Monthly-Ocelot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$511

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-02 11:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-9

Sports

18% — —

Politics

17% — —

Pop-Culture

6% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$85	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 09:48
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	5	$51	56	50	+6	open	—	05-02 01:57
Pistons vs. Magic	6	$45	102	102	+0	open	—	04-25 18:45
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	3	$45	143	143	+0	open	—	04-25 18:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$42	267	267	+0	open	—	04-21 18:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$40	20	80	-60	open	—	05-01 21:35
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026?	2	$40	59	59	+0	open	—	04-21 18:18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	5	$39	64	64	+0	open	—	05-02 11:40
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	5	$35	25	70	-45	open	—	05-01 19:31
Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	3	$23	40	40	+0	open	—	04-24 17:06
Will Celsius (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$14	20	20	+0	Yes	$-3	05-01 09:48
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$14	20	20	+0	No	$-6	05-01 09:48
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	2	$9	299	0	+299	open	—	04-21 13:06
Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 18:24
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	2	$5	24	24	+0	open	—	04-22 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 14:34
Will Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming win LCP 2026 Split 2?	2	$4	11	11	+0	open	—	04-23 19:04
Will Citadel Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 18:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 01:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 14:42
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	1	$0	0	3	-3	open	—	04-22 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-02 11:40:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0xfbb869…
05-02 01:57:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7ee163…
05-01 22:24:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xc4eac1…
05-01 22:24:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	SELL	34	24¢	$8	0xce7397…
05-01 22:12:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x88e24b…
05-01 21:40:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xbc8ff7…
05-01 21:35:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	80	40¢	$32	0x653898…
05-01 21:04:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x3546a8…
05-01 19:31:28	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x4a359e…
05-01 19:31:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	48¢	$18	0xe3c5a3…
05-01 18:43:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x7fcf82…
05-01 17:16:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x328b94…
05-01 17:14:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x039cc2…
05-01 10:07:26	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x05e553…
05-01 10:04:28	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb6a04e…
05-01 10:04:04	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	39¢	$14	0xb88f11…
05-01 10:01:24	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x7d265b…
05-01 09:48:12	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xf5272f…
05-01 09:48:08	Will Celsius (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xba3e85…
05-01 09:48:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x5f86e8…
04-30 12:44:18	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x82a6c3…
04-30 10:19:16	Will Celsius (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x5f17a4…
04-29 23:01:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x1e7dd3…
04-25 18:45:30	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Pistons	SELL	143	14¢	$20	0x0a2345…
04-25 18:45:22	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	SELL	102	20¢	$20	0x6f618a…
04-25 18:43:30	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Pistons	BUY	74	17¢	$13	0xe4776b…
04-25 18:43:10	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbc5c08…
04-25 18:43:10	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6d4c87…
04-25 18:43:10	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x53f028…
04-25 18:43:08	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0xb9cdd7…
04-25 18:43:06	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x80e025…
04-25 18:43:04	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Pistons	BUY	69	18¢	$12	0x06da63…
04-25 14:42:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x8c7710…
04-25 14:41:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x85e5cc…
04-25 14:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x686748…
04-25 01:38:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x25a914…
04-25 01:38:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5aa5ba…
04-24 17:06:46	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x42326d…
04-23 20:57:00	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x801577…
04-23 19:04:40	Will Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming win LCP 2026 Split 2?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xea28cc…
04-23 18:24:24	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x47b6ba…
04-23 18:24:16	Will Citadel Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb86ffa…
04-23 14:45:18	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x6cd333…
04-23 14:05:16	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x7f0932…
04-23 04:35:08	Will Citadel Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xeffa6f…
04-22 20:58:48	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x613242…
04-22 20:58:42	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0xf480cf…
04-22 15:17:10	Will Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming win LCP 2026 Split 2?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x9666da…
04-22 09:57:00	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x2ef5dc…
04-21 18:32:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	267	8¢	$21	0x3d6139…
04-21 18:31:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	267	8¢	$21	0x031b7a…
04-21 18:18:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	20¢	$12	0x0bfd69…
04-21 16:59:18	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	48¢	$29	0xf96445…
04-21 13:06:24	Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0x625727…
04-21 13:06:20	Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	206	3¢	$6	0xb313dd…