Interesting-Deficit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-08 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% +$82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	7	$177	145	119	+26	Down	+$23	05-06 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	6	$177	151	151	+0	Down	+$7	05-06 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	4	$139	170	170	+0	Down	+$19	05-06 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$132	175	77	+98	Down	$-48	05-08 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$122	1,163	163	+1,000	Down	+$62	05-06 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	7	$119	150	105	+45	Down	+$22	05-06 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	8	$108	128	128	+0	Down	+$16	05-06 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$106	97	65	+33	Up	$-14	05-06 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$90	100	0	+100	Up	+$10	05-06 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$82	66	66	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$76	130	130	+0	Down	+$56	05-06 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$69	96	0	+96	Up	$-6	05-06 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$53	40	40	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$53	58	58	+0	Down	$-7	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$44	65	65	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$43	28	28	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$42	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$41	75	17	+58	Up	$-39	05-06 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$40	45	0	+45	Down	+$5	05-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$37	225	0	+225	Down	$-37	05-06 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$31	35	15	+20	Down	$-9	05-06 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$29	29	29	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$21	133	133	+0	Down	$-19	05-06 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	05-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$20	158	0	+158	Up	$-20	05-06 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	Up	+$12	05-08 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 08:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb477bc…
05-08 08:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x1e5548…
05-08 08:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	77	54¢	$42	0x519404…
05-08 08:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x22c68d…
05-08 08:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x9fa71e…
05-06 10:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x39252a…
05-06 10:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1a7860…
05-06 10:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	57¢	$20	0xa64f94…
05-06 10:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x1ca238…
05-06 10:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xa5221d…
05-06 06:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xec16f1…
05-06 06:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	62¢	$8	0x37383b…
05-06 06:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x1dee84…
05-06 06:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc181c4…
05-06 06:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x81f8be…
05-06 06:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x619f31…
05-06 06:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x58e5d1…
05-06 06:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6edbee…
05-06 06:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x910c55…
05-06 06:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	43	69¢	$30	0x0c76c5…
05-06 06:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x48c36d…
05-06 06:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x81ac22…
05-06 06:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4bc376…
05-06 06:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	62	75¢	$47	0x8613fb…
05-06 06:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x47dd65…
05-06 06:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xd08f0a…
05-06 06:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8a0b71…
05-06 06:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x10d9a4…
05-06 06:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x05f8dd…
05-06 05:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	65	38¢	$24	0x924681…
05-06 05:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xa10f4b…
05-06 05:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x86d7ff…
05-06 05:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x962d92…
05-06 05:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	24	23¢	$5	0x851379…
05-06 05:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	71¢	$12	0xcb4841…
05-06 05:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa37ed8…
05-06 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x52bb89…
05-06 05:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x884b9d…
05-06 05:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xdb9dee…
05-06 05:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	65	71¢	$46	0xcbbe11…
05-06 05:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x600b4e…
05-06 05:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	43	97¢	$41	0xcd4705…
05-06 05:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xc97579…
05-06 05:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0xed88b7…
05-06 05:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xb8b89d…
05-06 05:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	62	13¢	$8	0x57d345…
05-06 05:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x3b6ede…
05-06 05:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	83¢	$16	0x4333c7…
05-06 05:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfdd86b…
05-06 05:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x6652b8…
05-06 05:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	34	46¢	$16	0xf66add…
05-06 05:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xe2746a…
05-06 05:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc7eddb…
05-06 05:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	71	45¢	$32	0x339d77…
05-06 05:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xaa31fa…
05-06 05:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x8c15b8…
05-06 05:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xaf7401…
05-06 05:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0xa7f8f0…
05-06 05:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xcf7ed0…
05-06 05:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x011456…
05-06 05:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0xb0a480…
05-06 05:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5d5d74…
05-06 04:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x9274d2…
05-06 04:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xe8026b…
05-06 04:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0x4bb231…
05-06 04:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x5fd7a7…
05-06 04:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	64¢	$19	0xb0109f…
05-06 04:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0d8786…
05-06 04:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x1eff69…
05-06 04:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x615d43…
05-06 04:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x33912a…
05-06 04:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x21f4f3…
05-06 04:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xe7c38c…
05-06 04:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x893a9b…
05-06 04:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xddf43b…
05-06 04:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x33db3a…
05-06 04:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x799907…
05-06 04:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x45eb4d…
05-06 04:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0xb6bb86…
05-06 04:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x59681a…
05-06 04:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x933441…
05-06 04:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xcbc2d2…
05-06 04:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xb8ff46…
05-06 04:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x037593…
05-06 04:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7a26e9…
05-06 04:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x2a1c96…
05-06 04:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbeeb6d…
05-06 04:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	149	44¢	$66	0xe5c0b4…
05-06 04:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	149	33¢	$50	0xd42c09…
05-06 04:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	174	4¢	$7	0x8b543e…
05-06 04:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x29aea2…
05-06 03:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x15b07c…
05-06 03:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x04ca32…
05-06 03:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x8c653e…
05-06 03:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x80e596…
05-06 03:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x27d46d…
05-06 03:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	63	41¢	$26	0x9aab65…
05-06 03:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x80a3d2…
05-06 03:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xabc608…
05-06 03:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xbbec78…