Late-Fourths — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

402

lifetime

Volume

$5.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-20 07:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 30% $-200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	10	$321	479	221	+258	Up	$-79	05-06 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$212	258	177	+81	Up	+$8	05-06 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	13	$204	111	111	+0	open	—	04-28 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	8	$203	342	167	+176	Down	$-17	05-04 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	7	$185	262	175	+87	Down	+$42	05-06 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	10	$182	171	171	+0	Down	+$32	05-04 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	11	$179	187	174	+14	open	—	04-29 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	9	$177	167	167	+0	open	—	04-29 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$156	102	102	+0	open	—	05-04 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	11	$153	122	112	+10	open	—	04-28 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	15	$149	117	117	+0	Down	+$39	05-04 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$141	180	130	+50	open	—	05-04 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	7	$138	166	119	+47	open	—	04-29 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	10	$123	178	178	+0	open	—	04-29 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	10	$114	120	120	+0	open	—	04-29 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	8	$106	97	97	+0	open	—	04-29 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$105	109	109	+0	open	—	05-04 09:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$102	55	55	+0	open	—	04-28 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	7	$98	175	75	+100	open	—	04-28 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	8	$87	75	75	+0	open	—	04-29 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	7	$86	64	42	+22	open	—	04-28 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$86	111	55	+56	open	—	05-04 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	7	$85	85	34	+51	open	—	04-28 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	7	$85	63	42	+21	open	—	04-28 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$85	47	47	+0	open	—	04-29 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	6	$82	107	49	+58	Up	$-18	05-04 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	12	$79	94	94	+0	open	—	05-02 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$79	71	59	+12	open	—	04-29 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	7	$73	101	76	+25	open	—	04-29 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$65	90	62	+27	Down	$-5	05-04 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 07:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x359f79…
05-11 18:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x59dd8c…
05-06 19:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9f23a4…
05-06 19:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2d5a49…
05-06 19:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x598116…
05-06 19:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x24c075…
05-06 19:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc75229…
05-06 19:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x06d457…
05-06 19:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4e38b5…
05-06 19:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36	47¢	$17	0x1137fa…
05-06 19:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x98fb9f…
05-06 19:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x1c78c3…
05-06 19:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x2d8d14…
05-06 19:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xe6876b…
05-06 19:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xdf8a59…
05-06 19:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	58	46¢	$27	0x582b18…
05-06 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xc2d44f…
05-06 19:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	163	58¢	$95	0x060676…
05-06 19:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x29289a…
05-06 19:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xbb68da…
05-06 19:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x4d9fc9…
05-06 19:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x498b70…
05-06 19:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xea24ef…
05-06 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x4bbcbe…
05-06 19:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0f1b05…
05-06 19:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	125	74¢	$92	0xa13cc2…
05-06 19:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xa7aeec…
05-06 19:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x28c23b…
05-06 19:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbed5a1…
05-06 19:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x36b5a3…
05-06 19:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xba10b0…
05-06 19:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x5ecb30…
05-06 19:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf4e132…
05-06 19:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb23770…
05-06 19:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x847940…
05-06 18:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x5ffee2…
05-06 18:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xec1a23…
05-06 18:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2865f0…
05-06 18:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfe6c7c…
05-06 18:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	81	34¢	$27	0x3e071b…
05-06 18:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	81	52¢	$42	0x20b5a2…
05-06 18:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x0a4f28…
05-06 18:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	97	71¢	$68	0xe12a13…
05-06 18:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x561928…
05-06 18:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x10ba96…
05-06 18:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x0f0417…
05-06 18:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x72a587…
05-05 06:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe899d9…
05-05 06:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd2001b…
05-04 22:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x538b89…
05-04 22:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x5e3521…
05-04 22:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x417d7c…
05-04 22:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	106	54¢	$57	0x7d7e30…
05-04 22:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa90cce…
05-04 22:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4c9b76…
05-04 22:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x73f359…
05-04 22:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	61	59¢	$36	0x89c58c…
05-04 22:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x10d906…
05-04 22:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	342	7¢	$25	0xad76c9…
05-04 22:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x45d704…
05-04 22:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x618851…
05-04 22:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	63	55¢	$34	0xcd535c…
05-04 22:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xcf2b91…
05-04 22:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2ff019…
05-04 21:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf32ac3…
05-04 21:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7dd3a2…
05-04 21:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0xa98a8e…
05-04 21:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x881fd7…
05-04 21:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa97146…
05-04 21:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeaeeed…
05-04 21:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x3f8650…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xef02d7…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0xd772b4…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x8d6ed9…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x5d4132…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x3d1b73…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x27b8d8…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	27	79¢	$21	0x1f22a9…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x0f8b8d…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x040e8a…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x00f08e…
05-04 21:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe17f19…
05-04 21:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x0a5d72…
05-04 21:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x010998…
05-04 21:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x39f140…
05-04 21:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xaaba30…
05-04 21:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x5d57ea…
05-04 21:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x49c698…
05-04 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x06f9e4…
05-04 21:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xb0b0a8…
05-04 21:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x003498…
05-04 21:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	53	61¢	$32	0x461ff8…
05-04 21:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5c545b…
05-04 21:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x97a6d4…
05-04 21:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	106	61¢	$65	0x9f7c8e…
05-04 21:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0bd1b1…
05-04 21:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x96b281…
05-04 21:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x18674a…
05-04 21:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x0fce5a…
05-04 21:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0xd4d694…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	99	$94.4K	13,037	05-20 07:39
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	99	$7.88K	743	05-20 07:39
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	97	$62.8K	4,198	05-11 18:17
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	97	$33.7K	5,645	05-20 07:39
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	97	$32.5K	5,217	05-20 07:39
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	97	$30.6K	8,964	05-20 07:39
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	97	$28.9K	8,242	05-20 07:39
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	92	$52.0K	1,945	05-11 18:19