Dark-Vicinity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

+$53

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$2.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$76

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

71% — —

Other

29% 21% $-80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	+73	$18	100¢	$73	+$55	05-10 01:20
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Down	+3	$2	100¢	$3	+$1	05-10 01:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 9?	No	+6	$3	0¢	$0	$-3	05-09 14:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	48	$431	42,684	0	+42,684	open	—	05-10 01:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	10	$316	330	0	+330	open	—	05-10 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	7	$183	202	0	+202	open	—	05-10 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	8	$175	229	2	+226	open	—	05-10 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 7?	5	$166	109	118	-9	Yes	+$59	05-07 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	27	$157	15,684	0	+15,684	open	—	05-10 01:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	14	$136	189	0	+189	open	—	05-10 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$100	138	0	+138	open	—	05-10 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$100	154	0	+154	open	—	05-10 01:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?	1	$76	0	96	-96	No	$-20	05-07 11:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	6	$75	101	0	+101	open	—	05-10 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 7?	4	$67	89	0	+89	No	+$22	05-07 11:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?	4	$66	225	16	+208	No	$-61	05-08 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$50	136	0	+136	open	—	05-10 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?	1	$49	0	58	-58	Yes	$-9	05-07 13:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	4	$43	146	8	+138	Yes	+$104	05-07 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 7?	1	$43	61	0	+61	No	+$18	05-07 19:55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 7?	2	$35	141	0	+141	No	$-35	05-07 20:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?	3	$34	134	0	+134	Yes	$-34	05-07 14:25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$25	131	0	+131	No	$-25	05-06 17:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?	4	$24	259	0	+259	No	$-24	05-08 08:40
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-10 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 7?	1	$20	0	22	-22	Yes	$-2	05-07 20:21
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$19	1,866	0	+1,866	open	—	05-10 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	2	$18	73	0	+73	open	—	05-10 01:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 6?	9	$17	90	2	+88	Yes	$-17	05-06 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 8?	1	$16	164	0	+164	No	$-16	05-08 08:35
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-10 01:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?	1	$14	166	0	+166	No	$-14	05-07 14:25
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	05-10 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 02:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0x74af03…
05-10 02:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x803fb8…
05-10 01:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xd157a6…
05-10 01:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xa3d2a2…
05-10 01:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	450	1¢	$4	0xa498fd…
05-10 01:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4,316	1¢	$43	0x548638…
05-10 01:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	349	1¢	$3	0x6afa51…
05-10 01:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	425	1¢	$4	0x09c80a…
05-10 01:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,365	1¢	$24	0x03d972…
05-10 01:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	425	1¢	$4	0x5795f7…
05-10 01:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	425	1¢	$4	0x37d95c…
05-10 01:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	425	1¢	$4	0x8c5271…
05-10 01:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	425	1¢	$4	0x89040f…
05-10 01:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	425	1¢	$4	0x82d078…
05-10 01:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	382	1¢	$4	0x90191d…
05-10 01:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,556	1¢	$26	0x50698a…
05-10 01:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,756	1¢	$28	0x6c3595…
05-10 01:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,034	1¢	$10	0x5b3074…
05-10 01:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	216	1¢	$2	0x93b06a…
05-10 01:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,026	1¢	$10	0x4bfae4…
05-10 01:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	366	1¢	$4	0xeca5ce…
05-10 01:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	366	1¢	$4	0xd14fde…
05-10 01:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	880	1¢	$9	0x5db137…
05-10 01:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	366	1¢	$4	0x217e34…
05-10 01:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	366	1¢	$4	0xce3849…
05-10 01:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	366	1¢	$4	0x504d01…
05-10 01:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	366	1¢	$4	0xe08528…
05-10 01:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	366	1¢	$4	0xa87ef1…
05-10 01:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	192	1¢	$2	0x60ba57…
05-10 01:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	366	1¢	$4	0xd1c9a9…
05-10 01:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	366	1¢	$4	0xa700e5…
05-10 01:20:41	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,150	1¢	$12	0x9f679a…
05-10 01:20:38	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	402	1¢	$4	0x385943…
