Dismal-Retrospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-10 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$56	37	37	+0	Down	+$16	05-07 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$37	66	50	+16	Up	$-5	05-10 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$33	24	24	+0	Down	+$13	05-07 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$32	107	0	+107	Down	$-32	05-07 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$32	33	33	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	5	$30	26	19	+6	Up	+$1	05-10 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$30	26	26	+0	Down	+$10	05-07 20:53
btc updown 5m 1776985500	3	$28	39	22	+17	open	—	04-23 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$24	30	23	+6	Down	+$3	05-10 13:48
btc updown 5m 1776983100	5	$24	20	19	+1	open	—	04-23 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$23	21	21	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$23	30	11	+19	Up	$-7	05-07 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$20	26	14	+12	Up	$-0	05-07 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$19	23	15	+8	Up	$-11	05-10 15:44
btc updown 5m 1776987900	3	$18	33	12	+21	open	—	04-23 23:49
btc updown 5m 1777049400	7	$18	17	16	+1	open	—	04-24 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 13:55
btc updown 5m 1777024800	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-24 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$13	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$13	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 13:38
btc updown 5m 1777043700	4	$12	17	2	+15	open	—	04-24 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$11	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x777c9b…
05-10 15:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x061d15…
05-10 15:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb4f07f…
05-10 15:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf5242b…
05-10 14:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x44c7cc…
05-10 14:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x2dab0e…
05-10 14:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xe58f4d…
05-10 14:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x3bc7e0…
05-10 14:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9de055…
05-10 14:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x79ac94…
05-10 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x59aa8b…
05-10 13:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x1a780f…
05-10 13:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x54e4aa…
05-10 13:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8908a8…
05-10 13:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0x98e672…
05-10 13:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x45407e…
05-10 13:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x618a5f…
05-10 13:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9c526d…
05-10 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x01a4af…
05-10 13:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x1cea93…
05-10 13:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x754d4e…
05-10 13:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xb74930…
05-10 13:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xf5a518…
05-10 13:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0xbdbe8e…
05-10 13:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xf08c28…
05-10 13:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xfbe087…
05-10 13:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4c6e2a…
05-10 13:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xfa438b…
05-10 13:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x8001b7…
05-10 13:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xa217e4…
05-10 13:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x4249d4…
05-10 13:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x734671…
05-10 13:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x537fff…
05-10 13:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x8e8cd4…
05-10 13:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc47c40…
05-10 13:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xb0bade…
05-10 13:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3f2737…
05-10 13:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb54ea2…
05-10 13:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x374fa0…
05-10 13:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x890dd3…
05-10 13:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8eaa93…
05-10 13:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xd36ddd…
05-10 13:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc7436f…
05-10 13:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb6564d…
05-10 13:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x657557…
05-10 13:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4cc2ec…
05-10 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xffbdf6…
05-10 12:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x75eead…
05-10 12:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9ce7c3…
05-10 12:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9c4a1e…
05-10 12:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x04eda5…
05-10 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x90dd35…
05-10 12:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x72a069…
05-10 12:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7b3a12…
05-10 12:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xad617a…
05-09 11:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x390bf1…
05-09 11:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2aa339…
05-09 11:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$6	0x75e057…
05-09 11:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe0ab66…
05-09 11:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xce86ef…
05-09 11:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5a4039…
05-09 11:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x47ddb0…
05-09 11:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa3daeb…
05-09 11:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa920cc…
05-09 11:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x9caa7f…
05-09 11:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3c13f5…
05-09 11:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2cb489…
05-09 07:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x03fdcd…
05-09 07:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9c3643…
05-09 07:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1deced…
05-09 07:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd85b26…
05-09 06:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0xbc2b10…
05-09 06:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf9c068…
05-08 20:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0f1101…
05-08 18:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdc1fc2…
05-08 17:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe943f2…
05-08 17:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x0a4f97…
05-08 17:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x52c2ce…
05-08 16:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x27d2b6…
05-08 16:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd12909…
05-08 16:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1ee852…
05-08 16:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe70267…
05-08 16:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc06c51…
05-08 16:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf96110…
05-08 15:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb9e51e…
05-08 15:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9cfea2…
05-08 15:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x2b0b51…
05-08 15:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3ec762…
05-08 15:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf39d0f…
05-08 15:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcc3e3e…
05-08 15:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	52¢	$9	0x178b63…
05-08 15:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x58a044…
05-08 15:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x235c84…
05-08 15:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0670af…
05-08 15:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcc7721…
05-08 15:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8bf13d…
05-07 21:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	69	18¢	$12	0x96d382…
05-07 21:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xded8fc…
05-07 20:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x268c49…
05-07 20:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0xb0f82c…