Smug-Assessment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$216

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$189

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-07 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

92% 0% $-1

Sports

5% 50% +$217

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$1.6K	782	782	+0	open	—	04-25 09:12
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$1.5K	746	746	+0	No	$-1	04-25 09:12
Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$1.5K	733	733	+0	open	—	04-25 09:12
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$157	424	0	+424	Timberwolves	+$267	05-09 05:42
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$50	136	0	+136	Spurs	$-50	05-08 08:27
solana above 180 on february 4	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	02-02 08:18
ethereum above 3800 on january 23	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-21 08:47
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	05-18 05:56
will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	1	$18	51	0	+51	open	—	07-07 05:56
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	2	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-23 08:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-25 09:11
will ethereum dip to 1600 april 6 12	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-10 11:51
Will Solana dip to $50 May 18-24?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	05-23 08:09
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-24 06:15
will xrp dip to 0pt8 march 9 15	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-12 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 05:56:37	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	BUY	51	36¢	$18	0x0df936…
05-23 08:09:16	Will Solana dip to $50 May 18-24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x120339…
05-23 08:08:29	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d034b…
05-23 08:07:31	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x89ff8a…
05-18 05:56:07	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45b617…
05-18 05:54:56	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb8f276…
05-09 05:42:54	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	424	37¢	$157	0x419fac…
05-08 08:27:05	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0xa592db…
04-25 09:12:48	Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	733	100¢	$729	0x741aac…
04-25 09:12:40	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x3196e2…
04-25 09:12:34	Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0x1428c4…
04-25 09:12:14	Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xb3c709…
04-25 09:12:08	Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	422	100¢	$420	0x3231ce…
04-25 09:11:48	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	710	100¢	$709	0x26dde3…
04-25 09:11:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c6909…
04-25 09:11:32	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0x4ff0a7…
04-25 09:11:12	Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	360	100¢	$359	0x037932…
04-25 09:11:02	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	375	100¢	$375	0x37cf9e…
04-25 09:10:44	Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	391	100¢	$390	0x3795f6…
04-25 09:10:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1e7327…
04-25 09:10:28	Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	782	100¢	$780	0x3d27f7…
04-10 11:51:49	will ethereum dip to 1600 april 6 12	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x90bbcf…
03-24 06:15:09	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x76afa6…
03-12 05:57:03	will xrp dip to 0pt8 march 9 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4659cf…
02-02 08:18:04	solana above 180 on february 4	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xbe5bda…
01-21 08:47:26	ethereum above 3800 on january 23	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x438407…