Realistic-Discretion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$234

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-13 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 100% +$35

Politics

3% — —

Other

1% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	5	$4.6K	2,993	1,615	+1,377	Yes	+$13	05-11 14:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	16	$4.4K	2,718	1,685	+1,033	Yes	+$19	05-12 11:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	2	$2.7K	1,378	1,378	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 12:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	33	$2.5K	1,255	1,255	+0	Yes	+$2	05-13 07:03
solana above 90 on january 2	1	$1.3K	0	1,272	-1,272	open	—	01-01 05:46
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	4	$463	237	237	-0	open	—	01-31 03:29
btc updown 15m 1767491100	1	$220	226	0	+226	open	—	01-04 01:55
solana above 120 on january 3	1	$213	220	0	+220	open	—	01-02 05:29
btc updown 15m 1767275100	1	$204	213	0	+213	open	—	01-01 13:54
btc updown 15m 1767277800	6	$200	400	0	+400	open	—	01-01 14:18
btc updown 15m 1767274200	1	$200	204	0	+204	open	—	01-01 13:45
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?	2	$158	200	200	+0	Yes	$-6	05-13 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 07:03:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x51fbfd…
05-13 07:03:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x5a02ab…
05-13 06:51:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xd873e2…
05-13 05:35:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x67a6bb…
05-13 05:35:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xc90b16…
05-13 05:35:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$116	0x8464c7…
05-13 05:35:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x0e86c7…
05-13 05:35:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	117	99¢	$117	0x968b8d…
05-13 05:35:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x74a19c…
05-13 05:34:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0x0e4211…
05-13 05:34:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	178	99¢	$177	0xa1613d…
05-13 05:25:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xf4f09f…
05-13 05:05:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd72e22…
05-13 04:14:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x16013f…
05-13 04:13:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf61e22…
05-13 04:09:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5c51eb…
05-13 04:08:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5e1673…
05-13 04:05:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2d271f…
05-13 03:59:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa1a145…
05-13 03:51:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfaea31…
05-13 03:51:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed5730…
05-13 03:49:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03f1bb…
05-13 03:49:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2879a…
05-13 03:49:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x77421b…
05-13 03:49:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeec774…
05-13 03:48:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x08c7e9…
05-13 03:48:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeefa2d…
05-13 03:48:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2f0f33…
05-13 03:48:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x28ea19…
05-13 03:48:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10f7e6…
05-13 03:48:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xadd49c…
05-13 03:48:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf49a50…
05-13 03:48:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x714c4e…
05-13 02:31:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x79fad5…
05-13 02:30:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,230	99¢	$1,221	0x945930…
05-12 11:18:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1,196	99¢	$1,187	0xf7cb92…
05-12 07:55:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd4e994…
05-12 07:45:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2af693…
05-12 07:37:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,196	99¢	$1,185	0x7f0453…
05-12 07:33:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x1db7ca…
05-12 07:27:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x3d9e38…
05-12 07:26:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x1f0d78…
05-12 07:06:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0x7b1050…
05-12 06:27:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xae7406…
05-12 06:11:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa531ec…
05-12 06:02:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xee5111…
05-12 05:50:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa362e6…
05-12 03:12:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	459	99¢	$455	0xa1d055…
05-12 02:40:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0xf0b296…
05-12 02:19:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x082acd…
05-12 02:19:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	920	98¢	$906	0x72cd75…
05-11 14:57:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,377	100¢	$1,376	0x8ed2b4…
05-11 12:37:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	1,378	100¢	$1,375	0x07440e…
05-11 10:36:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,378	100¢	$1,373	0xfd9d71…
05-10 15:47:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	1,389	99¢	$1,375	0x1f5499…
05-10 12:58:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	227	99¢	$224	0xc11bb9…
05-10 09:15:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	226	99¢	$224	0x81008f…
05-10 02:11:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,388	98¢	$1,364	0x066e28…
01-31 03:29:50	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x90bb73…
01-31 03:29:36	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x53927a…
01-31 03:29:26	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x1615d5…
01-05 08:27:17	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	237	95¢	$226	0xae12ff…
01-04 01:55:33	btc updown 15m 1767491100	Up	BUY	226	97¢	$220	0x0793bb…
01-02 05:29:29	solana above 120 on january 3	Yes	BUY	220	97¢	$213	0x27d5b7…
01-01 14:18:37	btc updown 15m 1767277800	Up	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0xc314f3…
01-01 14:18:33	btc updown 15m 1767277800	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc04a26…
01-01 14:16:51	btc updown 15m 1767277800	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9d253e…
01-01 14:15:25	btc updown 15m 1767277800	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6fc914…
01-01 14:15:19	btc updown 15m 1767277800	Up	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xdff148…
01-01 14:13:05	btc updown 15m 1767277800	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x2e0426…
01-01 13:54:01	btc updown 15m 1767275100	Down	BUY	213	96¢	$204	0x8e36e7…
01-01 13:45:01	btc updown 15m 1767274200	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x3eb493…
01-01 05:46:11	solana above 90 on january 2	Yes	SELL	1,272	100¢	$1,271	0x4a74d4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	7	$622	182	05-13 14:25
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	5	$47.0K	1,124	05-12 19:52
Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a	5	$693	15	01-04 01:50
(anonymous) 0x006d…06f8	5	$508	38	01-31 08:10
(anonymous) 0x7f69…6162	4	$38.6K	3,367	01-04 01:55
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	4	$31.9K	1,723	01-04 01:55
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	4	$27.8K	174	05-13 14:58
(anonymous) 0x780a…2d1d	4	$25.1K	61	05-13 08:46