Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
108
lifetime
Volume
$929
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$36
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 07-02 19:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
53% 0% $-1
Other
35% 100% +$4
Sports
12%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 07-01 19:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -13 $-13 100¢ $-13 $-0 06-30 20:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -23 $-4 12¢ $-3 +$1 06-03 16:50
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-04 19:23
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +18 $1 $1 +$0 06-30 23:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -7 $-2 15¢ $-1 +$1 06-03 16:58