Untidy-Execution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$349

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-11 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 58% $-24

Other

12% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$46	27	27	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$42	28	28	+0	Down	+$12	05-11 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$40	31	21	+10	Up	+$11	05-08 10:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	05-02 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$20	899	0	+899	Up	$-20	05-11 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	$-10	05-08 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Up	$-10	05-09 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	$-10	05-08 12:56
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-18 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	Down	$-4	05-09 16:47
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 21corbelow	1	$5	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	04-18 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Up	$-5	05-11 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-08 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-08 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Down	$-1	05-11 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 13:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa70659…
05-11 13:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	399	3¢	$10	0x018e2f…
05-11 13:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x34c787…
05-11 13:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb179e1…
05-11 13:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xcd3eef…
05-11 12:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x21b48d…
05-09 17:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6dacb6…
05-09 16:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa8e12a…
05-09 16:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6e6161…
05-09 16:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x48d5c7…
05-08 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xe3dbd5…
05-08 13:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2ffcbc…
05-08 13:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5a9646…
05-08 12:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x90498e…
05-08 12:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe6f203…
05-08 10:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xbbcf6a…
05-08 10:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x335551…
05-08 10:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x83311c…
05-08 10:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf1c3ad…
05-08 10:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xf5c091…
05-08 10:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2f1606…
05-08 10:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x3672bc…
05-08 10:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x38eef6…
05-08 10:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xf657bd…
05-08 10:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xebee12…
05-08 10:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb96d27…
05-08 10:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5d559b…
05-08 10:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x90aec1…
05-08 09:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x71d1dc…
05-08 09:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x3c5881…
05-08 09:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x503392…
05-08 09:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8074d5…
05-02 08:37:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xdc7407…
04-18 14:57:16	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xe045b9…
04-18 14:54:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc10e9a…
04-18 14:52:30	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 21corbelow	Yes	BUY	1,064	0¢	$5	0x1ecd73…
04-18 14:45:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcead8b…