Respectful-Railing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-21 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-0

Sports

23% 100% +$6

Crypto

15% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$497	249	249	+0	open	—	04-23 19:35
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$488	245	245	+0	No	$-0	04-25 14:00
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$485	243	243	+0	open	—	04-17 16:30
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$456	229	229	+0	open	—	04-25 10:50
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$448	224	224	+0	No	$-0	04-14 04:56
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$193	97	97	+0	open	—	02-28 05:40
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	1	$162	163	0	+163	open	—	06-16 08:42
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	1	$85	85	0	+85	open	—	05-22 12:33
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	03-07 15:38
nhl car cbj 2026 03 17	1	$32	57	0	+57	open	—	03-17 07:17
nba dal por 2026 03 27	1	$27	123	0	+123	open	—	03-27 01:37
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	03-08 10:17
nhl ana van 2026 03 24	1	$24	38	0	+38	open	—	03-24 07:01
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18 spread away 6pt5	1	$23	46	0	+46	open	—	03-18 05:49
lal rso osa 2026 03 15 rso	1	$23	45	0	+45	open	—	03-15 08:48
nhl pit nyi 2026 03 30	1	$22	47	0	+47	open	—	03-30 01:56
nba phx cha 2026 04 02	2	$21	61	0	+61	open	—	04-02 09:24
nhl cal det 2026 03 16	1	$21	33	0	+33	open	—	03-16 07:12
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	1	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	04-08 04:59
nba por den 2026 04 06	1	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	04-06 07:11
nhl van col 2026 04 01	1	$12	58	0	+58	open	—	04-01 08:44
nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	1	$12	22	0	+22	open	—	04-06 05:12
nba min orl 2026 04 08	1	$11	30	0	+30	open	—	04-08 03:01
mlb cws det 2026 06 21	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	06-21 02:00
nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	04-08 07:19
nhl tb buf 2026 04 06	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	04-06 03:15
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 05:07
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$5	11	0	+11	Tampa Bay Rays	+$6	05-11 05:49
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-27 12:52
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	04-07 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 02:00:40	mlb cws det 2026 06 21	Detroit Tigers	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xa02a3a…
06-16 08:42:15	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	163	99¢	$162	0xf85285…
05-22 12:33:30	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x6a2fd1…
05-16 05:07:47	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xf10629…
05-11 05:49:14	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3807bf…
04-25 14:00:40	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$244	0x07bbab…
04-25 11:52:54	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0xd229b1…
04-25 10:50:48	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	229	99¢	$228	0x5d04a2…
04-25 10:08:48	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0x6dc852…
04-23 19:35:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	249	100¢	$248	0x84f4e7…
04-23 18:46:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0x7104c1…
04-17 16:30:32	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$242	0xf4c71e…
04-17 06:50:04	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0xc4befe…
04-14 04:56:41	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x1979d5…
04-14 03:59:51	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x5bc1da…
04-08 07:19:25	nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	Maple Leafs	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x0b303f…
04-08 04:59:25	nba atl cle 2026 04 08	Cavaliers	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x6ea08e…
04-08 03:01:43	nba min orl 2026 04 08	Timberwolves	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xdb2f31…
04-07 07:33:05	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x1ec4dd…
04-06 07:11:05	nba por den 2026 04 06	Nuggets	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0xee9ac0…
04-06 05:12:03	nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	Hawks	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x1156cb…
04-06 03:15:59	nhl tb buf 2026 04 06	Sabres	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xe3d9e3…
04-02 09:24:21	nba phx cha 2026 04 02	Suns	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0453d7…
04-02 09:19:45	nba phx cha 2026 04 02	Suns	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0x78dc7a…
04-01 08:44:51	nhl van col 2026 04 01	Canucks	BUY	58	21¢	$12	0x5ad813…
03-30 01:56:44	nhl pit nyi 2026 03 30	Penguins	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0xb5e46f…
03-27 01:37:19	nba dal por 2026 03 27	Mavericks	BUY	123	22¢	$27	0x12bdbd…
03-24 07:01:45	nhl ana van 2026 03 24	Ducks	BUY	38	62¢	$24	0x6d12b0…
03-18 05:49:27	cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18 spread away 6pt5	Miami (OH) RedHawks	BUY	46	51¢	$23	0x82ae71…
03-17 07:17:13	nhl car cbj 2026 03 17	Hurricanes	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0x993bcd…
03-16 07:12:25	nhl cal det 2026 03 16	Red Wings	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0xb9d580…
03-15 08:48:45	lal rso osa 2026 03 15 rso	Yes	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x97f4c2…
03-08 10:17:55	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$25	0x9cffb7…
03-07 15:38:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x7756b5…
02-28 05:40:41	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0x2dc056…
02-27 12:52:03	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x298915…
02-14 05:58:17	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x268a6f…