Salty-Library — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

202

lifetime

Volume

$5.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-01 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$32

Crypto

23% 88% $-8

Politics

15% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	4	$1.1K	545	545	+0	Yes	+$4	05-05 11:45
btc updown 5m 1782932700	1	$600	1,014	0	+1,014	open	—	07-01 19:07
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$445	237	236	+0	open	—	04-12 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$280	385	385	+0	open	—	05-14 12:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$199	120	120	+0	open	—	04-15 15:56
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	2	$162	89	89	+0	No	+$3	05-13 19:56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 13?	1	$120	129	0	+129	Yes	+$9	05-13 06:17
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	05-16 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$100	726	0	+726	open	—	05-14 11:49
Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	05-12 06:09
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 13?	1	$100	108	0	+108	Yes	+$8	05-13 06:16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 12?	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	05-12 06:14
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 14?	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	05-14 06:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$92	54	54	+0	open	—	05-15 09:58
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?	1	$80	81	0	+81	Up	+$1	05-12 19:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	04-27 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$62	164	164	+0	open	—	05-14 12:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$58	31	31	+0	open	—	04-29 21:06
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	05-14 10:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-15 08:04
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	1	$50	53	0	+53	Yes	+$3	05-13 06:21
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	05-14 06:22
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	2	$46	26	26	+0	Yes	+$4	05-12 18:29
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	4	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-17 16:27
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	4	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	04-21 16:31
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	3	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 11:14
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-27 10:49
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	5	$34	19	18	+0	open	—	04-21 15:06
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	6	$34	39	5	+34	open	—	04-24 10:20
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	3	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-21 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 19:21:28	btc updown 5m 1782933600	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x866df4…
07-01 19:13:04	btc updown 5m 1782933000	Down	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xd2b2a1…
07-01 19:07:04	btc updown 5m 1782932700	Down	BUY	1,014	59¢	$600	0x386a23…
05-16 20:02:22	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xb5bbb6…
05-16 20:02:22	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x0225ac…
05-15 12:37:09	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x9b3472…
05-15 09:58:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	54	77¢	$42	0x101bd3…
05-15 08:04:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xdd0ed5…
05-15 08:03:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xe34f76…
05-14 12:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xcb47dd…
05-14 12:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xca9f57…
05-14 12:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x06f472…
05-14 12:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	118	27¢	$32	0x93a0c2…
05-14 12:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	118	21¢	$25	0xc9be01…
05-14 12:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x6c7cae…
05-14 12:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	385	47¢	$180	0xf4d001…
05-14 12:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x22d7f5…
05-14 11:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4e9d94…
05-14 11:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	726	14¢	$100	0xcf7264…
05-14 10:24:43	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x000871…
05-14 06:22:06	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xff9dd0…
05-14 06:19:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x5a680b…
05-13 19:56:43	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	SELL	89	92¢	$82	0x5cdf75…
05-13 06:21:25	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xc3a69e…
05-13 06:20:59	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	89	89¢	$80	0xb23e2a…
05-13 06:17:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	129	93¢	$120	0x0f344f…
05-13 06:16:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xd1700f…
05-12 19:39:20	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xc47904…
05-12 18:29:20	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x3c600e…
05-12 15:59:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x5e3970…
05-12 06:14:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc0d838…
05-12 06:09:02	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x98607d…
05-11 18:55:17	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xded6b4…
05-08 12:23:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xad3181…
05-08 04:08:24	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x51f2f4…
05-07 11:22:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x8887df…
05-06 17:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0xc03b20…
05-06 17:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdc4f76…
05-06 17:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x64925c…
05-06 17:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xae8c71…
05-06 17:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9e5c7e…
05-06 16:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x321920…
05-06 16:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x55e9e7…
05-06 16:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x8bc02e…
05-06 16:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xecee96…
05-06 16:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xbeb39e…
05-06 16:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x337c7a…
05-06 16:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1c5b53…
05-06 16:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe5e4ef…
05-06 16:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xc75b8f…
05-06 16:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x03872e…
05-06 16:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x574a5f…
05-06 16:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x28c0dc…
05-06 15:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x72e88f…
05-06 15:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xee2435…
05-05 15:09:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x39bc69…
05-05 11:45:56	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	SELL	545	100¢	$544	0x5fd356…
05-05 11:21:54	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x6fe87d…
05-05 10:54:46	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x74953b…
05-05 10:52:18	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x981704…
05-01 12:25:36	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6cdb4b…
04-29 21:06:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xa37f3f…
04-29 20:57:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x88ae8c…
04-29 18:13:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x4de563…
04-28 14:40:02	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5ff364…
04-28 07:18:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x067ad5…
04-27 20:58:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0xfaaf4a…
04-27 17:51:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x736914…
04-27 16:54:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x41f225…
04-27 16:53:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x2b30ca…
04-27 16:53:16	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x181d97…
04-27 10:55:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x314b65…
04-27 10:52:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xdcc889…
04-27 10:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x96d5de…
04-27 10:49:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16702d…
04-27 10:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9dffb0…
04-25 11:05:22	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba42ff…
04-25 10:39:40	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x67f3ba…
04-25 07:27:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0xf8ded4…
04-25 07:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x93b43c…
04-24 17:39:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x08a78f…
04-24 15:06:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0x036139…
04-24 12:40:12	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x90cc63…
04-24 11:42:48	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0fe087…
04-24 11:16:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf83959…
04-24 11:14:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x95b42c…
04-24 10:25:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xe03ea1…
04-24 10:20:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xc074c8…
04-24 10:19:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2fa63b…
04-24 10:17:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc688d4…
04-24 10:16:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x59d281…
04-24 10:16:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf02e15…
04-24 07:19:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5fea73…
04-24 07:18:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xab492e…
04-23 20:27:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8dba0e…
04-23 20:21:44	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x0aa2d1…
04-23 20:21:04	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x04cb65…
04-23 20:20:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x81226d…
04-23 20:18:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4506d6…
04-23 20:17:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xb999c9…