Punctual-Furnace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-24 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$0

Other

15% — —

Politics

8% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	03-16 03:52
cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	2	$169	112	112	+0	open	—	03-19 01:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	2	$141	70	70	+0	open	—	05-24 00:46
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	04-13 09:58
nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-18 03:30
bitcoin above 66k on march 17	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 03:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	05-24 15:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	05-19 14:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	05-07 00:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-27 13:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-23 16:00
bitcoin above 66k on april 20	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-18 06:51
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-16 05:06
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$69	70	0	+70	open	—	04-14 04:53
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	04-10 03:33
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	04-07 23:56
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	04-30 14:44
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	04-06 07:56
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	04-01 05:04
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-31 05:05
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-30 05:14
dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game1	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-28 16:31
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-27 13:48
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$68	69	0	+69	open	—	03-26 13:22
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$68	68	0	+68	open	—	03-24 11:25
bitcoin above 62k on march 22	1	$68	68	0	+68	open	—	03-21 07:28
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	1	$68	68	0	+68	open	—	03-20 18:34
cbb bradly day 2026 03 18	1	$68	68	0	+68	open	—	03-19 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:52:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x914481…
05-24 00:46:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x283a41…
05-23 02:34:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfdf410…
05-19 14:58:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x01730e…
05-11 01:48:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x648a38…
05-07 00:44:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd68c6d…
05-05 06:30:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xcb637c…
04-30 14:44:00	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x02f950…
04-27 13:05:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xda0436…
04-23 16:00:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfc2061…
04-18 06:51:32	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4af069…
04-16 05:06:10	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x29821f…
04-14 04:53:19	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0xb09ca4…
04-13 09:58:33	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$69	0x7bd1dd…
04-11 23:57:27	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0x8e981d…
04-10 03:33:35	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x1eb841…
04-07 23:56:35	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x9a36a1…
04-06 07:56:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xe79904…
04-01 05:04:21	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xb1f344…
03-31 05:05:37	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x89c925…
03-30 05:14:24	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x8019fe…
03-28 16:31:19	dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game1	Tundra Esports	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xc8926b…
03-27 13:48:03	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xf8d04a…
03-26 13:22:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$68	0x207128…
03-24 11:25:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x4da0f9…
03-21 07:28:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xf4c8a6…
03-20 18:34:55	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x3ecd1a…
03-19 02:39:05	cbb bradly day 2026 03 18	Dayton Flyers	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x8fdba7…
03-19 01:47:21	cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	George Washington Revolutionaries	SELL	112	61¢	$68	0x8fd134…
03-19 01:08:05	cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	George Washington Revolutionaries	BUY	112	90¢	$101	0xce8b5b…
03-18 03:30:57	nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	Oilers	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd33722…
03-16 03:54:57	bitcoin above 66k on march 17	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa922ce…
03-16 03:52:59	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x61677e…
03-14 03:47:49	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x00f607…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Energetic-Freight-Comparison 0xb0d1…26b5	29	$3.27K	32	05-24 15:51
Handy-Meal 0x95ad…b390	29	$2.32K	33	05-24 15:51
Suburban-Pretzel 0x6500…1981	29	$2.31K	33	05-24 15:51
Authentic-Percentage 0x228e…b6f4	29	$2.21K	33	05-24 15:51
Dearest-Quit 0x82d8…c7b4	28	$3.17K	31	05-24 15:52
Past-Harpsichord 0x2356…a0bf	28	$3.16K	31	05-24 15:51
Upset-Velvet 0x585e…f63e	28	$2.38K	32	05-24 15:52
Talkative-Scholar 0xcf26…d54c	28	$2.25K	32	05-24 15:51