Pastel-Outfit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$662

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-19 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 17% +$26

Other

25% — —

Sports

14% 50% +$36

Politics

5% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$83	186	186	+0	open	—	04-20 19:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$55	136	136	+0	open	—	05-10 18:37
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	05-19 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$33	26	25	+1	open	—	04-25 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$30	26	26	+0	Up	+$10	05-10 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$25	85	26	+59	Down	$-5	05-10 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$20	56	0	+56	Down	+$36	05-11 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$20	53	0	+53	Up	$-20	05-11 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$18	41	11	+31	Down	$-4	05-10 22:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$18	45	45	+0	open	—	04-14 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$16	22	12	+10	open	—	05-18 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$16	48	0	+48	Down	$-3	05-11 06:59
btc updown 5m 1775943300	2	$15	16	15	+1	open	—	04-11 21:38
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	1	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	04-12 02:05
btc updown 5m 1776996900	2	$11	17	16	+1	open	—	04-24 02:19
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$10	50	0	+50	Sean Strickland	+$40	05-10 01:11
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-11 22:19
btc updown 5m 1776997200	1	$10	83	0	+83	open	—	04-24 02:21
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	01-17 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-18 00:20
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	3	$9	208	208	+0	open	—	05-10 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$9	24	8	+17	open	—	05-15 03:04
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	2	$8	1,185	0	+1,185	open	—	04-11 21:41
btc updown 5m 1775943600	2	$7	16	15	+1	open	—	04-11 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$7	21	0	+21	open	—	04-26 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$7	46	0	+46	Up	+$39	05-11 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$6	68	0	+68	open	—	05-15 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-15 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$6	19	4	+15	open	—	05-19 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 04:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2f68d0…
05-19 04:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe6a539…
05-19 04:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x84212a…
05-19 04:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x782638…
05-19 04:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8064c7…
05-19 04:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x105f2a…
05-19 04:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6a4779…
05-19 03:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb0dcb0…
05-19 03:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf2ef23…
05-19 03:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdf857c…
05-19 03:55:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2ec808…
05-18 06:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdae22b…
05-18 00:36:50	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3e48a4…
05-18 00:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x85f910…
05-18 00:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xd61d2f…
05-18 00:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x50e898…
05-18 00:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa547f9…
05-18 00:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3bab3f…
05-18 00:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd84d21…
05-18 00:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdab238…
05-18 00:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdde098…
05-18 00:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1a1029…
05-18 00:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x88ab92…
05-18 00:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2e100f…
05-18 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x413f2d…
05-15 03:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa98efc…
05-15 03:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x494e2a…
05-15 03:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2603ae…
05-15 03:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x14a97d…
05-15 03:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x277bd1…
05-15 03:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfaf358…
05-15 02:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xc5689e…
05-15 02:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc18f9c…
05-15 02:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe33bec…
05-15 02:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1354ec…
05-15 02:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfa3ccc…
05-15 02:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa8f585…
05-15 02:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x45567a…
05-15 02:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb1ff3b…
05-15 01:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd88071…
05-15 01:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc0e028…
05-15 01:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1e5884…
05-15 01:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb8b9d2…
05-15 01:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x831089…
05-15 01:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x074158…
05-12 08:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x9b0560…
05-12 08:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xab3992…
05-12 08:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xffb32b…
05-12 08:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc5d728…
05-11 06:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0xc9ade1…
05-11 06:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x20cfb2…
05-11 06:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x088194…
05-11 06:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc57f52…
05-11 06:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x7f440d…
05-11 06:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc03021…
05-11 06:37:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x3a5817…
05-11 06:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5086d0…
05-11 06:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x6b1d31…
05-11 06:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	220	2¢	$5	0x072441…
05-11 06:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x75b5dd…
05-11 06:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3aafd3…
05-11 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc44ddc…
05-11 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa3e2b4…
05-11 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x984ab9…
05-11 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8c16bc…
05-11 05:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x38986d…
05-11 05:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2db8dc…
05-11 00:32:17	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xb12b91…
05-10 22:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x684edc…
05-10 22:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x301233…
05-10 22:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x1d15a0…
05-10 22:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa6269e…
05-10 22:20:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xe466d8…
05-10 22:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xc65a2a…
05-10 22:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfaa95d…
05-10 22:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	61¢	$8	0xd3c400…
05-10 22:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xec06e6…
05-10 22:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x459a50…
05-10 18:37:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	136	18¢	$25	0xf40011…
05-10 09:16:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xcdcc6b…
05-10 09:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x5f4cd8…
05-10 09:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x400461…
05-10 09:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x82bfde…
05-10 09:09:03	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	208	2¢	$4	0x577b7a…
05-10 09:08:17	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x6ab360…
05-10 09:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3201c0…
05-10 01:11:44	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x31bb82…
04-26 22:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x9a8a78…
04-26 22:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe38d44…
04-25 21:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x862f22…
04-25 21:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xedade0…
04-25 21:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x92f2c1…
04-25 21:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xf35891…
04-25 21:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xf10095…
04-25 21:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x6e0271…
04-25 21:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb7cc90…
04-25 21:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1749b6…
04-25 21:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x126d0b…
04-24 02:21:56	btc updown 5m 1776997200	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe2fb5b…
04-24 02:19:24	btc updown 5m 1776996900	Up	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x7ecb86…