Absolute-Poll — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$448

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-19 23:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	7	$53	30	26	+4	Up	$-1	05-12 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	11	$46	27	27	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	14	$35	22	22	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$29	31	6	+25	Down	$-23	05-12 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	9	$17	18	18	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	05-12 18:37
btc updown 5m 1781912700	5	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	06-19 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 21:40
btc updown 5m 1781911800	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-19 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$6	6	5	+2	Down	+$2	05-12 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 20:14
btc updown 5m 1781910900	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-19 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 17:42
btc updown 5m 1781913000	5	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	06-19 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-12 18:29
btc updown 5m 1781900400	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	06-19 20:23
btc updown 5m 1781912100	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-19 23:40
btc updown 5m 1781909400	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-19 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 23:55:10	btc updown 5m 1781913300	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdc0cf4…
06-19 23:54:52	btc updown 5m 1781913000	Down	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xc1f3bf…
06-19 23:53:14	btc updown 5m 1781913000	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xad7435…
06-19 23:52:17	btc updown 5m 1781913000	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x29c062…
06-19 23:50:56	btc updown 5m 1781913000	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc2ceb2…
06-19 23:50:56	btc updown 5m 1781913000	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1a9b7d…
06-19 23:49:59	btc updown 5m 1781912700	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x768629…
06-19 23:45:20	btc updown 5m 1781912700	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8a09dd…
06-19 23:45:20	btc updown 5m 1781912700	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x81f49d…
06-19 23:45:20	btc updown 5m 1781912700	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2df60d…
06-19 23:45:19	btc updown 5m 1781912700	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc26a76…
06-19 23:41:32	btc updown 5m 1781912400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xea5714…
06-19 23:40:07	btc updown 5m 1781912100	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x33151e…
06-19 23:40:01	btc updown 5m 1781912100	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x816dfc…
06-19 23:39:38	btc updown 5m 1781912100	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x0aab56…
06-19 23:35:44	btc updown 5m 1781912100	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe8b908…
06-19 23:35:22	btc updown 5m 1781911800	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5150fc…
06-19 23:30:28	btc updown 5m 1781911800	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xef7b6f…
06-19 23:30:26	btc updown 5m 1781911800	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5d78cd…
06-19 23:29:49	btc updown 5m 1781911500	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x25b89e…
06-19 23:26:13	btc updown 5m 1781911500	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0cc7d6…
06-19 23:26:04	btc updown 5m 1781911500	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x752274…
06-19 23:24:43	btc updown 5m 1781911200	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x018f05…
06-19 23:24:35	btc updown 5m 1781911200	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe71956…
06-19 23:24:35	btc updown 5m 1781911200	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1983bd…
06-19 23:22:20	btc updown 5m 1781911200	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3c6838…
06-19 23:18:47	btc updown 5m 1781910900	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0x1c07c9…
06-19 23:17:25	btc updown 5m 1781910900	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb309ac…
06-19 23:16:52	btc updown 5m 1781910900	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd86662…
06-19 23:11:08	btc updown 5m 1781910600	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa69668…
06-19 22:55:14	btc updown 5m 1781909400	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x522495…
06-19 22:53:44	btc updown 5m 1781909400	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x03f04a…
06-19 22:52:58	btc updown 5m 1781909400	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xe88092…
06-19 22:52:38	btc updown 5m 1781909400	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfafc0b…
06-19 21:25:52	btc updown 5m 1781904300	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x8fcccf…
06-19 21:24:58	btc updown 5m 1781904300	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x222973…
06-19 20:54:10	btc updown 5m 1781902200	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf70fd2…
06-19 20:51:50	btc updown 5m 1781902200	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8d67fe…
06-19 20:30:55	btc updown 5m 1781901000	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x120a37…
06-19 20:29:58	btc updown 5m 1781901000	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7bcab1…
06-19 20:23:47	btc updown 5m 1781900400	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4e3f3c…
06-19 20:21:16	btc updown 5m 1781900400	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc3108a…
06-19 20:20:35	btc updown 5m 1781900400	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x475777…
06-19 20:20:04	btc updown 5m 1781900400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc6d3ab…
06-19 20:15:20	btc updown 5m 1781900100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x843ff0…
06-19 20:12:32	btc updown 5m 1781899800	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xd3ffb1…
06-19 20:10:23	btc updown 5m 1781899800	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xde8350…
06-19 20:05:53	btc updown 5m 1781899500	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa0e5fc…
06-19 20:01:19	btc updown 5m 1781899200	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x664ccd…
06-19 20:00:10	btc updown 5m 1781899200	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x74f24b…
06-19 20:00:01	btc updown 5m 1781899200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x20e795…
06-19 19:58:43	btc updown 5m 1781898900	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b3f95…
06-19 19:57:05	btc updown 5m 1781898900	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7ceee5…
06-19 19:51:25	btc updown 5m 1781898600	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9c5332…
05-13 10:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe63826…
05-13 10:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x95b6a2…
05-12 21:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x78e80b…
05-12 21:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x784483…
05-12 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1bf0c6…
05-12 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbfd403…
05-12 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3b14bd…
05-12 21:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x8d3fc5…
05-12 21:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc7ab5a…
05-12 21:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x78b03d…
05-12 21:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf55d9f…
05-12 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x81ee83…
05-12 21:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xda5ae6…
05-12 21:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7b8d3a…
05-12 21:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd295b9…
05-12 21:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa5cf0e…
05-12 21:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x735ca5…
05-12 21:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6903ad…
05-12 21:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x48896d…
05-12 21:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xaa9f6d…
05-12 21:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x812ec6…
05-12 21:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x414a58…
05-12 21:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe2ec33…
05-12 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe48a48…
05-12 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe1d20e…
05-12 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xddd40e…
05-12 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb9b71b…
05-12 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb6de63…
05-12 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9bbed0…
05-12 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x789417…
05-12 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7085a6…
05-12 21:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x80ba5e…
05-12 21:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2a170c…
05-12 21:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3a6c92…
05-12 21:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1c7081…
05-12 21:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x104eec…
05-12 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	62¢	$3	0x56f212…
05-12 21:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x76e477…
05-12 21:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1ee6a1…
05-12 21:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x613c32…
05-12 21:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2acd8d…
05-12 20:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xbaf3ca…
05-12 20:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x05f74c…
05-12 20:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x9fb49a…
05-12 20:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x372715…
05-12 20:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x16dfd2…