Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

40.6%

Resolved

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$691

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-22 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$0

Other

31% — —

Crypto

17% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+42	$25	96¢	$40	+$15	06-22 05:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	2	$42	41	41	+0	open	—	01-26 19:27
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	02-28 07:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	02-28 07:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$25	42	0	+42	open	—	06-22 05:40
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	4	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	01-14 15:44
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	01-23 19:26
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$19	75	75	+0	open	—	01-31 06:01
iran strike on qatar by january 31 2026 222	2	$18	40	40	+0	open	—	01-31 06:01
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$18	114	0	+114	open	—	03-02 13:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	03-01 06:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$15	36	0	+36	open	—	02-28 07:10
btc updown 5m 1773952800	4	$13	43	0	+43	open	—	03-19 20:44
btc updown 5m 1773953400	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	03-19 20:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-02 16:10
starmer out by june 22 2026	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	06-21 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-21 20:24
btc updown 5m 1773953100	3	$10	56	6	+50	open	—	03-19 20:48
btc updown 5m 1782163200	6	$10	47	0	+47	open	—	06-22 21:22
btc updown 5m 1782073200	9	$9	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	06-21 20:26
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	1	$9	36	0	+36	open	—	01-14 20:08
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	3	$9	17	3	+14	open	—	02-28 07:02
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	03-01 06:43
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	4	$8	201	201	+0	open	—	03-08 21:24
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	01-21 20:49
btc updown 5m 1782073500	7	$7	24	0	+24	open	—	06-21 20:29
nothing ever happens january 581	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	01-31 06:01
will turkey strike iran by march 31	2	$6	177	0	+177	open	—	03-01 12:18
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	3	$6	59	0	+59	open	—	02-28 06:34
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	02-28 07:09
btc updown 5m 1773964500	3	$5	9	4	+5	open	—	03-19 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 21:22:25	btc updown 5m 1782163200	Up	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x4763e4…
06-22 21:22:14	btc updown 5m 1782163200	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb2bec7…
06-22 21:22:08	btc updown 5m 1782163200	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x39a086…
06-22 21:22:05	btc updown 5m 1782163200	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1dfecc…
06-22 21:21:44	btc updown 5m 1782163200	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd44b2e…
06-22 21:21:08	btc updown 5m 1782163200	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb15f2b…
06-22 05:40:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x57daf3…
06-21 20:32:17	btc updown 5m 1782073800	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xebdb9b…
06-21 20:32:11	btc updown 5m 1782073800	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb274f0…
06-21 20:32:08	btc updown 5m 1782073800	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xed7744…
06-21 20:32:07	btc updown 5m 1782073800	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9f9c73…
06-21 20:32:05	btc updown 5m 1782073800	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xee59ad…
06-21 20:29:31	btc updown 5m 1782073500	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x74e03b…
06-21 20:29:19	btc updown 5m 1782073500	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc6381c…
06-21 20:29:16	btc updown 5m 1782073500	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8e8e25…
06-21 20:27:58	btc updown 5m 1782073500	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdb856e…
06-21 20:27:14	btc updown 5m 1782073500	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2812bd…
06-21 20:27:11	btc updown 5m 1782073500	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8b6334…
06-21 20:27:01	btc updown 5m 1782073500	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x136b13…
06-21 20:26:17	btc updown 5m 1782073200	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe40411…
06-21 20:26:17	btc updown 5m 1782073200	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9d0dc6…
06-21 20:26:16	btc updown 5m 1782073200	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdd8569…
06-21 20:26:16	btc updown 5m 1782073200	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9f128e…
06-21 20:26:14	btc updown 5m 1782073200	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb527aa…
06-21 20:26:14	btc updown 5m 1782073200	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9060b2…
06-21 20:26:14	btc updown 5m 1782073200	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x266e8d…
06-21 20:26:13	btc updown 5m 1782073200	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9dbacb…
06-21 20:26:13	btc updown 5m 1782073200	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x629071…
06-21 20:24:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb1981f…
06-21 20:23:40	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x923e5a…
05-07 21:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x11ffd2…
05-07 21:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe4c5e5…
05-07 20:56:04	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2271fe…
05-07 20:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x218605…
04-02 16:10:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xcd54ef…
03-21 18:45:59	btc updown 5m 1774118700	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x96b012…
03-21 18:44:07	btc updown 5m 1774118400	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x11c739…
