Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
20
lifetime
Volume
$87
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$76
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 07-05 12:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
76%
Politics
24% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-11 92¢ $-12 $-1 06-14 12:55
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-10 $-0 06-16 13:36
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 07-05 13:02
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 $-0 07-05 13:32
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +10 $8 75¢ $8 $-1 07-04 12:41
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? No -8 $-7 92¢ $-7 $-0 06-06 10:50
China coup attempt before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 07-05 13:39
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -5 $-4 89¢ $-4 $-0 06-04 09:10
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 18:20
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $4 73¢ $4 $-0 07-05 12:17
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +36 $3 $3 +$0 07-05 12:18
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +6 $0 12¢ $1 +$0 07-05 13:42
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1 $-1 20¢ $0 +$1 07-05 16:07