Fuzzy-Coordination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$6.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-22 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-86

Other

36% 0% $-10

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
italy nordio reform referendum passes	7	$1.6K	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	03-23 17:42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$395	1,501	251	+1,250	open	—	04-06 18:20
military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	3	$380	450	0	+450	open	—	03-28 15:02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$250	345	0	+345	open	—	04-06 19:50
military action against iran ends by march 30 2026	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	04-02 21:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$183	212	0	+212	open	—	04-16 10:53
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$158	193	0	+193	open	—	04-18 11:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$150	176	0	+176	open	—	03-31 19:30
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$140	183	0	+183	open	—	04-08 16:02
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	2	$139	170	0	+170	open	—	05-15 10:39
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$136	75	75	+0	open	—	04-18 11:24
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$122	168	0	+168	open	—	04-08 16:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$119	198	0	+198	open	—	04-12 12:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$101	104	0	+104	open	—	04-05 14:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$100	167	0	+167	open	—	05-04 18:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$100	190	0	+190	open	—	04-22 21:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$100	149	0	+149	open	—	04-06 19:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	03-25 13:17
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	03-25 13:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	04-01 12:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	05-04 18:04
military action against iran ends by march 28 2026	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	03-25 13:17
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$93	54	54	+0	open	—	04-02 21:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$73	43	43	+0	open	—	05-03 09:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$70	90	0	+90	open	—	04-05 14:47
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	1	$60	82	0	+82	Yes	$-60	04-22 21:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$57	356	0	+356	open	—	03-25 13:34
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$53	63	0	+63	open	—	04-22 20:58
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	1	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	03-25 13:20
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$50	315	0	+315	open	—	03-25 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 17:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8f7e6c…
05-22 17:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x051086…
05-22 17:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1a46fa…
05-22 17:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x5dab0c…
05-22 17:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xc5809d…
05-22 17:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x982766…
05-22 17:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x560f06…
05-15 10:39:01	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x7d5996…
05-15 08:15:03	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	157	83¢	$130	0x15d968…
05-04 19:10:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	79	33¢	$26	0x58de71…
05-04 18:04:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xa4fb13…
05-04 18:04:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xd95d2b…
05-04 18:01:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x85ee04…
05-03 09:09:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x5ea5f5…
05-02 20:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcc637e…
05-02 20:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6859fa…
05-02 20:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x477b72…
05-02 20:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4eaf32…
05-02 20:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf919b4…
05-02 20:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc70251…
05-02 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc40b82…
05-02 20:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x86ab90…
05-02 20:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x798aa8…
05-02 20:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4aaceb…
05-02 20:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd477fc…
05-02 20:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x26394c…
05-02 19:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa59523…
05-02 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x658d2a…
05-02 15:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x681ebf…
05-02 15:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0xf5a170…
05-02 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x9e0968…
05-02 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x31754c…
05-02 15:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0f87af…
05-02 15:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7bc9f1…
05-02 15:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xee8e12…
05-02 15:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb254a4…
05-02 12:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x37fae2…
05-02 12:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x368095…
05-02 12:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	195	1¢	$2	0x96d528…
05-02 12:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4a0439…
05-02 11:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf3ac1d…
05-02 11:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfe71ce…
05-02 11:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0xd788ee…
05-02 11:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x179ec2…
05-02 11:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x4da12c…
05-02 11:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x116417…
05-02 11:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd57d32…
05-02 11:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x50012a…
05-02 11:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9a54e8…
05-02 11:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x87412c…
05-02 11:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x0a540f…
05-02 11:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8c4afe…
05-02 11:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3d5ee2…
05-02 11:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x74a2df…
05-02 11:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0a5dbc…
05-02 00:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf519ac…
05-02 00:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x614386…
05-02 00:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd521d5…
05-02 00:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbd902d…
05-02 00:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6e1c8d…
05-01 21:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc7d633…
05-01 21:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6673dc…
05-01 21:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd4a19e…
05-01 21:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc77b58…
05-01 21:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd67004…
05-01 21:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc4dbfe…
05-01 21:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf4a184…
05-01 21:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcfe45d…
05-01 21:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2767e2…
05-01 21:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdb960e…
05-01 21:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x039e48…
05-01 21:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xf24370…
05-01 21:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa19f9b…
05-01 20:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5f5e42…
05-01 20:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x188edb…
05-01 20:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x56167d…
05-01 20:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x88963f…
05-01 20:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd8f9a1…
05-01 20:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	17¢	$2	0x38f948…
05-01 20:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x66cee9…
05-01 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6732cc…
05-01 20:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa71b34…
05-01 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbdc417…
05-01 20:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xeb8542…
05-01 20:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x903188…
05-01 20:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9b271a…
05-01 20:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x104c86…
05-01 20:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf0da33…
05-01 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x323048…
05-01 20:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xfa7f57…
05-01 20:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x188950…
05-01 20:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xabc437…
05-01 20:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xbc6708…
05-01 20:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x65bec1…
04-22 21:07:20	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x9c21f5…
04-22 21:02:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0x3fdd8e…
04-22 20:58:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	63	84¢	$53	0xb7c135…
04-22 20:26:42	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	379	0¢	$1	0x7ce042…
04-18 11:29:38	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xb08ddd…
04-18 11:28:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9dc3d2…