Considerate-Botany — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$310

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 05-12 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% 100% +$6

Other

33% 100% +$33

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$3.3K	3,538	3,538	+0	open	—	04-17 13:10
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	7	$2.9K	1,658	1,658	+0	open	—	04-16 18:05
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	1	$2.0K	2,046	0	+2,046	open	—	04-20 12:01
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	1	$2.0K	1,999	0	+1,999	open	—	05-04 12:01
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-22 14:54
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-21 20:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$1.1K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	05-07 06:55
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$916	918	0	+918	open	—	01-28 18:57
will trump praise allah again by april 15	1	$551	967	0	+967	open	—	04-11 12:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	7	$551	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-10 15:01
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$408	250	250	+0	open	—	04-15 18:13
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$360	380	0	+380	open	—	04-23 18:00
Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?	2	$353	200	200	+0	Yes	+$33	05-12 10:17
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$344	200	200	+0	open	—	03-25 18:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	7	$135	555	555	+0	Yes	+$6	05-08 18:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$130	500	500	+0	open	—	01-31 00:00
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	3	$65	65,000	0	+65,000	open	—	04-06 12:03
Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-29 19:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-11 19:15
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-30 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 10:17:44	Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x45e001…
05-11 19:15:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x54d0ae…
05-11 19:12:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5a3568…
05-11 14:48:55	Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xc5da86…
05-08 18:03:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	13¢	$18	0xcc9723…
05-08 18:03:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x57b936…
05-08 18:03:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	13¢	$7	0x3a8abe…
05-08 18:03:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	13¢	$42	0xf8c909…
05-08 18:01:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	14¢	$36	0xdf9085…
05-08 18:01:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$23	0xd12d45…
05-07 06:55:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6,000	3¢	$199	0xfce760…
05-06 11:17:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6,000	15¢	$930	0x2fdf3e…
05-04 17:17:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xb27e8f…
05-04 12:01:30	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	1,999	100¢	$1,995	0xd6394c…
04-29 19:25:54	Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe2ed23…
04-23 18:00:46	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	95¢	$360	0x4d7181…
04-22 14:54:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	99	81¢	$80	0xc319dc…
04-22 14:52:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x42c8e8…
04-22 14:49:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	800	82¢	$656	0x84234d…
04-22 14:49:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x3dd94c…
04-22 14:33:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x820fa9…
04-21 20:36:44	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	1,000	60¢	$600	0x083c03…
04-21 20:33:14	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x5ff0da…
04-20 12:01:24	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	Yes	BUY	2,046	100¢	$2,044	0x0ccc33…
04-17 13:10:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	3,446	57¢	$1,964	0x986cd1…
04-17 13:10:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	35	57¢	$20	0x39219e…
04-17 13:10:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	36	57¢	$21	0xc93f31…
04-17 13:10:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x77c4ce…
04-17 12:48:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2,733	37¢	$1,011	0xd33fea…
04-17 12:48:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	255	36¢	$92	0xdb7375…
04-17 12:47:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x0abba9…
04-17 12:47:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	350	33¢	$116	0xfaa3ee…
04-16 18:05:38	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	97¢	$193	0x3a005c…
04-16 17:57:24	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x959ef3…
04-16 17:16:44	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	86¢	$67	0xd052a5…
04-16 17:16:34	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	408	86¢	$352	0x33c4b7…
04-16 17:15:52	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	972	86¢	$837	0x2d7a23…
04-16 15:37:24	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,158	90¢	$1,039	0xd36100…
04-16 15:17:40	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0xdc3b05…
04-15 18:13:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	250	85¢	$212	0x43bdd7…
04-15 18:09:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	250	78¢	$195	0x00431f…
04-11 12:59:31	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	967	57¢	$551	0x73edc4…
04-10 15:01:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	235	22¢	$53	0x386649…
04-08 11:41:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0x182351…
04-08 11:31:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	191	30¢	$57	0xdb0b52…
04-08 11:30:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$7	0xa38715…
04-08 11:27:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x7b96d8…
04-08 11:27:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	512	30¢	$154	0x976126…
04-08 11:24:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	27¢	$269	0x9fce48…
04-06 12:03:13	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x5e72be…
04-06 12:01:35	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0xcc2502…
04-06 12:01:11	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x9219ff…
03-25 18:43:07	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x19532b…
03-25 18:18:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x565d48…
01-31 00:00:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	500	12¢	$60	0xeba67d…
01-30 23:54:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x29880e…
01-30 11:49:26	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x42c02f…
01-28 18:57:32	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	918	100¢	$916	0x3f62ff…