Absolute-Carp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$450

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-19 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$11	79	0	+79	open	—	04-27 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-27 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$7	7	4	+4	open	—	04-27 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$6	7	4	+4	open	—	04-28 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$6	9	4	+5	open	—	04-30 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	04-30 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$6	14	9	+5	open	—	04-27 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$6	9	3	+6	open	—	04-29 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-27 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	04-27 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-28 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$6	5	4	+1	open	—	04-30 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$6	11	7	+4	open	—	04-28 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$6	4	3	+2	open	—	04-30 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-27 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$5	12	10	+2	open	—	04-30 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 14:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x18044a…
05-19 14:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x0e7974…
05-19 14:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xecf76d…
05-19 13:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1984f8…
05-10 09:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x91a509…
05-10 09:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x2342a8…
05-10 09:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcbae02…
05-10 09:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe73149…
05-10 09:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x8f0805…
05-10 09:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x4236ae…
05-10 09:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x4ab0ef…
05-10 09:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76c0e5…
05-10 09:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe22dd3…
05-10 09:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xaaef86…
05-10 09:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x989169…
05-10 09:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9b9089…
05-10 09:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4a75e4…
05-10 09:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe9a9c0…
05-10 09:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x64d0a3…
05-10 09:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1dbdb3…
05-07 15:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x2154b8…
05-07 15:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x771856…
05-07 15:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x24f07c…
05-07 15:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x98ad95…
05-07 14:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x508f34…
05-07 14:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5a962a…
05-07 14:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9c544a…
05-07 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x08cd51…
05-07 14:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x371293…
05-07 14:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x13d383…
05-07 14:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x703667…
05-07 14:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0a4245…
05-07 14:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xdc7bdf…
05-07 14:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe115df…
05-07 14:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x370d5c…
05-07 14:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9eaffa…
05-07 14:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8f7679…
05-07 14:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x382683…
05-07 14:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xea310f…
05-07 14:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe4462c…
05-07 14:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x776528…
05-07 14:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x73817a…
05-07 13:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x75c8eb…
05-07 13:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe5aebb…
05-03 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x50596c…
05-03 08:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe1dddc…
05-03 08:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x034223…
05-03 08:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa3f8e3…
05-03 08:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x62fd5d…
05-03 08:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x35313f…
05-03 08:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xadac1b…
05-03 08:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xc33f2d…
05-03 08:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x72d148…
05-03 08:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xba6676…
05-03 08:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaf9fce…
05-03 08:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe3848c…
05-03 08:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf47fc9…
05-03 08:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xf1427d…
05-03 08:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x71236b…
05-03 07:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x6b3f8d…
05-03 07:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x414e69…
05-03 07:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xa8e7c2…
05-03 07:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4d1c77…
05-03 07:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x0eb31c…
05-03 07:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc9c9b8…
05-03 07:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xd032f1…
05-03 07:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xad7383…
05-03 07:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8d7407…
05-03 07:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xe3d560…
05-03 07:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9dd610…
05-03 07:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x718e4f…
05-03 07:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x086312…
05-03 07:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5596bc…
05-03 07:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xaa700c…
05-03 07:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb14be2…
05-03 07:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x712aed…
05-03 07:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8f7c8a…
05-03 07:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd1a4a1…
05-03 07:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x57ef9b…
05-03 07:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf4e179…
05-03 07:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa38b99…
05-03 07:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc8f54d…
05-03 07:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfc3b53…
05-03 06:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2f506e…
05-03 06:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x584269…
05-03 06:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x885723…
05-03 06:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9d3731…
05-03 06:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xba2121…
05-03 06:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1622cd…
05-03 06:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcc49c3…
05-03 06:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8948c6…
05-03 06:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbc0abe…
05-03 06:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdfa854…
04-30 15:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8ecabf…
04-30 15:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x064fac…
04-30 15:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xd15329…
04-30 15:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe15501…
04-30 15:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x301a78…
04-30 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb68cc1…
04-30 15:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8d95ee…