Familiar-Acquisition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$342

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-15 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% +$76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$46	42	42	+0	Down	+$36	05-09 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$46	48	48	+0	Down	+$26	05-10 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$35	93	93	+0	Down	+$11	05-10 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$33	50	50	+0	Down	+$23	05-08 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$20	104	45	+58	Up	+$0	05-09 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$20	19	19	+0	Down	+$10	05-10 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$16	62	62	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$13	33	13	+20	Down	$-0	05-10 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$12	21	21	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$11	62	62	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$10	50	0	+50	Up	$-10	05-10 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$10	111	0	+111	Down	$-10	05-10 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$10	91	0	+91	Down	$-10	05-10 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$5	50	0	+50	Up	$-5	05-09 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$5	235	0	+235	Up	$-5	05-08 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	Down	$-5	05-08 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	$-5	05-10 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	Down	$-5	05-10 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	45	0	+45	Down	$-5	05-08 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	Down	+$23	05-08 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-08 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-08 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$2	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	Up	$-2	05-13 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$2	61	0	+61	open	—	05-15 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	Down	+$9	05-09 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$2	29	0	+29	Down	$-2	05-10 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$2	22	0	+22	Down	$-2	05-09 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$1	67	0	+67	Down	$-1	05-08 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$1	29	0	+29	Down	$-1	05-09 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 10:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x55d39b…
05-15 10:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x628024…
05-13 09:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa46b41…
05-10 19:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5e8bde…
05-10 19:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xcc3d80…
05-10 18:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xa1df39…
05-10 18:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x5f241a…
05-10 18:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	53	40¢	$21	0x97360c…
05-10 18:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xb56411…
05-10 18:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	48	75¢	$36	0x5a12e0…
05-10 18:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x9b0ec8…
05-10 18:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x613266…
05-10 18:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0xb29018…
05-10 18:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe13810…
05-10 18:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xce0fc7…
05-10 18:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x3628c8…
05-10 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x92312a…
05-10 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x271640…
05-10 18:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	62	18¢	$11	0x1d9c9b…
05-10 18:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x39669b…
05-10 18:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4dfdcb…
05-10 18:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x696d43…
05-10 18:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xbe5e67…
05-10 18:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xdd61f3…
05-10 17:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x055de7…
05-09 16:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x33cf77…
05-09 16:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x1a0c24…
05-09 16:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x0dd0e4…
05-09 16:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5735d0…
05-09 16:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x221e86…
05-09 09:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xe08de3…
05-09 09:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x76aeda…
05-09 09:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xf5f142…
05-09 09:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb9db34…
05-08 15:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf960a6…
05-08 15:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6da9a7…
05-08 15:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc87c9a…
05-08 15:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x9c9d77…
05-08 15:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7b4ce6…
05-08 15:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x9baddb…
05-08 14:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	62	9¢	$6	0x2a4e5b…
05-08 14:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x498c83…
05-08 14:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd28a0d…
05-08 14:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc2ad7a…
05-08 14:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	235	2¢	$5	0xd3fcfb…