Lone-Mare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$27.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-17 11:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

43% 50% +$6

Other

39% 67% +$81

Crypto

10% 67% +$10

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% 50% $-195

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$2.2K	1,311	1,311	+0	open	—	04-21 23:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	10	$2.2K	1,867	894	+974	open	—	04-30 00:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	2	$1.8K	957	957	+0	open	—	04-22 11:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$1.4K	2,444	2,444	+0	open	—	04-01 05:13
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$1.4K	879	879	+0	open	—	04-22 20:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$1.2K	789	789	+0	open	—	04-05 02:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$1.0K	555	555	+0	open	—	04-28 06:25
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$1.0K	555	555	+0	open	—	04-01 00:53
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$1.0K	529	529	+0	open	—	03-24 05:38
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$1.0K	526	526	+0	open	—	03-27 11:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	8	$960	1,015	994	+21	open	—	04-27 11:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$799	1,722	0	+1,722	open	—	05-08 04:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$700	800	0	+800	open	—	03-27 13:02
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	11	$516	3,615	203	+3,411	open	—	05-17 11:34
will silver si hit low 70 by end of march	1	$500	848	0	+848	open	—	03-20 00:09
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$500	502	0	+502	open	—	03-18 14:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$496	264	264	+0	No	$-4	05-07 00:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	3	$481	295	291	+4	open	—	04-17 12:14
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$443	1,951	0	+1,951	open	—	05-15 05:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	3	$439	247	245	+2	open	—	04-30 00:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$406	253	251	+2	open	—	04-07 02:47
btc updown 5m 1774611600	3	$405	205	205	+0	open	—	03-27 11:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	5	$401	401	395	+6	open	—	04-17 12:14
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	2	$400	250	250	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$100	05-06 21:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$260	144	144	+0	No	+$10	05-06 09:09
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$221	167	167	+0	Yes	+$21	05-05 13:36
btc updown 5m 1774854900	2	$220	306	0	+306	open	—	03-30 07:19
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$218	125	125	+0	open	—	04-05 02:40
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$216	129	129	+0	open	—	04-17 13:09
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$212	112	112	+0	open	—	04-25 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 11:34:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,062	2¢	$27	0x557475…
05-17 11:32:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,014	2¢	$50	0xc9aa7b…
05-15 05:22:34	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	621	15¢	$93	0x96ebe2…
05-15 05:20:08	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x265248…
05-15 05:17:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6f3eae…
05-15 05:17:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x2b7e9f…
05-15 05:17:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x71c198…
05-15 05:17:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x1872c2…
05-15 05:17:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x47f2b0…
05-15 05:11:01	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	660	15¢	$96	0x58b7f7…
05-15 05:10:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0xf05cae…
05-15 05:09:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xcf46d3…
05-15 03:57:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa6a71d…
05-14 23:44:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	532	45¢	$238	0xba60a5…
05-14 23:43:09	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	641	39¢	$250	0xc15b50…
05-08 11:54:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi	Alex de Minaur	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd37e38…
05-08 11:31:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi	Alex de Minaur	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xba6ed7…
05-08 11:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf065c6…
05-08 11:25:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	84	58¢	$49	0x76d1f1…
05-08 11:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7239fa…
05-08 04:25:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xf2a32d…
05-08 03:49:30	Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	Lakers	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xa0f948…
05-08 02:40:23	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0xa0adfe…
05-08 00:36:22	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0xa9278a…
05-08 00:35:55	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x647795…
05-07 23:28:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	84	50¢	$42	0xeaacee…
05-07 14:49:53	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0xcf792b…
05-07 13:16:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	53¢	$99	0x8c7d03…
05-07 01:18:10	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x7cc9ea…
05-07 00:58:41	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	76ers	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xdfcef3…
05-07 00:57:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	264	93¢	$246	0x27aaee…
05-07 00:28:58	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x4b7994…
05-06 21:43:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	264	95¢	$250	0xc8864c…
05-06 21:42:32	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x08273f…
05-06 13:57:04	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x7c5282…
