Optimistic-Feature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$619

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	10	$253	194	194	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	7	$121	81	81	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	6	$60	36	36	+0	Down	+$10	05-14 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$35	39	6	+33	Down	$-25	05-14 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	6	$27	28	28	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	Down	$-25	05-13 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$19	11	11	+0	Down	$-1	05-14 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$16	27	27	+0	Down	$-14	05-14 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 23:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x7b10b3…
05-14 00:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0fe571…
05-14 00:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x82fe90…
05-14 00:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbbdf74…
05-14 00:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x83c439…
05-14 00:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x48452c…
05-14 00:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x791d14…
05-14 00:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5c5475…
05-14 00:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x7a7ed2…
05-14 00:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xe54d8a…
05-14 00:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3fde6b…
05-14 00:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x4f9003…
05-14 00:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x760bbb…
05-14 00:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0x2d19ed…
05-14 00:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x2815c0…
05-14 00:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x069590…
05-14 00:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x91affd…
05-14 00:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	49	58¢	$28	0x2365d6…
05-14 00:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa59cef…
05-14 00:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	47	47¢	$22	0x6c99dc…
05-14 00:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x960375…
05-14 00:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x792dc0…
05-14 00:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xf0f67c…
05-14 00:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	36	71¢	$26	0x2e9943…
05-14 00:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xa46afb…
05-14 00:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0x1cdc2c…
05-14 00:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1c2788…
05-14 00:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc62a4d…
05-14 00:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	26	97¢	$26	0xc6d787…
05-14 00:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xed30e8…
05-14 00:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xaf82f7…
05-14 00:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x71d4cb…
05-13 23:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4b573d…
05-13 23:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4adc79…
05-13 23:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x18461b…
05-13 23:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0a7c3f…
05-13 23:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x5a962e…
05-13 23:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6a6b09…
05-13 23:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x181eaa…
05-13 23:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdc672a…
05-13 23:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x098646…
05-13 23:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x95e511…
05-13 23:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x4c95db…
05-13 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x35624f…
05-13 23:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,618	1¢	$16	0x942308…
05-13 23:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	882	1¢	$9	0xbf1eed…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$10.1K	156	05-14 00:29
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	10	$7.65K	892	05-14 00:28
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	10	$5.12K	445	05-14 00:29
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	10	$4.95K	615	05-14 00:29
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	10	$4.81K	499	05-14 00:28
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	10	$3.89K	966	05-14 00:29
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	10	$3.82K	202	05-14 00:29
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	10	$3.65K	181	05-14 00:29