Uncomfortable-Fiddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

116

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$635

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-14 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 73% $-14

Other

4% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776090300	2	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	04-13 14:29
btc updown 5m 1776175800	5	$17	29	6	+23	open	—	04-14 14:15
btc updown 5m 1776057600	6	$15	16	8	+8	open	—	04-13 05:25
btc updown 5m 1776171600	2	$13	211	0	+211	open	—	04-14 13:04
btc updown 5m 1776068100	2	$13	11	10	+0	open	—	04-13 08:19
btc updown 5m 1776088200	1	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	04-13 13:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-13 14:14
btc updown 5m 1776087300	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-13 13:38
btc updown 5m 1776090600	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-13 14:33
btc updown 5m 1776091500	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-13 14:48
btc updown 5m 1776067500	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-13 08:07
btc updown 5m 1776087900	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-13 13:48
btc updown 5m 1776067200	2	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	04-13 08:04
btc updown 5m 1776087600	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 13:44
btc updown 5m 1776171900	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-14 13:07
btc updown 5m 1776169500	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-14 12:29
btc updown 5m 1776091200	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-13 14:43
btc updown 5m 1776090000	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-13 14:23
btc updown 5m 1776087000	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$10	33	33	+0	open	—	05-01 19:13
btc updown 5m 1776066600	2	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	04-13 07:54
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	4	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	08-02 15:55
btc updown 5m 1776068400	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-13 08:23
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	07-15 20:24
btc updown 5m 1776065700	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 07:38
btc updown 5m 1776069300	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	04-13 08:37
btc updown 5m 1776067800	1	$6	25	0	+25	open	—	04-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$8	05-10 13:14
btc updown 5m 1776065100	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-5	05-10 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 15:00:16	cs2 b8 vit 2026 08 14 game2	Vitality	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0f2f26…
08-02 15:55:00	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	MOUZ	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0d85b2…
08-02 11:46:44	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x01efc2…
08-02 11:45:05	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	MOUZ	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1db06e…
08-01 19:18:11	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x75818b…
08-01 05:35:47	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	Spirit	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc0e64c…
07-15 20:24:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x54f7a3…
07-14 19:03:41	cs2 hon1 meg1 2026 07 14 game2	megoshort	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xbce009…
07-14 19:00:58	cs2 hon1 meg1 2026 07 14 game2	megoshort	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x873426…
07-14 18:39:28	btc updown 5m 1784054100	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x90a909…
07-14 18:38:55	btc updown 5m 1784054100	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x084314…
07-14 18:28:56	btc updown 5m 1784053500	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8a5492…
07-14 18:28:10	btc updown 5m 1784053500	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd32748…
06-30 21:33:55	btc updown 5m 1782855000	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf5bff8…
06-02 13:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc02d50…
06-02 13:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x560977…
06-02 12:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xea7ccd…
06-02 12:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x315c51…
06-02 12:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x6499c1…
06-02 12:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb324c2…
06-02 12:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xcc7be5…
06-02 12:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xd73c3b…
06-02 12:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x091d6d…
06-02 12:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5840c9…
06-02 12:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd0fa32…
06-02 12:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xf651b6…
06-02 12:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfe7f94…
06-02 12:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x13e6d9…
06-01 14:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x94a13c…
06-01 14:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc6862e…
06-01 13:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0b2c68…
05-29 23:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2d8e6e…
05-29 23:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf0b24e…
05-29 23:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf4c08f…
05-29 23:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3cfc79…
05-29 23:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe22fd8…
05-29 22:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x46017a…
05-29 22:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3f6ed7…
05-29 22:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x423184…
05-29 22:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0186ef…
05-29 22:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7d45c0…
05-29 21:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x62be41…
05-29 21:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xaebc1d…
05-29 21:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x83ffbe…
05-29 21:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd673e7…
05-29 21:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc75a18…
05-29 21:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd5f1c0…
05-29 20:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x116d6a…
05-29 20:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x19af00…
05-29 20:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x095f3f…
05-29 20:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x65ff78…
05-29 20:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf99194…
05-29 19:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf5351d…
05-29 19:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x97f129…
05-29 19:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x98cf63…
05-29 19:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf02b8a…
05-19 21:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x49f49d…
05-19 20:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8c4bbb…
05-19 20:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6bcaba…
05-19 20:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x149b5a…
05-19 20:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfbc3c4…
05-19 19:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x331c14…
05-19 19:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa13dbb…
05-19 19:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6cb883…
05-19 19:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xca934c…
05-19 19:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xecabf4…
05-19 19:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9d0700…
05-15 21:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3dc2ce…
05-15 21:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6e80a0…
05-15 21:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x89d129…
05-15 21:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf87e08…
05-15 20:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbaaa43…
05-15 20:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xce1383…
05-15 20:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xaeb8d4…
05-15 20:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8d5b32…
05-15 20:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0a7d31…
05-15 20:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x33c92e…
05-15 20:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x36380f…
05-15 19:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x063b52…
05-15 19:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x633306…
05-15 19:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7c1c3c…
05-15 19:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x18420d…
05-15 19:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcef93a…
05-12 22:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6cb061…
05-12 22:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7a4018…
05-12 21:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfe7310…
05-12 21:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc8ef32…
05-12 20:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2f07b5…
05-12 19:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xca8aa6…
05-12 19:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7942ad…
05-12 19:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3bf54b…
05-12 18:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3e1330…
05-12 18:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x04cbfa…
05-12 18:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcd1261…
05-12 13:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbfbbb2…
05-12 13:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x768bb2…
05-12 11:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x559579…
05-12 11:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4441ff…
05-12 11:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1cbb64…
05-12 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4103a3…