20	34	0	+34	Down	$-20	05-13 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$20	37	0	+37	Down	$-11	05-13 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$20	45	0	+45	Down	$-1	05-13 21:24
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	06-29 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$16	29	0	+29	Up	+$5	05-13 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$15	44	0	+44	Up	+$13	05-13 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$15	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	05-13 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$15	26	0	+26	Down	$-3	05-13 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$14	47	0	+47	Up	+$6	05-13 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$13	17	4	+13	Down	$-4	05-13 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$12	14	0	+14	Down	$-2	05-13 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	05-24 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$12	19	0	+19	open	—	05-13 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	8	$12	13	0	+13	Down	$-2	05-13 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$11	21	0	+21	Up	+$7	05-13 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$11	24	0	+24	Up	+$1	05-13 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$11	16	0	+16	Up	$-11	05-13 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$11	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	05-13 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$11	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	05-13 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$11	13	0	+13	Up	+$2	05-13 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	05-24 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$11	45	0	+45	Down	+$1	05-13 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	7	$11	14	2	+13	Down	+$3	05-13 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-13 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$10	25	0	+25	Up	$-3	05-13 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$10	36	0	+36	Up	$-3	05-13 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-13 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-13 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 19:35:38	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x656645…
06-28 01:47:08	btc updown 5m 1782611100	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1e92c9…
06-28 01:42:17	btc updown 5m 1782610800	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9a23ed…
06-28 01:36:44	btc updown 5m 1782610500	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0076fc…
05-24 01:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8e50ec…
05-24 01:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x810899…
05-24 01:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x819e3a…
05-24 01:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcb61f7…
05-24 01:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1811d3…
05-24 01:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x79dc89…
05-24 01:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf210a0…
05-24 01:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4b1d28…
05-23 16:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd7dc95…
05-23 16:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x31f39b…
05-23 16:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x41fe17…
05-23 16:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x66188b…
05-23 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdedd6a…
05-23 16:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf45f52…
05-23 16:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9c9a27…
05-23 16:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa3056a…
05-23 16:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcffbab…
05-23 16:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe19620…
05-23 16:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x890827…
05-14 17:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa8d425…
05-14 17:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8fa5eb…
05-14 12:16:32	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0acbb6…
05-14 11:16:48	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x069288…
05-14 11:13:13	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3b19be…
05-14 10:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa22a73…
05-14 01:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6caa40…
05-14 01:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe231f1…
05-13 22:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3d3c52…
05-13 22:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x37b4b3…
05-13 22:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbc7778…
05-13 22:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x54fa34…
05-13 22:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x03a72b…
05-13 22:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfc3dc6…
05-13 22:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4d5f38…
05-13 22:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd88010…
05-13 22:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe2b99a…
05-13 22:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe4228d…
05-13 22:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x74e526…
05-13 22:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe22c30…
05-13 22:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x531a48…
05-13 22:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9748b1…
05-13 22:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0a1e44…
05-13 22:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x426107…
05-13 22:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x80949f…
05-13 22:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x00f051…
05-13 22:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd2919b…
05-13 22:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x71968a…
05-13 22:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9992af…
05-13 22:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xbb3a2b…
05-13 22:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdf5c97…
05-13 22:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x646816…
05-13 21:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x497e5f…
05-13 21:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa8a8ad…
05-13 21:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec6afb…
05-13 21:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x751880…
05-13 21:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcebe56…
05-13 21:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x70a0d9…
05-13 21:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x40dcc7…
05-13 21:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0b9739…
05-13 21:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4daf28…
05-13 21:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2c6481…
05-13 21:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd106dd…
05-13 21:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x4fcb01…
05-13 21:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x82ee11…
05-13 21:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf5380e…
05-13 21:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbd75aa…
05-13 21:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x28e156…
05-13 21:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xff5096…
05-13 21:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x90c2ea…
05-13 21:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x620539…
05-13 21:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe3a111…
05-13 21:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x78d843…
05-13 21:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a1617…
05-13 21:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5857c5…
05-13 21:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3062c7…
05-13 21:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa2b5a8…
05-13 21:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdb1795…
05-13 21:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb67ce7…
05-13 21:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x38bf4e…
05-13 21:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x707d73…
05-13 21:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x16a831…
05-13 21:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa07cdb…
05-13 21:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8c53d4…
05-13 21:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x435d1e…
05-13 21:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe1a78d…
05-13 21:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8eb7dc…
05-13 21:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8fad5b…
05-13 21:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb3c891…
05-13 21:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7b2847…
05-13 21:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0b7c03…
05-13 21:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf7d44d…
05-13 21:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x65e746…
05-13 21:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6e2d48…
05-13 20:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc31151…
05-13 20:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe36291…
05-13 20:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x730a54…