Probable-Neglect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$99

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-05 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 60% $-5

Other

4% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$11	40	10	+30	Up	$-1	05-05 13:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 14:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+3	Down	$-2	05-05 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$5	5	3	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 08:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 14:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 14:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$4	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 13:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 09:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-05 09:42
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	2	$3	2	2	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$0	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 08:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 09:23
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 08:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 13:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 09:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 08:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 08:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 09:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 13:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-05 14:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-05 08:24
Ethereum Up or Down on May 5?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 09:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 13:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 09:48
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	1	$2	2	0	+2	Lucknow Super Giants	$-2	05-05 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:42:52	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x99883c…
05-05 17:39:14	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2a94ac…
05-05 14:26:00	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc78da3…
05-05 14:22:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb924ba…
05-05 14:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xe94a7b…
05-05 14:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb84caa…
05-05 14:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6f0b50…
05-05 14:12:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xa3373a…
05-05 14:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2e6db1…
05-05 14:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x89413a…
05-05 14:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc0b071…
05-05 14:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xb2ef99…
05-05 14:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd2869f…
05-05 14:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xff5bf1…
05-05 14:02:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x17dbc9…
05-05 13:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xce56c0…
05-05 13:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xd37b29…
05-05 13:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x301720…
05-05 13:57:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x42614a…
05-05 13:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x6bb9b8…
05-05 13:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2adf73…
05-05 13:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x512975…
05-05 13:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6a3102…
05-05 13:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x842561…
05-05 13:22:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0x445821…
05-05 13:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xedb239…
05-05 13:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x4e20c1…
05-05 13:21:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x334340…
05-05 13:19:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe78a70…
05-05 13:18:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe12050…
05-05 13:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xe7ab95…
05-05 13:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfa1ec9…
05-05 09:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x36a22e…
05-05 09:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xde47eb…
05-05 09:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf171f7…
05-05 09:47:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x78e889…
05-05 09:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc5b05d…
05-05 09:42:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x08bd39…
05-05 09:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3e704b…
05-05 09:41:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x452763…
05-05 09:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1b21d9…
05-05 09:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf0a355…
05-05 09:32:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf9b5cc…
05-05 09:30:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xc264b1…
05-05 09:30:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x808f7b…
05-05 09:27:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x72fcc4…
05-05 09:26:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x24cb4a…
05-05 09:23:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x87e933…
05-05 09:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3a5031…
05-05 09:16:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x396a0d…
05-05 09:15:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4b8b83…
05-05 09:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xa4ce09…
05-05 09:05:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6aa1b9…
05-05 08:59:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x4d7e92…
05-05 08:59:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x960427…
05-05 08:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x58d29f…
05-05 08:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcdd78e…
05-05 08:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xace056…
05-05 08:48:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa67c99…
05-05 08:48:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd1d4bc…
05-05 08:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x6b5202…
05-05 08:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa6d0e8…
05-05 08:44:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xda22d2…
05-05 08:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xeb20ca…
05-05 08:39:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x75c8fa…
05-05 08:38:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9ff328…
05-05 08:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3944d8…
05-05 08:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xb867ba…
05-05 08:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe8caa8…
05-05 08:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xe752aa…
05-05 08:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe77469…
05-05 08:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8b4cf7…
05-05 08:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xab5863…
05-05 08:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x640ff2…
05-05 08:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x8b88dc…
05-05 08:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4a9f98…
05-05 08:11:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x066192…
05-05 08:11:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x064ba8…