Poised-Scarecrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$193

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-03 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 55% +$5

Other

3% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$15	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	5	$12	13	12	+1	Down	+$3	05-13 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	06-03 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-14 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$7	11	9	+2	Up	+$1	05-13 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$7	9	7	+1	Up	+$2	05-12 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$7	8	7	+1	Down	$-1	05-14 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$6	18	3	+14	Up	+$0	05-13 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$6	103	3	+100	Down	$-0	05-12 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	5	$6	54	4	+50	Up	$-0	05-13 03:59
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	2	$5	4	4	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$2	05-13 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$4	5	3	+2	Up	$-2	05-13 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$4	7	3	+4	Up	$-2	05-14 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$4	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3	$3	4	3	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 20:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 16:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x0d3c25…
06-03 16:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x153720…
05-14 01:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6d43cb…
05-14 01:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5670fc…
05-14 01:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x786768…
05-14 01:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x64d689…
05-14 00:34:05	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0x245e52…
05-14 00:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x16cff7…
05-14 00:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x6214e8…
05-14 00:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x14a6ab…
05-14 00:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x28c9ce…
05-14 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd68dfc…
05-14 00:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x259dae…
05-14 00:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8d6093…
05-14 00:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xd39a92…
05-14 00:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x674f38…
05-14 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x410d80…
05-14 00:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfe6724…
05-13 22:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xccb6b6…
05-13 22:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8bad85…
05-13 21:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x963999…
05-13 21:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xdc38b6…
05-13 21:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaed4fe…
05-13 21:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x507742…
05-13 21:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0xd5aeb0…
05-13 21:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x8327d1…
05-13 21:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x22a73f…
05-13 21:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x65acc7…
05-13 21:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3a50b3…
05-13 21:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xa68a0c…
05-13 21:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd08e25…
05-13 21:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd614b9…
05-13 21:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf9bed8…
05-13 21:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x41311c…
05-13 21:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x765bc5…
05-13 21:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xde678e…
05-13 21:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x04832c…
05-13 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5ccfe8…
05-13 21:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa60153…
05-13 21:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb9136c…
05-13 21:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x893359…
05-13 20:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x391efc…
05-13 20:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0x1062a7…
05-13 20:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0b5f01…
05-13 20:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x130208…
05-13 20:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdf50e9…
05-13 20:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x55af6d…
05-13 20:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xd0a13d…
05-13 20:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x875b1e…
05-13 20:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xa3a4fd…
05-13 20:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xff8249…
05-13 20:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x977ee8…
05-13 20:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xf756ae…
05-13 20:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb8e473…
05-13 20:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x3b99f0…
05-13 20:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xab9578…
05-13 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfa55fa…
05-13 20:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xb95a5a…
05-13 20:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4b4624…
05-13 20:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9ac569…
05-13 20:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x930bc3…
05-13 20:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8455d8…
05-13 19:49:41	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Royal Challengers Bangalore	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x0571d8…
05-13 04:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe1019a…
05-13 03:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa35fbe…
05-13 03:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xb5b1fb…
05-13 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x802c5d…
05-13 03:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x41f32c…
05-13 03:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd14125…
05-13 03:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x8b0dec…
05-13 03:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa3bf53…
05-13 03:43:37	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd6c538…
05-12 20:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xb46034…
05-12 20:42:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd38a20…
05-12 20:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x59eeb0…
05-12 20:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe6d74a…
05-12 20:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x280571…
05-12 20:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe08ea9…
05-12 20:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xd67c8e…
05-12 20:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x86191d…
05-12 20:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xcf1af4…
05-12 20:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2b5725…
05-12 17:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x36ceb4…
05-12 17:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0f4af0…
05-12 17:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xe997b7…
05-12 17:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xacf4be…
05-12 17:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x246a18…
05-12 17:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x021388…
05-12 17:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x055e19…
05-12 17:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x335645…
05-12 17:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x9a2cb0…
05-12 17:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4b9990…
05-12 04:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4ec5eb…
05-12 04:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6e5a27…
05-12 04:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa9c68e…
05-12 04:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x52b9ca…
05-12 04:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7c6a3d…
05-12 04:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf67621…
05-12 04:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xbfa834…
05-12 04:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfadd2d…