Urban-Calibre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 08-13 07:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$4

Politics

47% 0% $-1

Sports

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	8	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	07-09 18:19
world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	8	$109	67	67	+0	open	—	06-13 01:57
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	7	$96	66	43	+23	open	—	07-12 04:47
will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	4	$86	44	44	+0	open	—	07-22 12:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	05-27 16:29
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	3	$78	80	0	+80	open	—	06-23 09:38
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	4	$69	55	55	+0	open	—	08-13 07:45
will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	3	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	07-23 15:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$56	53	53	+0	open	—	05-09 19:45
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	5	$54	36	36	+0	open	—	07-22 07:46
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	1	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	08-14 04:25
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	3	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	06-30 20:35
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	5	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	07-22 17:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	2	$41	42	0	+42	open	—	04-21 10:03
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	4	$41	43	0	+43	open	—	07-15 02:30
will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	4	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	06-30 17:04
israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	07-29 20:54
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	3	$37	9	30	-21	open	—	06-24 06:26
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	05-05 16:34
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	2	$34	55	0	+55	open	—	07-20 09:29
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	6	$33	51	51	+0	open	—	07-27 19:27
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	3	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	06-30 21:15
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	3	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	07-11 22:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	05-12 12:52
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	2	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	07-09 18:20
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	06-30 04:43
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	4	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	06-07 07:57
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	4	$26	55	0	+55	open	—	07-22 07:52
iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	2	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	07-11 22:01
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 04:25:37	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8596f3…
08-13 07:45:48	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa95f42…
08-13 07:45:03	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	55	35¢	$19	0xff1000…
08-12 06:41:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa2a6f7…
08-11 17:31:00	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xbc084c…
08-11 17:30:22	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x88368a…
08-11 17:29:52	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xae2058…
08-11 16:26:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x033d51…
08-11 16:01:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6bb3fa…
08-02 04:29:45	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x85cbff…
08-01 21:55:39	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2bb2a7…
08-01 21:05:51	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaeed08…
08-01 20:42:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x89bec5…
08-01 20:10:45	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb6b9e3…
08-01 20:09:42	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x0e9947…
08-01 20:09:29	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x4c7252…
08-01 20:04:36	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xe3fa69…
08-01 20:04:08	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5efa6d…
07-29 20:57:45	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x55c7ac…
07-29 20:54:36	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x64c312…
07-29 15:12:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x1c841a…
07-27 19:27:12	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	51	6¢	$3	0x62458d…
07-25 20:30:28	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x51a8e9…
07-25 20:29:39	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa592c0…
07-24 19:47:43	will wti reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xca1eda…
07-24 19:08:13	will wti reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0b6dc5…
07-24 14:57:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xa73a93…
07-24 14:33:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x75e76c…
07-24 14:33:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x32a66c…
07-23 21:28:21	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8c4e55…
07-23 21:16:39	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xba13fb…
07-23 21:15:12	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xa1c398…
07-23 16:25:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xadcc87…
07-23 15:24:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x358c87…
07-23 15:23:16	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x42dd03…
07-23 14:10:25	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x6d283f…
07-23 14:07:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x0bd471…
07-23 14:06:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x03fc89…
07-23 11:27:27	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xcb367a…
07-23 11:22:34	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x63e460…
07-23 10:37:36	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x5b1540…
07-23 10:35:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0x4e8590…
07-23 09:59:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x0dd63b…
07-22 22:12:33	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3d1130…
07-22 19:49:34	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2100d0…
07-22 17:57:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x383b93…
07-22 17:56:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x5b7591…
07-22 12:03:07	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x846735…
07-22 07:52:33	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd585e0…
07-22 07:51:09	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xaa6cd1…
07-22 07:50:48	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5444e4…
07-22 07:50:22	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8dfb0d…
07-22 07:46:24	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0xa1224a…
07-22 07:38:16	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0230b8…
07-22 06:08:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x4f75ba…
07-22 05:32:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc0f812…
07-22 05:32:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xce5f0c…
07-22 05:28:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x1bff60…
07-22 05:28:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x08d602…
07-22 05:27:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x563705…
07-21 22:31:55	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe1b6f0…
07-21 20:34:09	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9e0edf…
07-20 18:30:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb171af…
07-20 09:32:49	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x76ce70…
07-20 09:29:51	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x4cdd7d…
07-20 09:13:57	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x37764b…
07-20 06:11:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc967f2…
07-19 19:59:51	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x9d575f…
07-19 10:58:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x072085…
07-19 04:09:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x8ff7b1…
07-19 04:07:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8a28d8…
07-19 04:07:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x92aee0…
07-17 15:24:15	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8184e2…
07-17 14:30:49	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x212756…
07-17 14:30:45	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4a13e0…
07-17 14:28:51	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x654d22…
07-15 20:07:01	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2cd5d2…
07-15 02:30:31	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x21ede5…
07-14 09:54:22	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x90c97f…
07-13 17:29:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6b24a2…
07-12 19:48:25	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0x3e5079…
07-12 04:48:46	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xabb32c…
07-12 04:47:58	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xdd470f…
07-11 22:01:38	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xbb828b…
07-11 22:01:08	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x54b97f…
07-11 21:55:08	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2cfdea…
07-11 21:53:55	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x83616b…
07-11 21:52:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xaf105b…
07-10 21:46:20	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0x2604bf…
07-10 11:01:56	israeli forces enter choukine by july 31	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbb636f…
07-10 09:18:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	33	90¢	$29	0x503b85…
07-09 18:25:40	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x1606ff…
07-09 18:21:58	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbe4f9f…
07-09 18:20:16	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x395b7b…
07-09 18:19:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x891bf5…
07-09 18:11:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2db442…
07-09 06:03:14	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x2d81af…
07-09 06:02:49	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x27fcb5…
07-09 06:02:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x14c52d…
07-09 05:56:01	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x950ddf…