Crushing-Ficlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$202

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 04-22 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

43% 0% $-0

Other

41% 0% $-1

Crypto

10% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	4	$1.1K	528	528	+0	open	—	04-22 10:31
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.0K	522	522	+0	No	$-0	04-20 04:52
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$1.0K	510	510	+0	open	—	02-28 11:04
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.0K	505	505	+0	open	—	03-29 04:48
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$998	499	499	+0	open	—	02-27 22:16
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$910	456	456	+0	open	—	04-05 11:07
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$584	292	292	+0	open	—	03-12 21:18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$558	280	280	+0	open	—	03-04 17:34
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$558	280	280	+0	open	—	03-29 13:12
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$549	276	276	+0	No	$-1	03-23 01:30
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$546	273	273	+0	open	—	04-07 10:04
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$538	269	269	+0	open	—	02-24 23:05
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$536	269	269	+0	No	$-0	04-04 01:14
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$534	267	267	+0	open	—	03-05 08:46
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$518	260	260	+0	open	—	03-23 20:25
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$508	254	254	+0	open	—	03-27 13:32
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$500	250	250	+0	open	—	03-18 12:30
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$500	251	251	+0	open	—	03-25 10:41
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$492	247	247	+0	open	—	04-04 09:02
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$478	239	239	+0	open	—	04-04 04:18
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$474	238	238	+0	open	—	04-19 16:15
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$470	235	235	+0	open	—	02-18 21:31
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$466	234	234	+0	open	—	03-07 08:00
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$454	228	228	+0	open	—	04-12 11:47
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$448	224	224	+0	open	—	04-13 20:12
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$446	224	224	+0	open	—	03-22 12:56
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$440	220	220	+0	open	—	03-23 07:48
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$434	218	218	+0	open	—	02-14 07:36
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$426	213	213	+0	open	—	03-17 16:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$420	211	211	+0	open	—	04-13 13:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 10:31:48	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$266	0x5f46e7…
04-22 05:33:34	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x1df1a3…
04-20 04:52:16	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$251	0xdb6604…
04-19 22:18:52	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x449cb7…
04-19 16:15:08	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	238	100¢	$237	0x804f92…
04-19 05:52:32	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0xade8d3…
04-18 12:47:24	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$270	0x6e14a3…
04-18 10:19:28	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0x38fb23…
04-18 05:30:06	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$192	0xe5b892…
04-17 18:59:18	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0x203a59…
04-16 21:12:28	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0xf823db…
04-16 13:20:16	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$261	0xbda010…
04-16 06:38:18	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x745400…
04-16 03:09:24	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x9e27db…
04-13 20:12:33	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x64eb64…
04-13 16:49:23	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x649a5d…
04-13 13:07:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0x7a830c…
04-13 05:42:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x20388e…
04-12 11:47:21	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	228	100¢	$227	0x9d075d…
04-12 06:16:55	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0xe04c77…
04-07 10:04:01	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	273	100¢	$273	0xda0909…
04-06 20:09:37	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0x2c4aa4…
04-06 14:53:41	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x0b9263…
04-06 11:23:45	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x631799…
04-05 11:07:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0x2e70f7…
04-05 02:48:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x8b0653…
04-04 09:02:41	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$246	0x5a2190…
04-04 04:19:09	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$246	0xd937f2…
04-04 04:18:49	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x9b095b…
04-04 01:14:27	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x2b28ba…
04-04 01:14:09	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0xbb91b4…
04-03 20:06:51	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0x274582…
04-01 18:10:03	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0x80d0d8…
04-01 13:55:11	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0xccd583…
03-31 12:16:37	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xa7ef69…
03-31 07:58:45	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5a010…
03-30 14:18:07	will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64f395…
03-29 13:12:36	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	280	100¢	$279	0x7d7065…
03-29 08:59:28	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0x01d615…
03-29 04:48:52	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0xc77f69…
03-28 23:42:02	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0xaf0e77…
03-28 10:43:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$262	0x615a38…
03-28 04:22:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0xf73425…
03-28 04:21:49	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x654fdf…
03-27 22:01:07	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xe7ca4d…
03-27 13:32:33	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0xfeb4b2…
03-27 07:13:33	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xd360de…
03-27 00:53:47	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0x99fe4f…
03-26 18:33:41	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0x22ec52…
03-26 05:58:09	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	199	100¢	$198	0xc15214…
03-25 23:34:51	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0x095bcc…
03-25 23:34:33	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	238	100¢	$238	0x0fdf7a…
03-25 17:01:47	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x73e17e…
03-25 10:41:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0x37af0c…
03-25 04:22:51	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xd7e56d…
03-23 20:25:35	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0x7e9d8e…
03-23 14:07:17	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xced644…
03-23 07:48:51	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x30c6d3…
03-23 01:31:17	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xb4d1db…
03-23 01:30:59	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	276	100¢	$274	0x60110c…
03-22 19:11:03	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	276	100¢	$275	0xb87831…
03-22 12:56:49	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$223	0xc838b4…
03-22 06:40:27	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0x71fdcc…
03-19 22:18:31	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x1ef3a7…
03-19 15:34:17	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x7933d8…
03-18 12:30:29	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x007d59…
03-18 05:51:31	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xec0632…
03-17 16:24:53	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x18118d…
03-17 09:48:25	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x38d59f…
03-12 21:19:31	nba phx ind 2026 03 12	Pacers	BUY	52	23¢	$12	0xb05563…
03-12 21:18:43	nba bkn atl 2026 03 12	Hawks	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x4da601…
03-12 21:18:25	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	292	100¢	$292	0x6ffd40…
03-12 06:43:31	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0xa3f268…
03-10 17:35:11	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x2167fe…
03-08 22:35:09	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Rockets	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0xd750e3…
03-08 22:34:43	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Suns	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x44b724…
03-07 13:29:41	will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x747626…
03-07 08:00:49	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	234	100¢	$233	0xb7fdc9…
03-05 21:54:59	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0xf4f3b6…
03-05 08:46:19	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	267	100¢	$267	0x6964c5…
03-05 01:03:01	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0x114a58…
03-04 17:34:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	280	100¢	$279	0x9ab904…
03-04 10:35:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0x58c085…
03-03 19:38:49	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Pelicans	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x29528b…
03-03 19:38:37	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x5c30b4…
03-03 19:38:05	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x107433…
03-03 12:18:29	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Mavericks	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x82d2f8…
03-03 12:18:01	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Grizzlies	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0xa497ba…
03-03 04:05:05	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x88b01a…
03-02 21:20:51	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xea8766…
02-28 11:05:43	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x5ff77d…
02-28 11:04:49	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x6d258e…
02-28 11:04:33	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0x913bc9…
02-28 01:55:51	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x421cba…
02-27 22:16:11	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	290	100¢	$290	0x0bfc68…
02-27 18:50:53	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x30604f…
02-27 11:56:17	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0xd465ec…
02-27 04:00:52	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0xdce57d…
02-26 15:59:00	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$193	0xccc3cd…
02-26 05:19:30	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$193	0xe8d47f…