Respectful-Mailbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$105

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

515

lifetime

Volume

$6.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-03 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

37% 100% +$42

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

24% — —

Sports

6% 100% +$63

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+20	$10	41¢	$8	$-1	06-17 03:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$486	792	617	+175	open	—	02-28 21:34
btc updown 15m 1770841800	1	$476	495	0	+495	open	—	02-11 20:44
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$365	270	270	+0	open	—	04-01 19:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$340	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 20:16
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	8	$221	2,633	0	+2,633	open	—	02-01 13:59
will iran strike israel on march 10	3	$192	140	140	+0	open	—	03-16 19:24
will iran strike israel on march 7	3	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	03-07 03:10
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	1	$108	400	0	+400	open	—	02-18 19:07
will iran strike israel on march 4	3	$106	1,100	100	+1,000	open	—	03-08 14:21
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$106	120	0	+120	open	—	03-09 16:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$102	330	0	+330	open	—	03-07 15:19
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$102	170	0	+170	open	—	03-07 13:16
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	2	$100	130	0	+130	open	—	02-16 18:55
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$100	1,541	0	+1,541	open	—	02-02 03:11
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	01-31 21:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$93	118	0	+118	open	—	04-07 14:39
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	05-02 23:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 15:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$81	100	0	+100	Yes	+$19	05-01 15:06
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	1	$78	100	0	+100	open	—	07-02 13:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$77	100	0	+100	Yes	+$23	05-08 18:01
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$77	140	0	+140	open	—	02-22 09:56
will iran strike israel on march 6	8	$77	200	0	+200	open	—	03-07 14:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$76	110	0	+110	open	—	04-03 01:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$67	100	0	+100	open	—	05-11 08:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$58	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 15:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	5	$52	100	0	+100	open	—	04-16 15:04
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$50	70	0	+70	open	—	03-09 19:23
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$50	120	0	+120	open	—	03-14 00:05
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	6	$49	170	0	+170	open	—	04-07 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 01:04:56	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x032924…
07-03 01:02:52	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xc73961…
07-03 00:55:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xee20b4…
07-02 22:19:22	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xe750f0…
07-02 16:11:41	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x24d482…
07-02 15:57:34	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2d1e06…
07-02 15:55:02	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc73981…
07-02 15:22:14	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa3c64c…
07-02 15:21:43	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x34725b…
07-02 14:57:11	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x8d2feb…
07-02 13:53:28	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xf2f613…
07-01 01:58:58	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0xaea93d…
07-01 01:58:10	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xbe7792…
07-01 01:09:52	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x195895…
06-29 02:29:23	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xcef8c5…
06-24 14:41:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xd1e344…
06-23 03:18:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x8397bf…
06-17 03:50:28	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8b6592…
06-14 18:59:10	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf3b38d…
06-14 18:57:57	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xed6fab…
06-12 22:43:52	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xb69a34…
06-08 15:04:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x2b48a6…
05-11 08:20:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x205bdb…
05-11 08:19:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x4b87a8…
05-11 08:17:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x0065b6…
05-11 02:39:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0x8795b4…
05-10 04:31:37	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x548467…
05-10 01:53:44	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xc2a158…
05-09 03:23:22	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x5a3925…
05-08 18:01:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x4482e5…
05-08 16:17:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf42a7a…
05-06 14:12:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0xfe3a44…
05-06 14:12:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	62	37¢	$23	0xae5aa6…
05-02 23:46:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x7974ba…
05-01 15:20:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x8aa0c1…
05-01 15:09:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf7f79c…
05-01 15:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	90	58¢	$52	0x71a667…
05-01 15:06:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0x5c7751…
05-01 15:05:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xcb5aea…
05-01 15:04:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x1e5001…
04-26 22:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x72d8de…
04-26 22:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xed1c3c…
04-24 20:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x20eab3…
04-24 19:11:06	btc updown 5m 1777057800	Down	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xb45718…
04-24 19:11:06	btc updown 5m 1777057800	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x60f797…
04-24 19:10:26	btc updown 5m 1777057800	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcf5255…
04-24 18:12:24	btc updown 5m 1777054200	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x2f7483…
04-24 18:10:24	btc updown 5m 1777054200	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x236c80…
04-24 18:05:54	btc updown 5m 1777053900	Down	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x75a4b2…
04-24 18:05:34	btc updown 5m 1777053900	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd68077…
04-24 18:01:00	btc updown 5m 1777053600	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xa359ea…
04-24 18:00:36	btc updown 5m 1777053600	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4b0bc2…
04-24 17:55:44	btc updown 5m 1777053300	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xd82e4e…
04-24 17:55:32	btc updown 5m 1777053300	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x11d3b4…
04-24 17:51:14	btc updown 5m 1777053000	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x96a7a5…
04-24 17:50:54	btc updown 5m 1777053000	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf4438b…
04-16 15:04:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xc36132…
04-16 14:58:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x86bdd3…
04-16 14:55:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x3c0154…
04-16 14:46:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x1c28ec…
04-16 14:42:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x8b737b…
04-16 14:38:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xbe2acd…
04-13 11:44:47	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x18b11d…
04-13 02:32:47	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1314e5…
04-12 20:16:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x0bb574…
04-12 13:53:57	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6baf6a…
04-10 04:13:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x89467d…
04-10 04:13:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x8133ea…
04-08 16:00:45	btc updown 5m 1775664000	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x95644d…
04-08 15:59:33	btc updown 5m 1775663700	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x4ec78e…
04-08 15:55:51	btc updown 5m 1775663700	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x74c5de…
04-08 15:55:49	btc updown 5m 1775663700	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xe9a195…
04-08 15:51:39	btc updown 5m 1775663400	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x925ec3…
04-08 15:51:13	btc updown 5m 1775663400	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xc712f8…
04-08 15:51:13	btc updown 5m 1775663400	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x76a10c…
04-08 15:51:13	btc updown 5m 1775663400	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x60198a…
04-08 15:45:35	btc updown 5m 1775663100	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xac8c57…
04-08 15:43:27	btc updown 5m 1775662800	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x7b936c…
04-08 15:40:47	btc updown 5m 1775662800	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x2fdff5…
04-08 15:36:09	btc updown 5m 1775662500	Down	SELL	22	35¢	$8	0xedd0d2…
04-08 15:36:09	btc updown 5m 1775662500	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xd94629…
04-08 15:36:09	btc updown 5m 1775662500	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x776f55…
04-08 15:35:49	btc updown 5m 1775662500	Down	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xc1a21c…
04-08 15:01:25	btc updown 5m 1775660400	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x5e6921…
04-08 15:00:53	btc updown 5m 1775660400	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x735caf…
04-07 14:40:21	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0x773609…
04-07 14:39:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	47	79¢	$37	0x8115cf…
04-07 14:32:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	71	79¢	$56	0xa645e1…
04-07 14:23:25	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x7d91c7…
04-07 14:22:01	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x7d1f20…
04-07 14:16:19	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xaa8e31…
04-07 14:13:03	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0xc1288e…
04-07 14:12:59	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x482197…
04-06 20:28:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xf25428…
04-03 01:13:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	110	69¢	$76	0x4b62e3…
04-01 19:02:45	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	270	98¢	$265	0xfc4d23…
03-31 02:54:07	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x3e9be9…
03-31 02:48:33	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x8eb6d4…
03-31 02:46:37	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc1db25…
03-31 02:46:35	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x938036…