Hollow-Characteristic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$56

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-08 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 48% $-4

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-08 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$5	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3	$3	501	1	+500	Down	$-1	05-08 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Up	$-2	05-07 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-05 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-06 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Up	$-1	05-06 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Down	$-1	05-06 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Up	$-1	05-07 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-07 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 06:04:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x1432ed…
05-08 05:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x531ea4…
05-08 05:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1962b0…
05-08 05:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe49968…
05-07 09:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd306f9…
05-07 09:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6c14ba…
05-07 06:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x35027d…
05-07 05:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x928f72…
05-06 21:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x886cdf…
05-06 21:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbb7ee0…
05-06 15:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x4fcb5c…
05-06 15:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc79226…
05-06 15:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x1a0682…
05-06 15:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x513d1b…
05-06 15:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x23b186…
05-06 15:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x927e33…
05-06 15:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7e0d8d…
05-06 15:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac9ece…
05-06 15:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0b9e62…
05-06 15:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x46874f…
05-06 14:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xbd021c…
05-06 14:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x75dbda…
05-06 06:50:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xae940f…
05-06 06:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf534d2…
05-06 01:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x086db5…
05-06 00:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x293056…
05-06 00:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x094498…
05-06 00:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xf6a3a7…
05-06 00:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcbb416…
05-06 00:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xf5ab1b…
05-06 00:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4e9291…
05-05 23:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x98c3c8…
05-05 23:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x981284…
05-05 23:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x6c426d…
05-05 23:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0cf447…
05-05 23:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf75d84…
05-05 22:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x20349f…
05-05 22:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x29cdb0…
05-05 22:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x272d14…
05-05 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xede347…
05-05 22:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9469ab…
05-05 22:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x493060…
05-05 22:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7c071f…
05-05 19:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcb1d0e…