Variable-Commission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-10 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$0

Other

42% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 540 559	1	$118	118	+118	open	—	02-15 03:49
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	1	$117	118	+118	open	—	02-11 06:56
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$117	118	+118	open	—	02-03 07:47
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	1	$117	117	+117	open	—	01-31 06:22
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 220 239	1	$117	117	+117	open	—	01-27 03:06
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 21 2026	1	$117	117	+117	open	—	01-22 03:07
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 200 219	1	$116	116	+116	open	—	01-17 08:06
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	03-07 05:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 17	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	03-17 03:13
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	03-13 06:53
bitcoin above 88k on january 8	1	$113	116	+116	open	—	01-08 08:36
bitcoin above 62k on april 6	2	$113	113	+113	open	—	04-06 05:22
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	04-10 08:05
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 215 239	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-27 06:18
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 24	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-23 03:31
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 480 499	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-31 11:00
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 240plus	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	04-17 07:20
will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	06-05 06:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$107	107	+107	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:26
bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	06-10 06:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$106	106	+106	No	+$0	05-05 07:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	05-30 10:31
bitcoin above 62k on april 13	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	04-12 06:24
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$103	104	+104	open	—	04-23 06:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	1	$4	2,210	+2,210	open	—	04-12 06:15
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$3	1,685	+1,685	open	—	04-23 06:09
bitcoin above 74k on march 27	1	$3	1,600	+1,600	open	—	03-27 06:15
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 200plus	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-27 06:18
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 200plus	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-23 03:32
ethereum above 2000 on april 12	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-12 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:09:54	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x7c463f…
06-05 06:16:07	will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xd942a7…
05-30 10:31:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x1eaaf2…
05-09 09:26:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x0ac1df…
05-05 07:11:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xfa419e…
04-23 06:10:50	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x1efe81…
04-23 06:10:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc22995…
04-23 06:10:24	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05b390…
04-23 06:09:10	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,685	0¢	$3	0x3be71e…
04-17 07:20:28	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 240plus	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x69c9a2…
04-12 06:24:51	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x18db82…
04-12 06:24:41	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6bcc91…
04-12 06:24:21	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x105d31…
04-12 06:24:09	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39b0bb…
04-12 06:15:15	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	Yes	BUY	2,210	0¢	$4	0xeeb672…
04-10 08:05:39	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xfe5dbd…
04-06 05:22:31	bitcoin above 62k on april 6	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xa8c853…
04-06 05:11:19	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x5383e6…
04-06 05:10:07	bitcoin above 62k on april 6	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc03f3…
03-31 11:00:29	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 480 499	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x17b9cc…
03-31 11:00:17	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 120 139	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f15be…
03-31 10:59:49	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e8685…
03-27 06:18:53	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 215 239	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe00db3…
03-27 06:18:41	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 200plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a3b5c…
03-27 06:18:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa6583…
03-27 06:18:09	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57bfdd…
03-27 06:15:33	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	Yes	BUY	1,600	0¢	$3	0xa26b17…
03-23 03:32:19	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 200plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35faf1…
03-23 03:32:09	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1000 1039	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe93290…
03-23 03:31:37	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 24	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x98d026…
03-17 03:13:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 17	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xe81517…
03-13 06:53:05	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x6cb44d…
03-07 05:58:17	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xe35f66…
03-07 05:58:07	will the bank of israel increase the bank of israel interest rate after the march decision	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4949f2…
03-07 05:57:55	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x01c87f…
02-15 03:49:35	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 540 559	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x9982ad…
02-11 06:56:37	will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0xf60a74…
02-03 07:47:58	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x99be23…
01-31 06:22:16	will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xb31cf2…
01-27 03:06:25	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 220 239	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xec20cc…
01-22 03:07:06	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 21 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x30bb54…
01-17 08:06:48	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 200 219	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x4db262…
01-08 08:36:35	bitcoin above 88k on january 8	Yes	BUY	116	97¢	$113	0x933acc…