Watchful-Firm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$485

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% $-33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	10	$96	366	366	+0	Up	+$16	05-11 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	9	$77	54	54	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 22:37
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	41	$41	154	0	+154	Down	+$13	05-11 23:29
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	39	$39	762	0	+762	Up	$-39	05-11 23:39
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	36	$36	351	0	+351	Down	$-36	05-12 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	7	$35	63	0	+63	Up	+$28	05-11 22:42
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	7	$27	82	0	+82	Up	+$55	05-11 22:59
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	20	$20	451	0	+451	Down	$-20	05-11 23:03
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	20	$20	75	0	+75	Down	$-20	05-11 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	15	$15	38	0	+38	Up	+$23	05-11 23:11
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	13	$13	19	0	+19	Down	+$6	05-11 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	Down	$-10	05-11 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	42	0	+42	Up	$-10	05-11 22:31
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$10	188	0	+188	Up	$-10	05-11 22:48
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	10	$10	127	0	+127	Down	$-10	05-12 17:59
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$7	429	0	+429	Down	$-7	05-11 23:49
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$6	138	0	+138	Up	$-6	05-12 17:55
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	6	$6	43	0	+43	Down	$-6	05-11 23:07
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$4	160	0	+160	Down	$-4	05-11 23:45
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$3	117	0	+117	Up	$-3	05-11 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 18:13:37	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x537906…
05-12 18:13:35	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa7ebeb…
05-12 18:13:34	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0xcf352f…
05-12 18:13:34	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xa4b143…
05-12 18:12:34	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xc57ef2…
05-12 18:12:31	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xe6582d…
05-12 18:12:13	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdfa89d…
05-12 18:11:28	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x90718e…
05-12 18:11:26	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8e21c2…
05-12 18:11:26	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x097272…
05-12 18:11:24	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xce4a5d…
05-12 18:02:36	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xef949f…
05-12 18:02:34	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xff7b19…
05-12 18:02:34	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb34b0c…
05-12 18:02:32	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4e88d7…
05-12 18:02:32	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x15858f…
05-12 18:02:32	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x00775a…
05-12 18:02:30	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdcaa97…
05-12 18:02:30	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb8bc47…
05-12 18:02:30	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x200893…
05-12 18:02:29	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xea8b37…
05-12 18:02:29	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5ccedd…
05-12 18:02:29	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3f92eb…
05-12 18:02:27	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9a0300…
05-12 18:02:27	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x529e55…
05-12 18:02:25	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7f1e2e…
05-12 18:02:25	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x012eaf…
05-12 18:02:23	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x854537…
05-12 18:02:23	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6b25f6…
05-12 18:02:23	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x62b348…
05-12 18:02:22	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x31883f…
05-12 18:01:52	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x492a94…
05-12 18:01:52	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2886b5…
05-12 18:01:50	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9795a8…
05-12 18:01:48	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd17fae…
05-12 18:01:48	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x300ee6…
05-12 17:59:30	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x34e9cf…
05-12 17:59:28	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xa4386c…
05-12 17:58:48	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfaebb7…
05-12 17:58:27	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9a3450…
05-12 17:57:52	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x383102…
05-12 17:57:50	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xafc3f8…
05-12 17:57:49	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf68e39…
05-12 17:57:49	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0ddd6c…
05-12 17:57:47	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xeeeb5e…
05-12 17:57:47	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcce01d…
05-12 17:55:01	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe46626…
05-12 17:54:29	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x62f842…
05-12 17:53:19	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0aa95b…
05-12 17:53:17	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc79947…
05-12 17:51:45	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7b4681…
05-12 17:51:45	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x627e9b…
05-11 23:49:45	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0b0fa1…
05-11 23:49:40	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9fbc13…
05-11 23:49:38	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x32aef8…
05-11 23:49:29	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x33a3ee…
05-11 23:49:24	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x9fe1e5…
05-11 23:48:42	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfe80df…
05-11 23:48:42	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x68f9d1…
05-11 23:45:03	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x71cbba…
05-11 23:44:53	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x91cb19…
05-11 23:44:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xf101ca…
05-11 23:44:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x8a57c1…
05-11 23:39:38	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf6eda7…
05-11 23:39:38	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xab464e…
05-11 23:39:38	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1cbf8d…
05-11 23:39:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe13e0b…
05-11 23:39:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e4198…
05-11 23:39:06	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xe2e326…
05-11 23:39:04	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc56c81…
05-11 23:38:38	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc09c61…
05-11 23:38:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe40557…
05-11 23:38:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc1909a…
05-11 23:38:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa93802…
05-11 23:38:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x89dc07…
05-11 23:38:10	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x77f39a…
05-11 23:38:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xedff0c…
05-11 23:38:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd3ca69…
05-11 23:38:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd3a922…
05-11 23:38:07	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xacdb01…
05-11 23:37:11	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x26e5b6…
05-11 23:36:37	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x92c195…
05-11 23:36:37	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4a69eb…
05-11 23:36:37	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x07dcac…
05-11 23:36:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xd56d4f…
05-11 23:36:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x81e31a…
05-11 23:36:34	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbb4de7…
05-11 23:36:29	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x992ed9…
05-11 23:36:13	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe300bc…
05-11 23:36:13	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb7086f…
05-11 23:36:13	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x91ca1e…
05-11 23:36:11	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd0234a…
05-11 23:36:11	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2d63d7…
05-11 23:36:11	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0f3767…
05-11 23:36:09	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xae8581…
05-11 23:36:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa0561c…
05-11 23:36:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9ba826…
05-11 23:36:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x772cd1…
05-11 23:36:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4a9358…
05-11 23:36:06	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa51315…