Shimmering-Date — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$982

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-14 22:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 32% $-92

Other

3% 0% $-13

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	8	$66	45	45	+0	Down	+$6	05-14 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	6	$50	62	48	+14	Down	+$25	05-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	8	$45	91	82	+9	Up	$-22	05-14 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	5	$41	50	37	+13	Down	+$14	05-13 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$37	27	27	+0	open	—	05-14 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	5	$32	27	27	+0	Up	+$12	05-14 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	05-02 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	6	$31	27	27	+0	open	—	05-14 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	3	$29	48	21	+27	Up	+$36	05-13 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	4	$29	53	22	+31	Up	+$16	05-13 19:56
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$27	51	10	+41	Yes	$-13	05-06 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$26	145	6	+139	Down	$-22	05-13 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$26	34	34	+0	Down	$-14	05-05 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	05-02 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	05-02 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	7	$23	99	31	+68	Up	$-13	05-13 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$21	60	0	+60	Up	$-21	05-14 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$20	29	0	+29	Up	+$9	05-07 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	05-02 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$20	12	12	+0	Down	$-0	05-14 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$18	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$15	34	34	+0	open	—	05-14 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$14	48	48	+0	Down	$-6	05-13 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$14	30	0	+30	Up	$-14	05-14 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	3	$14	205	0	+205	Down	$-14	05-13 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$14	40	0	+40	Down	$-14	05-13 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$12	31	0	+31	Down	$-12	05-14 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$11	22	22	+0	Up	$-9	05-07 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 22:41:33	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xdaeb62…
05-14 22:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xc5454f…
05-14 22:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xab6c65…
05-14 22:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x8e89d1…
05-14 22:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x363220…
05-14 22:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x2f61e1…
05-14 22:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x0bb277…
05-14 22:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x62195a…
05-14 22:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x10db47…
05-14 22:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xb2093e…
05-14 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x6663d0…
05-14 22:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x5b2c7b…
05-14 22:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x2bab95…
05-14 22:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x57ea1e…
05-14 22:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xd644be…
05-14 22:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xbec926…
05-14 22:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x4e1b68…
05-14 22:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x2eea78…
05-14 22:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xda72c6…
05-14 22:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x0bb222…
05-14 22:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xa9542c…
05-14 03:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x83bf61…
05-14 03:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8783ec…
05-14 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9bd8ea…
05-14 02:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x696445…
05-14 02:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x8b20eb…
05-14 02:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc75727…
05-14 02:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xa165b0…
05-14 02:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	72¢	$8	0x84a090…
05-14 02:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	60¢	$9	0x90d291…
05-14 02:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x364113…
05-14 02:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8289db…
05-14 02:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xca138c…
05-14 02:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xdb85f7…
05-14 02:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x964bbb…
05-14 01:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbe254a…
05-14 01:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xce9de7…
05-14 01:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x4bfe74…
05-14 01:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x206bfb…
05-14 01:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xa24c37…
05-14 01:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x30adde…
05-14 01:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x81a6f1…
05-14 01:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x92e310…
05-14 01:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x55b2e1…
05-14 01:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x5d18a9…
05-14 01:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x025656…
05-14 01:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xf4a0b7…
05-14 01:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xdba4fc…
05-14 01:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4fe9a2…
05-14 01:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x2148bc…
05-14 01:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	46	9¢	$4	0x944536…
05-14 01:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x643634…
05-14 01:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x53e938…
05-14 01:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x46b7b8…
05-14 01:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc3b512…
05-14 01:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	39¢	$8	0x0d7a8a…
05-14 01:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x56717b…
05-14 01:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x17292e…
05-14 00:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x367990…
05-14 00:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0xbb8d7f…
05-14 00:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xd3859b…
05-14 00:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	76¢	$10	0x64defe…
05-14 00:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x772501…
05-14 00:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4994e5…
05-14 00:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe34041…
05-14 00:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd3b57c…
05-14 00:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xb2923b…
05-14 00:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x71f40b…
05-14 00:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x98b019…
05-13 23:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xa20b4a…
05-13 23:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xf8a720…
05-13 23:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x26c2b3…
05-13 23:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8f9ee7…
05-13 23:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3bbc62…
05-13 23:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0x1d16d9…
05-13 23:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x5e3485…
05-13 23:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa388a9…
05-13 23:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x44d272…
05-13 23:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x426732…
05-13 23:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$7	0x2ebb36…
05-13 23:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x43f277…
05-13 23:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xdad8c7…
05-13 23:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2dc037…
05-13 23:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x9651b7…
05-13 23:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8d606c…
05-13 23:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x22782a…
05-13 22:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x592d75…
05-13 22:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x337d4d…
05-13 22:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x55b014…
05-13 22:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x15c267…
05-13 22:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x173a18…
05-13 22:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x9e53b7…
05-13 22:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xa9d987…
05-13 22:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x91029a…
05-13 22:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xd01941…
05-13 22:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xf723d1…
05-13 22:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5e6b6b…
05-13 22:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	48	9¢	$4	0x9606d1…
05-13 22:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x0e71e0…
05-13 19:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x4e60e9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	56	$11.8K	1,812	05-14 22:39
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	54	$22.0K	1,024	05-14 22:39
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	54	$10.6K	1,484	05-14 22:39
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	52	$48.2K	5,124	05-14 22:39
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	52	$25.6K	1,973	05-14 22:39
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	52	$24.7K	1,562	05-14 22:39
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	52	$12.2K	3,424	05-14 22:39
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	52	$11.1K	1,955	05-14 22:39