Important-Replica — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.1%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-22 13:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 25% $-1

Other

23% — —

Sports

12% 33% $-2

Tech

6% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march 454	13	$134	147	147	+0	open	—	03-12 15:57
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	4	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	02-21 01:43
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$80	49	49	+0	open	—	03-12 13:27
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	6	$79	70	70	+0	open	—	03-13 14:46
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	7	$77	57	57	+0	Yes	+$1	03-05 14:50
sol updown 5m 1774425600	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-25 08:04
xrp up or down january 9 7am et	2	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	01-09 12:57
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	03-17 08:21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$40	35	35	+0	open	—	01-17 14:50
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	3	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	01-10 02:08
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	01-29 09:40
xrp updown 5m 1773735300	1	$40	59	0	+59	open	—	03-17 08:20
btc updown 15m 1770878700	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	02-12 06:59
bitcoin up or down january 9 7am et	2	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	01-09 13:00
sol updown 5m 1773738300	1	$35	47	0	+47	open	—	03-17 09:10
eth updown 5m 1773739200	1	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	03-17 09:25
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	02-25 01:32
eth updown 15m 1769067000	1	$30	76	0	+76	open	—	01-22 07:44
btc updown 5m 1773744600	1	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	03-17 10:54
xrp updown 15m 1772692200	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	03-05 06:44
xrp updown 15m 1770378300	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-06 11:59
eth updown 5m 1772174400	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-27 06:44
eth updown 5m 1773321900	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	03-12 13:29
eth updown 5m 1773735900	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	03-17 08:29
xrp updown 5m 1773746100	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	03-17 11:19
xrp updown 15m 1768652100	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	01-17 12:26
btc updown 5m 1783606200	1	$25	52	0	+52	open	—	07-09 14:15
eth updown 15m 1774425600	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	03-25 08:14
eth updown 5m 1773746400	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	03-17 11:24
eth updown 5m 1775720700	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-09 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 13:16:55	btc updown 5m 1784726100	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbbda5d…
07-22 13:13:19	btc updown 5m 1784725800	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x038ca9…
07-22 13:12:43	btc updown 5m 1784725800	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0a6587…
07-09 14:16:55	btc updown 5m 1783606500	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6333d5…
07-09 14:15:02	btc updown 5m 1783606200	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xd633d7…
07-09 14:13:25	btc updown 15m 1783605600	Up	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xb15ec2…
07-09 14:12:25	btc updown 15m 1783605600	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0fffd6…
07-09 14:08:22	btc updown 5m 1783605900	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xa26a75…
07-09 14:06:47	btc updown 5m 1783605900	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xff2bc6…
06-27 13:09:50	btc updown 5m 1782565500	Up	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x5bfb62…
06-27 13:07:08	btc updown 5m 1782565500	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xca36b4…
06-27 13:04:20	btc updown 5m 1782565200	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xc1c502…
06-27 13:04:13	btc updown 5m 1782565200	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe82255…
06-17 12:56:02	btc updown 5m 1781700900	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb996b3…
06-17 12:52:37	btc updown 5m 1781700600	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd4b630…
06-17 12:52:20	btc updown 5m 1781700600	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x08a0bd…
06-17 12:51:35	btc updown 5m 1781700600	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x745283…
06-05 08:17:22	btc updown 5m 1780647300	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3cfee1…
06-05 08:17:01	btc updown 5m 1780647300	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x9de194…
06-05 08:15:43	btc updown 5m 1780647300	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5bda5d…
06-05 08:06:21	btc updown 5m 1780646700	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x0d63a0…
06-05 08:05:51	btc updown 5m 1780646700	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6511c7…
06-05 08:02:22	btc updown 5m 1780646400	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x91ac14…
06-05 08:01:03	btc updown 5m 1780646400	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x43707a…
06-05 08:00:46	btc updown 5m 1780646400	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8ccf66…
06-05 07:53:36	btc updown 5m 1780645800	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x77461a…
06-05 07:52:54	btc updown 5m 1780645800	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x469053…
06-05 07:50:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc6b60f…
05-27 14:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x8d5fca…
05-27 14:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbd058a…
05-27 14:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x2b6dc7…
05-27 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x477413…
05-27 13:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x9a2e35…
05-27 13:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x139f26…
05-27 13:52:08	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1be5e9…
05-21 12:25:59	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x1bd05c…
05-15 12:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa16992…
05-15 12:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x7034d8…
05-15 12:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbb0539…
05-15 12:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x68129e…
05-15 12:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x178c7b…
05-15 12:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x51c3bb…
05-15 12:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xde3d89…
05-15 11:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x03b58a…
05-15 11:56:29	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5371ac…
05-06 14:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x15d21a…
05-06 14:21:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5e7b9e…
05-06 14:18:32	Solana Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x95a28c…
05-06 14:14:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xa8b794…
05-06 14:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x99a724…
05-06 14:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xbcdaaa…
05-06 14:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x73e44c…
05-06 14:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x393652…
05-06 14:12:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8407a5…
05-06 14:11:56	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x0df7dc…
05-06 14:11:26	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x952679…
05-06 14:04:50	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5a57a4…
05-06 14:04:22	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x050acb…
05-02 08:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xd662ab…
05-02 08:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd65e62…
05-02 08:53:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0x3b0d49…
05-02 08:52:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd1ab88…
05-02 08:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x60d795…
05-02 08:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe26b90…
05-02 08:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x72bd4a…
05-02 08:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf9e516…
05-02 08:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbc53d2…
05-02 08:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x939c51…
05-02 08:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb4caf8…
05-02 08:32:24	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x30b5f6…
04-27 14:15:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x04776d…
04-24 06:17:28	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb987ea…
04-24 06:17:08	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x700d4a…
04-24 06:16:38	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5ebb5e…
04-24 06:14:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xeb2b3d…
04-24 06:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xe9426a…
04-24 06:13:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x31d5d9…
04-16 07:06:14	eth updown 5m 1776323100	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6eeff8…
04-16 07:05:24	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Lakers	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x213fe9…
04-16 07:05:00	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xaa5bf6…
04-16 07:04:36	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xde15e2…
04-09 07:57:17	nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	Celtics	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9f9058…
04-09 07:49:55	eth updown 5m 1775720700	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd559c9…
04-09 07:33:19	highest temperature in atlanta on april 9 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa3f512…
04-09 07:29:09	nba lal gsw 2026 04 09	Lakers	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4f4078…
04-09 07:25:55	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe97dd9…
04-09 07:23:59	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x525701…
04-09 07:23:47	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x812940…
04-03 13:52:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x1fd894…
04-03 08:32:31	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa28608…
04-03 08:13:15	highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe07c25…
04-03 08:10:43	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 3 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1ccada…
04-03 08:07:35	atp altmaie prizmic 2026 04 02	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x186046…
04-03 08:06:23	nba min phi 2026 04 03	Timberwolves	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb0ab8a…
04-03 08:05:39	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x79bec4…
03-25 08:14:53	eth updown 15m 1774425600	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xe922f9…
03-25 08:09:31	nba chi phi 2026 03 25	Bulls	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1b9bb5…
03-25 08:05:55	nba atl det 2026 03 25	Pistons	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x874fa3…
03-25 08:05:21	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x86f029…
03-25 08:04:29	sol updown 5m 1774425600	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x6a3d92…