Insignificant-Cornmeal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-07 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$0

Other

43% — —

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	9	$1.5K	767	767	+0	open	—	04-17 05:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$1.4K	710	710	+0	open	—	04-09 09:13
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-20 11:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-09 05:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$1.1K	550	550	-0	open	—	04-28 09:42
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	2	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-20 13:17
Trump out as President by April 30?	6	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	04-17 08:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	6	$1.0K	510	510	+0	open	—	04-27 15:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$992	800	800	+0	open	—	04-20 11:49
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	3	$958	600	600	+0	open	—	04-21 06:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$393	200	200	+0	open	—	04-02 13:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	8	$387	200	200	+0	open	—	04-02 08:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$383	200	200	+0	open	—	04-06 05:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$382	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 13:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$360	200	200	+0	open	—	04-02 13:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$338	200	200	+0	open	—	04-06 05:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$254	128	128	+0	open	—	03-30 06:00
will trump visit china by march 31	8	$249	126	126	+0	open	—	03-30 06:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	6	$203	102	102	+0	open	—	03-28 13:45
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-02 13:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 19:03
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 15:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	04-02 08:42
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	12	$148	150	112	+38	open	—	03-11 17:35
will kiss all the time disco occasionally harry styles debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k	9	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	03-11 20:29
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	07-22 08:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	07-22 08:22
will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	7	$97	92	92	+0	open	—	07-22 08:37
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$95	0	100	-100	open	—	05-07 14:32
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	3	$81	68	68	+0	open	—	05-19 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 05:44:40	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xad79ba…
08-07 05:43:58	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x316788…
08-07 05:41:30	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x507543…
08-07 05:33:58	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x92ba11…
08-07 05:32:01	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x574d66…
08-07 05:22:27	btc updown 15m 1786079700	Up	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x29deaa…
08-07 05:22:27	btc updown 15m 1786079700	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x1b8a43…
08-07 05:22:27	btc updown 15m 1786079700	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x0f9bc9…
08-07 05:20:36	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x81f7ca…
08-07 05:17:33	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x309acf…
08-07 05:14:31	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x9fb1d3…
08-07 05:13:58	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x29e7bd…
08-07 05:13:55	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x540e45…
08-07 05:13:52	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x93e6b5…
08-07 05:10:54	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf00c62…
08-07 05:06:21	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Up	SELL	47	39¢	$18	0xab07f5…
08-07 05:05:28	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x4b1589…
08-07 05:05:07	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xa87d02…
08-01 05:25:18	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x7c9bf0…
08-01 05:25:09	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x709036…
08-01 05:24:50	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xc9cbfe…
08-01 05:24:48	will byron buxton be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533466	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x014e7e…
08-01 05:24:35	will byron buxton be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533466	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2ca3e1…
08-01 05:24:27	will byron buxton be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533466	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xe41470…
08-01 05:24:14	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x9c9855…
08-01 05:21:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xa942dc…
08-01 05:20:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x51e03e…
08-01 05:15:03	will byron buxton be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533466	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8ac0c2…
08-01 05:14:20	will byron buxton be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533466	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbf2433…
08-01 05:09:51	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xb4ef6b…
08-01 05:08:32	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4e69aa…
08-01 05:03:38	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xe018cd…
08-01 05:03:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x02a941…
08-01 05:01:12	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xf030f2…
08-01 05:00:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd471e6…
08-01 05:00:09	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xfb2a51…
08-01 04:59:11	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x064c2c…
08-01 04:58:00	will byron buxton be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533466	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x7ae3e1…
07-24 07:42:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 25 20260723195817184	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x5aefbd…
07-24 07:42:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 25 20260723195817184	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x49e6b0…
07-24 07:38:33	spce quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt64	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x26a982…
07-24 07:36:34	spce quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt64	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x82f412…
07-24 07:36:25	mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt33	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x834ba6…
07-24 07:34:31	mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt33	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x5ca816…
07-24 07:25:31	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155813230	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xc49042…
07-24 07:23:25	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155813230	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x9ab2ec…
07-24 07:23:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xac3eb4…
07-24 07:20:54	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xe80658…
07-24 07:20:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf0f4c0…
07-24 07:19:24	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xadbd3c…
07-24 07:14:00	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xa6edad…
07-24 07:12:25	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x6b41e5…
07-24 07:01:58	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xc164d1…
07-24 07:01:19	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xe805e0…
07-24 06:58:13	ionq quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt59	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x1ff222…
07-24 06:56:37	ionq quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt59	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe38173…
07-24 06:48:04	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x2ff4f4…
07-24 06:47:04	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x230ca7…
07-24 06:29:49	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xf1c50e…
07-24 06:29:18	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x89df94…
07-24 06:28:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 26 20260723195838193	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x202de6…
07-24 06:27:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xd633ff…
07-24 06:27:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x1da0d7…
07-24 06:26:48	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xa784b4…
07-24 06:25:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 26 20260723195838193	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x95d3d6…
07-24 06:24:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xeb6f32…
07-24 06:22:19	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x516167…
07-24 06:21:34	will trump say biden 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255808	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x1fba5d…
07-24 06:20:51	will trump say biden 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255808	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0xaba104…
07-24 06:20:15	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0xcfb4d4…
07-24 06:18:51	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$1	0x9326d9…
07-24 05:42:22	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x6b5880…
07-24 05:42:15	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xdce938…
07-22 08:42:42	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xb68833…
07-22 08:42:15	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x93f055…
07-22 08:37:06	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xa89e52…
07-22 08:33:58	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x2e3ae4…
07-22 08:24:09	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0xfe00f1…
07-22 08:23:39	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xa1094b…
07-22 08:23:39	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x1c37a8…
07-22 08:22:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x17dd2e…
07-22 08:21:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc9d862…
07-22 08:18:28	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0xaa225c…
07-22 08:16:51	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0xcc00fa…
07-22 08:12:58	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x193925…
07-22 08:12:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x821c57…
07-22 08:12:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xbfbc78…
07-22 08:10:31	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xcb1c6a…
07-22 08:09:36	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xd5299c…
07-22 08:09:18	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x27779e…
06-29 08:01:55	will msft reach 382 50 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x6f1c44…
06-29 07:05:43	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x3874c0…
06-29 05:39:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xe653f0…
06-29 05:39:46	will rklb reach 88 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x0ec7c5…
06-29 05:36:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x96b7ef…
06-29 05:36:44	will rklb reach 88 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x474d17…
06-29 05:29:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x073e8c…
06-29 05:27:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x9d0faf…
06-29 05:18:41	will msft reach 382 50 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xaf7cec…
06-29 05:15:02	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x4271cb…