Sociable-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$561

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-06 10:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 14% $-461

Sports

33% 0% $-100

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$247	245	225	+20	Up	+$47	05-06 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$200	392	0	+392	Down	$-200	05-06 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$200	501	0	+501	Down	$-200	05-06 10:55
nba lal okc 2026 04 02	1	$200	833	0	+833	open	—	04-03 01:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$199	161	161	+0	open	—	04-03 01:30
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$193	625	619	+6	open	—	04-03 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$100	275	0	+275	Up	$-100	05-06 10:51
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$100	667	0	+667	Thunder	$-100	05-06 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$47	227	227	+0	Down	$-3	05-06 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 07:49
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$5	0	110	-110	open	—	04-03 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-06 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 10:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x597b2e…
05-06 10:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x0cd350…
05-06 10:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	275	36¢	$100	0x55dece…
05-06 10:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x9b9371…
05-06 10:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0x4f57ec…
05-06 10:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xae2cba…
05-06 10:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	225	61¢	$137	0x87675e…
05-06 10:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x747c2e…
05-06 07:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x140e2e…
05-06 07:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	163	10¢	$16	0xc0791a…
05-06 07:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	36	13¢	$5	0x8e04c5…
05-06 07:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xdab3fa…
05-06 07:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x0d1dd6…
05-06 07:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb9d4b4…
05-06 07:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd121c6…
05-06 02:14:50	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x7a6195…
04-03 01:31:25	nba lal okc 2026 04 02	Lakers	BUY	833	24¢	$200	0x2b5328…
04-03 01:30:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	161	66¢	$107	0xd3776b…
04-03 01:30:55	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	110	5¢	$5	0xabb52c…
04-03 01:30:47	Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	619	15¢	$93	0xdfdaef…
04-01 05:21:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	161	57¢	$92	0xd171c3…
04-01 05:20:47	Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x88bad9…