05-10 01:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,813	1¢	$28	0x32899d…
05-10 01:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,196	1¢	$22	0x6afb09…
05-10 01:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3,242	1¢	$32	0xa6bebb…
05-10 01:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	262	1¢	$3	0xfd6009…
05-10 01:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	262	1¢	$3	0x68df92…
05-10 01:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	262	1¢	$3	0xf4ee37…
05-10 01:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	262	1¢	$3	0x287fad…
05-10 01:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	262	1¢	$3	0x133f0d…
05-10 01:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	262	1¢	$3	0xce272e…
05-10 01:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	420	1¢	$4	0xdff704…
05-10 01:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	262	1¢	$3	0x580c38…
05-10 01:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	262	1¢	$3	0xda96fd…
05-10 01:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	756	1¢	$8	0x4d94bb…
05-10 01:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	758	1¢	$8	0x61ce7a…
05-10 01:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0xf0cec3…
05-10 01:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	262	1¢	$3	0x99d19d…
05-10 01:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0x83928d…
05-10 01:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	590	1¢	$6	0x78585b…
05-10 01:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	447	1¢	$4	0x3f5f2f…
05-10 01:20:10	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	314	1¢	$3	0xbbe863…
05-10 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6,178	1¢	$62	0x86ca8b…
05-10 01:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x07b57a…
05-10 01:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd1cfca…
05-10 01:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xff235e…
05-10 01:18:14	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xa44b9e…
05-10 01:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x3f11fa…
05-10 01:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0xb086e9…
05-10 01:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	448	1¢	$4	0xbb13bd…
05-10 01:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xf26c06…
05-10 01:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x7003c4…
05-10 01:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	162	1¢	$2	0xe44565…
05-10 01:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,531	1¢	$15	0x5b8e3a…
05-10 01:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	854	1¢	$9	0x39c72f…
05-10 01:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	147	1¢	$1	0x069e13…
05-10 01:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2,132	1¢	$21	0x49a8a9…
05-10 01:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	266	1¢	$3	0x19e4e4…
05-10 01:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,222	1¢	$12	0x1023b4…
05-10 01:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x79c16a…
05-10 01:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	256	1¢	$3	0xc77462…
05-10 01:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2,235	1¢	$22	0xe8b08d…
05-10 01:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x6e83c6…
05-10 01:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2,827	1¢	$28	0x7affb5…
05-10 01:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	162	1¢	$2	0x59a9e7…
05-10 01:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	819	1¢	$8	0xfb1572…
05-10 01:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	408	1¢	$4	0xf13d20…
05-10 01:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	351	1¢	$4	0xdba23a…
05-10 01:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xde4853…
05-10 01:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	162	1¢	$2	0xab815a…
05-10 01:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	379	1¢	$4	0xe6ad43…
05-10 01:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xad64be…
05-10 01:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	162	1¢	$2	0x5287b8…
05-10 01:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	173	1¢	$2	0xb5fa90…
05-10 01:08:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0x3030a7…
05-10 01:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$0	0xb342ba…
05-10 01:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x0c2c5a…
05-10 01:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x9f0a95…
05-10 01:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	69	89¢	$62	0x743610…
05-10 01:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x34d70c…
05-10 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x0745a2…
05-10 01:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xb1bec3…
05-10 01:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xd5cdda…
05-10 01:08:02	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0ff59a…
05-10 01:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x4e0457…
05-10 01:07:53	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0xcb1ad4…
05-10 01:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe76097…
05-10 01:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	74¢	$42	0xbb345a…
05-10 01:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0x36cd66…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Whopping-Columnist 0x8fb4…b9ed	18	$1.08K	40	05-09 15:47
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	18	$724	95	05-10 02:01
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	17	$4.34K	152	05-10 02:05
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e	17	$1.21K	77	05-09 15:52
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905	16	$681	45	05-09 12:58
Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3	16	$594	42	05-09 15:52
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad	13	$944	38	05-09 13:48
(anonymous) 0x8176…709a	12	$717	29	05-10 02:03