Black-Bonding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 04-24 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% 0% $-1

Sports

27% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	9	$1.1K	562	562	+0	open	—	03-27 02:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$804	404	404	+0	open	—	04-21 05:29
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$760	381	381	+0	open	—	03-30 00:42
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$734	368	368	+0	No	$-0	04-24 03:01
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$506	253	253	+0	open	—	03-20 17:49
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	4	$366	183	183	+0	open	—	03-04 18:47
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$344	172	172	+0	open	—	04-13 03:07
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$344	173	173	+0	open	—	04-06 19:25
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$336	168	168	+0	open	—	03-16 00:57
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$330	165	165	+0	open	—	04-07 11:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$330	165	165	+0	open	—	03-15 02:43
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$330	165	165	+0	open	—	03-13 17:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$328	164	164	+0	open	—	04-06 01:45
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$326	163	163	+0	open	—	04-20 18:38
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$322	161	161	+0	open	—	04-17 08:09
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$322	161	161	+0	open	—	04-18 01:57
will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$319	160	160	+0	open	—	03-23 05:50
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$314	158	158	+0	open	—	04-03 10:39
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$308	154	154	+0	open	—	04-24 11:29
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$306	153	153	+0	No	$-0	04-04 18:45
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$296	149	149	+0	open	—	03-31 00:25
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$296	148	148	+0	open	—	04-03 19:32
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$292	147	147	+0	open	—	04-17 20:06
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$288	145	145	+0	No	$-0	04-01 15:13
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$284	142	142	+0	No	$-0	04-02 13:52
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	03-25 20:01
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	04-16 05:22
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	04-15 18:35
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	$-0	03-25 01:20
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$236	118	118	+0	open	—	02-28 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 11:29:28	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xf02d08…
04-24 08:55:08	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x8fe4ae…
04-24 03:01:10	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xaa36d2…
04-22 18:34:02	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x37d5b5…
04-21 05:29:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$140	0x773227…
04-20 18:39:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x3a27e1…
04-20 18:38:46	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x6b841c…
04-20 14:31:02	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xec585c…
04-18 01:57:48	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x0bd6f9…
04-17 20:06:34	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x22d386…
04-17 20:06:18	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0x3365c7…
04-17 14:22:06	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0xb1bc4a…
04-17 08:09:12	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x874b2a…
04-17 04:42:34	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xa35e3a…
04-16 05:22:40	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x53527d…
04-16 02:20:18	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x2aa42d…
04-15 18:35:04	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x21f446…
04-15 15:22:50	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x279523…
04-14 17:31:16	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x2296fc…
04-14 14:24:09	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x03a4fe…
04-14 07:17:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x15eff8…
04-13 21:56:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0x82e63a…
04-13 03:07:39	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x4f91a2…
04-12 18:09:27	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x988067…
04-07 15:53:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0xce39be…
04-07 11:28:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0xb501eb…
04-07 11:27:45	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x30d8d2…
04-07 08:07:05	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x0f4e8b…
04-06 19:25:47	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0xf96d2a…
04-06 15:37:47	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0xdaab6b…
04-06 01:45:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0x45327c…
04-05 22:35:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xfd059f…
04-04 18:45:19	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x223650…
04-04 12:03:39	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x4cab9a…
04-04 12:03:21	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xaba078…
04-04 09:21:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x899e14…
04-03 19:32:37	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0xc38502…
04-03 14:45:21	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xc04bf3…
04-03 10:39:47	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$157	0x753883…
04-03 07:02:51	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$157	0x71a933…
04-02 13:52:01	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x2a1dc3…
04-02 11:15:29	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xfa1e53…
04-01 15:13:31	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$144	0x020380…
04-01 11:20:57	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0xb6612c…
03-31 00:25:47	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$148	0x99a851…
03-30 20:37:15	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0x384b83…
03-30 00:42:02	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xf3ace1…
03-29 20:54:02	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xcc9225…
03-28 13:31:49	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xb80671…
03-28 09:43:29	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x231299…
03-27 18:56:45	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xd2d923…
03-27 15:26:05	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x5280f6…
03-27 02:37:03	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5c2fd0…
03-27 02:35:39	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x015621…
03-26 20:55:51	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x7c8e91…
03-26 20:55:35	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xacd969…
03-26 14:43:17	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xea1212…
03-25 20:01:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x1eec8b…
03-25 13:39:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xf3f785…
03-25 07:32:07	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x7f9549…
03-25 01:20:29	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x445829…
03-25 01:20:13	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x861d05…
03-24 19:01:17	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe5f08f…
03-24 06:28:25	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0xd49a5b…
03-24 00:18:49	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x367823…
03-23 05:50:25	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	160	100¢	$159	0x43fa17…
03-23 05:35:25	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7897b1…
03-23 05:34:41	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x2d745f…
03-22 05:16:01	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x16a77d…
03-21 22:49:51	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x0919a4…
03-20 17:49:55	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xc9407e…
03-20 10:00:41	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x50e8f0…
03-16 00:57:33	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x526a67…
03-15 17:22:51	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xf46820…
03-15 02:43:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x67a97c…
03-14 19:47:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xf99f7e…
03-13 17:29:45	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x1a4971…
03-13 10:44:53	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xf32fc1…
03-08 19:54:03	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Kings	BUY	35	47¢	$16	0x6c718d…
03-08 19:53:35	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Suns	BUY	49	38¢	$19	0x74c688…
03-08 19:53:07	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Spurs	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x38f375…
03-06 06:49:41	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x4091fb…
03-05 23:30:43	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x2d0319…
03-04 18:47:55	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x3bd6a7…
03-04 11:40:49	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3a493a…
03-03 23:56:01	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Knicks	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x0dcbd8…
03-03 13:26:17	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xa09f90…
03-03 13:25:47	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Nets	BUY	37	15¢	$5	0xc430b5…
03-03 13:25:19	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Pelicans	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xa475e8…
03-01 04:13:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xc73d5f…
02-28 17:58:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x6ac3f6…
02-28 08:06:23	ethereum above 2100 on february 28	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x017bf9…
02-28 08:05:57	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8c5377…
02-28 08:05:33	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9e9bb…
02-28 08:05:31	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x6c1ea0…
02-27 23:12:59	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x31764a…
02-27 23:12:09	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xf344ca…
02-27 16:19:15	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0f5130…
02-27 16:18:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0x0105f8…
02-27 11:04:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x89ec37…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	44	$12.5K	10,961	04-27 02:25
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	40	$46.6K	799	04-27 23:42
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	39	$972.0K	56,056	04-09 19:50
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	39	$632.6K	8,402	04-27 18:23
Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a	39	$494.9K	6,029	04-28 05:36
Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6	39	$218.8K	3,133	04-25 09:57
(anonymous) 0x9be9…c030	39	$144.7K	1,983	03-30 05:17
(anonymous) 0x4df7…522d	39	$104.0K	1,025	03-25 10:47