Oval-Pay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$441

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-01 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 75% +$10

Politics

18% — —

Other

13% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$77	62	62	+0	Down	+$47	05-05 16:25
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	2	$64	90	90	+0	open	—	02-05 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$50	147	0	+147	Down	$-50	05-05 16:27
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	2	$42	60	60	+0	open	—	02-02 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	05-05 16:20
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$22	95	95	+0	open	—	03-04 11:45
will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	11	$18	526	0	+526	open	—	02-02 17:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$17	28	0	+28	open	—	03-31 12:01
btc updown 5m 1782903000	3	$17	23	13	+9	open	—	07-01 10:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$15	555	0	+555	open	—	03-31 12:00
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$15	60	0	+60	open	—	02-27 15:56
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	1	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	03-05 20:21
btc updown 5m 1782902100	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	07-01 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 14:42
btc updown 5m 1782902400	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	07-01 10:43
btc updown 5m 1782902700	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	07-01 10:45
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$9	0	110	-110	open	—	07-01 10:36
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	1	$3	0	143	-143	open	—	07-01 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 10:53:02	btc updown 5m 1782903000	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x773044…
07-01 10:52:26	btc updown 5m 1782903000	Up	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0xac92a9…
07-01 10:51:35	btc updown 5m 1782903000	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x07be34…
07-01 10:45:58	btc updown 5m 1782902700	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x3abf99…
07-01 10:43:10	btc updown 5m 1782902400	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x26f423…
07-01 10:40:22	btc updown 5m 1782902100	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8d58fc…
07-01 10:38:07	btc updown 5m 1782902100	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x080ef7…
07-01 10:36:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	110	8¢	$9	0xe1c209…
07-01 10:35:13	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	2¢	$3	0x41c6d4…
05-06 14:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x294ef8…
05-06 14:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdb99c4…
05-05 16:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x6a61a4…
05-05 16:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0xb9c897…
05-05 16:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x94b47e…
05-05 16:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x3d123b…
05-05 16:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x07d15d…
03-31 12:01:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0xc6bd26…
03-31 12:00:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	555	3¢	$15	0xb68d57…
03-05 20:21:03	will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x2843bd…
03-04 11:45:35	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	95	4¢	$4	0x65ca0e…
02-28 23:18:19	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	95	19¢	$18	0xfd8a83…
02-27 15:56:11	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xbd43b3…
02-05 09:00:11	will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	Yes	SELL	90	50¢	$45	0x37b788…
02-02 21:20:46	will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	Yes	BUY	90	21¢	$19	0xf88bcb…
02-02 21:18:28	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	Yes	SELL	60	26¢	$16	0x3d0b8f…
02-02 17:31:14	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0xf4c8d5…
02-02 17:31:14	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0xce0f35…
02-02 17:31:14	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x3429a0…
02-02 17:31:14	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0x005eb1…
01-31 15:08:48	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1ee7b8…
01-30 23:16:04	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	Yes	BUY	60	44¢	$27	0xceef7c…
01-30 21:09:50	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0x61a0ec…
01-30 21:09:44	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc08521…
01-30 21:09:44	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x02fe1f…
01-30 21:09:42	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x492f1a…
01-30 17:37:14	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6dd64f…
01-30 13:03:54	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xb0998c…