Vicious-Kickoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.5%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$159

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-16 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 9% $-14

Politics

26% — —

Other

18% 80% +$4

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	12	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 12:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$11	6	7	-1	open	—	05-15 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-16 11:53
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	2	$5	80	80	+0	open	—	05-15 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-16 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-16 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-16 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-16 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-16 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-16 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-16 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 08:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	05-16 12:42
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	05-11 12:31
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 05:48
Bengaluru 2: Omar Jasika vs Hamish Stewart	2	$2	3	0	+3	Hamish Stewart	+$1	05-12 07:37
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 19:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 07:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 09:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 09:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 16:11
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-10 11:59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	2	$2	3	0	+3	Coco Gauff	+$1	05-11 11:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 09:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 07:43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 09:46
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 12:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x5b08a9…
05-16 12:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xf3b0cd…
05-16 12:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x706366…
05-16 12:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x66d738…
05-16 12:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa48f7a…
05-16 12:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x97205c…
05-16 12:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xefca80…
05-16 12:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x580950…
05-16 12:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7796aa…
05-16 12:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x57468e…
05-16 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x19e1f2…
05-16 11:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa6033c…
05-16 11:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3b1cd3…
05-16 11:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe6f147…
05-16 11:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd35945…
05-16 10:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb435f8…
05-16 09:53:48	Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x4f731c…
05-16 09:50:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xb32e81…
05-16 09:49:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xe1388f…
05-16 09:47:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x4a7c11…
05-16 09:47:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xd93630…
05-16 09:46:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x248de8…
05-16 09:46:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xf4e79c…
05-16 08:13:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x250857…
05-16 07:45:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdf6de6…
05-16 07:43:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xea83f7…
05-16 07:39:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x547c41…
05-16 03:01:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6cb59e…
05-15 23:16:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x375983…
05-15 23:09:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x48589a…
05-15 23:03:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xe90359…
05-15 22:57:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7fa99d…
05-15 22:53:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x41cc18…
05-15 22:44:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9da889…
05-15 22:42:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x78316a…
05-15 22:35:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xaeefa9…
05-15 22:28:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x38f40e…
05-15 22:21:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8206e2…
05-15 22:10:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x262274…
05-15 21:18:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdbe8f0…
05-15 21:16:19	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd98d32…
05-15 20:50:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x845114…
05-15 20:48:36	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd7d828…
05-15 20:32:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x35de45…
05-15 19:50:23	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xb1c860…
05-15 19:24:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4e7f9e…
05-15 19:11:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x3c6933…
05-15 19:08:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdbf668…
05-15 18:53:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xadd1b6…
05-15 18:49:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfcb973…
05-15 18:48:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe452ca…
05-15 18:11:08	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x921170…
05-15 17:04:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xea72f9…
05-15 16:26:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x210adf…
05-15 16:13:55	Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x17460f…
05-15 16:13:28	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x5dc59c…
05-15 16:12:57	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	Lucknow Super Giants	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x998986…
05-15 16:11:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x842a57…
05-15 16:03:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x147000…
05-15 15:51:46	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xabe967…
05-15 15:36:57	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdb74ff…
05-15 15:31:58	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x897e37…
05-15 05:48:12	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xd6aa7e…
05-15 05:00:27	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x838874…
05-13 08:15:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x7bc9b1…
05-12 15:04:13	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x069d82…
05-12 10:40:03	Paris: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8ceb65…
05-12 09:08:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x535e80…
05-12 07:37:21	Bengaluru 2: Omar Jasika vs Hamish Stewart	Hamish Stewart	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x0eaa41…
05-12 06:27:47	Bengaluru 2: Omar Jasika vs Hamish Stewart	Hamish Stewart	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x551f50…
05-12 04:33:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5867f7…
05-12 00:42:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7dc0c6…
05-11 12:31:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9b82d0…
05-11 11:49:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	Coco Gauff	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xde2544…
05-11 11:27:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0cbf60…
05-11 10:46:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	Coco Gauff	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1ed88f…
05-11 10:44:51	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8d1a2e…
05-11 06:59:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb5930b…
05-11 06:38:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdc374b…
05-11 06:35:32	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2afbef…
05-11 06:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3a67e4…
05-11 05:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x372162…
05-11 05:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc2a3fd…
05-11 05:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc62a71…
05-11 01:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x47cafc…
05-10 11:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x75ddf6…
05-10 11:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfeecd8…
05-10 10:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc25b7e…
05-10 10:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7a1d42…
05-10 09:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6c73b8…
05-10 09:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe09ad5…
05-10 08:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb84067…
05-10 08:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xac9b63…
05-10 08:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8b3c41…
05-10 08:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1d2e02…
05-10 08:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbf0e81…
05-10 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x157ee3…
05-10 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa87360…
05-10 08:17:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xeaa412…
05-10 08:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x338fd9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	49	$154.4K	2,758	06-01 04:51
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	48	$35.6K	498	06-01 05:53
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	38	$9.82K	1,105	05-16 12:44
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	36	$4.20K	903	05-16 14:55
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	35	$19.3K	2,959	05-22 20:45
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	34	$3.52K	160	05-16 12:44
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	33	$22.4K	1,740	05-16 12:44
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	33	$20.4K	1,500	05-16 12:44