03-19 23:59:03	btc updown 5m 1773964500	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6ea427…
03-19 23:58:51	btc updown 5m 1773964500	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xdd72de…
03-19 23:56:47	btc updown 5m 1773964500	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x749cb8…
03-19 23:50:35	btc updown 5m 1773964200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe626cc…
03-19 23:50:11	btc updown 5m 1773963900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb517d3…
03-19 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1773954000	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xadf56d…
03-19 20:57:11	btc updown 5m 1773953700	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2bc12b…
03-19 20:55:45	btc updown 5m 1773953700	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xec0171…
03-19 20:54:53	btc updown 5m 1773953400	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x69914b…
03-19 20:50:47	btc updown 5m 1773953400	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xbe2ef8…
03-19 20:48:57	btc updown 5m 1773953100	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8fd488…
03-19 20:48:47	btc updown 5m 1773953100	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x7fc014…
03-19 20:45:57	btc updown 5m 1773953100	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x6d50e4…
03-19 20:44:09	btc updown 5m 1773952800	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xebe7e5…
03-19 20:42:37	btc updown 5m 1773952800	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2c60e9…
03-19 20:41:03	btc updown 5m 1773952800	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdfa24a…
03-19 20:40:29	btc updown 5m 1773952800	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd14187…
03-19 20:35:47	btc updown 5m 1773952500	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x53c655…
03-18 22:08:21	btc updown 5m 1773871500	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf33fd7…
03-18 22:06:09	btc updown 5m 1773871500	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb23700…
03-18 22:02:37	btc updown 5m 1773871200	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6eacff…
03-18 22:01:09	btc updown 5m 1773871200	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9e48f1…
03-18 22:00:39	btc updown 5m 1773871200	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x534f4b…
03-18 21:57:51	btc updown 5m 1773870900	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbe7950…
03-18 21:55:43	btc updown 5m 1773870900	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb0262c…
03-18 21:54:53	btc updown 5m 1773870600	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x49afbb…
03-18 21:53:49	btc updown 5m 1773870600	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x959186…
03-18 21:52:01	btc updown 5m 1773870600	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x85afea…
03-18 21:49:57	btc updown 5m 1773870300	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x7431d8…
03-18 21:48:39	btc updown 5m 1773870300	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x02f3a2…
03-18 21:44:43	btc updown 5m 1773870000	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf96934…
03-18 21:44:21	btc updown 5m 1773870000	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa97c61…
03-18 21:41:33	btc updown 5m 1773870000	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4119bd…
03-18 21:40:39	btc updown 5m 1773870000	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x056051…
03-18 21:37:49	btc updown 5m 1773869700	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xed9d8d…
03-18 21:35:21	btc updown 5m 1773869700	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1a66e2…
03-18 21:34:21	btc updown 5m 1773869400	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x408e28…
03-18 21:32:25	btc updown 5m 1773869400	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9b7c28…
03-18 21:32:19	btc updown 5m 1773869400	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8c86f6…
03-18 21:32:15	btc updown 5m 1773869400	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x41c26b…
03-18 21:29:35	btc updown 5m 1773869100	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x14ebc2…
03-18 21:28:03	btc updown 5m 1773869100	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0d3606…
03-18 21:26:13	btc updown 5m 1773869100	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3c6402…
03-18 21:26:03	btc updown 5m 1773869100	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf16d3a…
03-18 21:23:05	btc updown 5m 1773868800	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9f22b4…
03-18 21:21:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3c049f…
03-18 21:21:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa2289f…
03-18 21:20:21	btc updown 5m 1773868800	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc1abd7…
03-14 16:25:21	will trump say hillary or clinton this week march 22	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1d925b…
03-14 16:25:11	will trump say armada this week march 22	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf57ef8…
03-14 16:24:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x279741…
03-14 16:24:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x12deae…
03-11 11:09:37	north korea missile test by march 31 472	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9c2c7f…
03-08 21:24:49	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	201	2¢	$3	0x94349c…
03-08 21:22:39	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0xa228ac…
03-08 19:42:15	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x38b015…
03-08 19:42:07	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd838ba…
03-08 19:42:01	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4151b6…
03-08 19:41:59	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xe9077b…
03-08 18:04:21	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xc6c5c5…
03-05 18:14:37	kristi noem out by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc7967e…
03-04 08:05:49	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x78a553…
03-04 08:05:47	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x9b3c9a…