Knowing-Rumor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$484

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	05-14 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$34	64	64	+0	open	—	05-13 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$23	37	37	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$15	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	$-15	05-13 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$13	49	49	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$12	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$11	544	0	+544	Down	$-11	05-13 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$11	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$10	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	Down	$-10	05-13 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$9	21	21	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$7	14	14	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$7	19	11	+8	Down	+$1	05-13 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	Down	$-5	05-13 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-13 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	$-5	05-13 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-13 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	Down	$-5	05-13 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	$-5	05-13 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	$-5	05-14 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	56	0	+56	Down	$-5	05-13 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	$-5	05-13 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	05-13 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$3	37	0	+37	Up	$-3	05-13 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x1b3a58…
05-14 21:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x38007d…
05-14 20:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8de8d1…
05-14 20:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5a2361…
05-14 00:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfba8de…
05-14 00:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x7ff391…
05-14 00:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3ec011…
05-13 23:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0xf1f21c…
05-13 23:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbc2678…
05-13 22:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xf042c1…
05-13 22:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdc3a87…
05-13 22:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xee7147…
05-13 21:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0xdf33b2…
05-13 21:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xeb7b2f…
05-13 21:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0xae6394…
05-13 21:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x070311…
05-13 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xac113b…
05-13 21:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	49	15¢	$8	0x0a84ae…
05-13 21:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x4e9469…
05-13 21:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x39633c…
05-13 21:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2ad95a…
05-13 20:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x834d13…
05-13 20:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xeabf99…
05-13 20:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x114fbc…
05-13 20:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8b2926…
05-13 20:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xcf35a3…
05-13 20:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc21857…
05-13 20:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x698924…
05-13 20:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x78e7bb…
05-13 19:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x1dffb3…
05-13 19:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1bb141…
05-13 19:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x02c108…
05-13 19:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x70cba9…
05-13 19:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x72cd7a…
05-13 19:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x79de0e…
05-13 19:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x96feb0…
05-13 19:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x46cfda…
05-13 19:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xf8b43b…
05-13 19:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0deb4d…
05-13 19:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc69252…
05-13 19:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4296e4…
05-13 19:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xb67466…
05-13 19:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x13b161…
05-13 19:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xe22e8f…
05-13 19:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9af763…
05-13 19:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x76669b…
05-13 18:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xf3c7f3…
05-13 18:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd93f68…
05-13 18:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0ca992…
05-13 18:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x85f029…
05-13 18:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x7746c5…
05-13 18:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdac2de…
05-13 18:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7aabe0…
05-13 18:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	61¢	$9	0x74abb0…
05-13 18:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x84b76a…
05-13 18:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x632f36…
05-13 18:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	64	37¢	$24	0x3ec007…
05-13 18:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe1e82b…
05-13 18:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1e44a6…
05-13 04:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb7317e…
05-13 04:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa2ae13…
05-13 04:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x270d70…
05-13 04:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x87fcd4…
05-13 03:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2da9a8…
05-13 03:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6efaab…
05-13 03:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x87025e…
05-13 03:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5886c7…
05-13 03:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x03547b…
05-13 03:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3a9c0c…
05-13 03:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe36e2c…
05-13 03:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa5fb51…
05-13 03:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9a9356…
05-13 02:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa216ea…
05-13 02:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x60abab…
05-13 02:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x95fead…
05-13 02:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x34292f…