05-06 13:30:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x762ce4…
05-06 09:10:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x9d4cd8…
05-06 09:09:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	144	94¢	$135	0x00e9c4…
05-05 23:44:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x6fc3f9…
05-05 23:13:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	35¢	$100	0xe9351e…
05-05 22:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0xd5e90c…
05-05 21:26:18	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x51db7a…
05-05 14:03:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	144	87¢	$125	0xdb5ef1…
05-05 13:36:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	167	73¢	$121	0xc20229…
05-04 13:48:04	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	260	76¢	$198	0xc05bfb…
05-04 07:46:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x360568…
05-03 23:15:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x6db2f3…
05-03 15:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xea197b…
05-03 15:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x79b991…
05-03 15:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xe94c2c…
05-03 15:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xc3668e…
04-30 00:12:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	322	62¢	$200	0x0d2b9f…
04-30 00:11:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	245	98¢	$239	0x2e5f4b…
04-28 08:33:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	57	80¢	$46	0x726079…
04-28 06:28:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0xc03684…
04-28 06:25:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	555	98¢	$546	0x114475…
04-28 01:04:26	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xbd8a15…
04-27 11:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xa64266…
04-27 11:07:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x7bbc85…
04-27 11:05:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	129	55¢	$71	0x678d56…
04-27 10:37:46	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	212	52¢	$110	0x8642a4…
04-26 21:48:20	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x646ded…
04-25 21:00:10	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xac522a…
04-25 13:58:52	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xde24cb…
04-25 13:36:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	555	90¢	$500	0x269def…
04-25 13:16:36	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xf2f2da…
04-25 00:23:56	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x931ccc…
04-24 07:14:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	334	60¢	$200	0xa3e824…
04-24 04:10:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xc4c610…
04-24 04:09:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x709868…
04-23 23:30:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	No	BUY	307	68¢	$210	0x128d6f…
04-23 01:14:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	644	46¢	$298	0xb75361…
04-23 00:35:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x9219d5…
04-23 00:31:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xbe27b3…
04-23 00:21:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0x35829c…
04-23 00:10:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	597	83¢	$495	0xe435fa…
04-22 20:54:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	879	92¢	$808	0x2001f8…
04-22 12:54:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	325	52¢	$170	0x17875b…
04-22 12:54:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xe210f3…
04-22 12:53:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	256	79¢	$203	0x408e61…
04-22 11:48:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	257	84¢	$216	0x8a9b7d…
04-22 11:47:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xdd8b44…
04-22 11:40:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	222	41¢	$91	0x857b25…
04-22 11:39:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x371149…
04-22 11:14:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x274a4b…
04-22 11:12:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0xd85997…
04-22 11:09:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	SELL	957	97¢	$926	0xea74b1…
04-22 00:01:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	957	94¢	$900	0xbe93fe…
04-21 23:47:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xba6f1c…
04-21 23:40:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1,311	99¢	$1,301	0x62c57c…
04-20 05:33:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	147	83¢	$122	0xd5d680…
04-20 01:13:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	142	83¢	$118	0x21f904…
04-17 13:09:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	186	62¢	$116	0x930e96…
04-17 13:09:10	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	129	90¢	$116	0xcfbedc…
04-17 13:01:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	349	61¢	$212	0x46a36c…
04-17 12:20:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	103	75¢	$77	0x7bc242…
04-17 12:17:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	385	76¢	$293	0x2bca87…
04-17 12:14:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	291	97¢	$281	0x537ed6…
04-17 12:14:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	104	5¢	$5	0xf34f9f…
04-17 12:13:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	41	17¢	$7	0x6809ba…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	54	$51.4K	1,016	06-01 00:13
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	47	$84.1K	730	05-30 10:41
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	45	$20.2K	2,210	05-08 11:29
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	37	$257.7K	19,632	06-01 00:54
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	34	$28.9K	1,857	05-08 11:28
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	34	$9.45K	1,281	05-08 11:29
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	33	$13.0K	3,712	05-08 11:29
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	33	$8.06K	2,962	05-08 11:29