Confused-Tub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 04-27 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-3

Sports

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	8	$1.7K	867	867	+0	No	$-1	04-10 16:10
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	8	$1.5K	746	746	+0	No	$-1	04-17 02:23
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$932	467	467	+0	open	—	04-06 07:11
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$822	412	412	+0	open	—	04-20 11:42
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$786	394	394	+0	No	$-0	04-08 20:41
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$766	384	384	+0	open	—	04-05 20:58
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$708	355	355	+0	open	—	04-01 11:08
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	4	$688	345	345	+0	open	—	04-19 21:52
will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$508	255	254	+0	open	—	03-22 20:08
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$486	244	244	+0	open	—	03-31 04:15
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	2	$486	243	243	+0	open	—	03-27 05:58
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$480	240	240	+0	open	—	03-14 00:58
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$478	239	239	+0	open	—	02-26 05:01
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$476	238	238	+0	open	—	03-13 10:25
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	03-17 19:41
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$444	223	223	+0	open	—	04-13 02:38
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$440	220	220	+0	open	—	02-27 01:31
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$436	218	218	+0	open	—	03-01 15:24
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$430	215	215	+0	open	—	03-24 07:31
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$428	215	215	+0	No	$-0	04-13 21:27
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$426	213	213	+0	open	—	04-14 12:37
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$426	213	213	+0	No	$-0	04-13 18:14
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$422	211	211	+0	No	$-0	03-21 08:29
will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$420	211	211	+0	open	—	03-25 05:03
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$416	208	208	+0	open	—	02-28 01:02
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$404	202	202	+0	open	—	03-14 15:25
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$398	199	199	+0	open	—	03-16 09:02
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	02-13 13:55
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$388	194	194	+0	open	—	03-15 18:59
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$387	194	194	+0	open	—	03-01 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 17:00:30	Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xf83ae0…
04-27 14:38:58	Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xcb1487…
04-27 14:38:44	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0x53c66f…
04-27 11:58:04	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x8853f4…
04-21 17:52:38	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	163	99¢	$162	0x568d85…
04-21 14:49:24	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0xd79ed1…
04-20 11:42:50	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x711f9c…
04-20 08:19:50	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x4ca3d1…
04-20 04:38:58	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xf79466…
04-19 21:52:36	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x80ab04…
04-19 20:39:20	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xd976e7…
04-17 08:21:02	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0xd042fc…
04-17 04:12:12	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x997c82…
04-17 02:23:52	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x535751…
04-16 21:41:10	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xe4e0ad…
04-14 12:37:13	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x67057f…
04-14 07:47:35	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0xdeff19…
04-13 21:27:07	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0x79b725…
04-13 18:14:43	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0x781c50…
04-13 18:14:27	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x8a257a…
04-13 12:12:35	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0xc37368…
04-13 02:38:17	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	223	99¢	$222	0xf1ac85…
04-12 23:26:55	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x9e2b7a…
04-10 16:10:29	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0x08fcfe…
04-10 13:45:59	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x48bf14…
04-08 20:41:39	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x173bd2…
04-08 16:37:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x5fa854…
04-08 06:07:43	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd54801…
04-07 14:34:33	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0xd340e5…
04-07 10:11:03	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0xabed87…
04-06 21:27:13	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0xf851ff…
04-06 17:46:37	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x2693bf…
04-06 17:46:21	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x6f5101…
04-06 15:30:35	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x0f0cf5…
04-06 07:11:53	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x8861e3…
04-06 03:52:47	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x8e0d42…
04-05 20:58:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0xf21bc8…
04-05 16:18:03	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x8b2488…
04-05 09:14:25	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$197	0x7495ba…
04-05 04:34:37	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0x78c761…
04-03 18:08:31	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0x76d77b…
04-03 14:40:43	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x2dc2e6…
04-03 13:14:47	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$183	0x4165ec…
04-03 07:22:17	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x06d85a…
04-01 11:08:25	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x9653cc…
04-01 06:58:07	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x08f6b5…
03-31 16:45:57	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5fc7c2…
03-31 09:16:35	will silver si hit high 95 by end of march	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa9a341…
03-31 04:15:55	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0xec5078…
03-31 00:15:29	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0xec88d4…
03-30 17:25:29	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$197	0xcc60a4…
03-30 11:41:48	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0x48141d…
03-28 16:36:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xd10093…
03-28 13:08:55	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x8fe6be…
03-27 05:58:55	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0xbb8133…
03-26 22:55:45	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0xd31bf9…
03-26 01:34:15	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x3b2ead…
03-25 19:29:25	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xc4f143…
03-25 19:29:07	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x4e89f1…
03-25 12:10:13	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x8209ca…
03-25 05:03:37	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0x30c2a4…
03-24 21:52:53	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x045d7d…
03-24 07:31:25	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0x2a0685…
03-24 00:31:59	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x66fd79…
03-23 17:23:31	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$185	0x56da77…
03-23 10:17:51	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0xab8ecc…
03-23 03:08:47	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0xcc277d…
03-22 20:08:39	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x1077e0…
03-22 20:08:19	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0xa1cced…
03-22 13:06:33	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0xb81d10…
03-21 08:29:53	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x146cb8…
03-21 01:24:05	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x23508e…
03-21 01:23:45	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$242	0x5a908e…
03-20 18:08:59	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x68eb9c…
03-17 19:41:57	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0xd8a80a…
03-17 12:42:23	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xb3ab86…
03-17 12:42:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x541f60…
03-17 05:48:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xbf5927…
03-16 09:02:17	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0x31a716…
03-16 02:06:13	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x468423…
03-15 18:59:53	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0xeb7daf…
03-15 12:08:15	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xd19281…
03-14 22:20:07	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0xe96049…
03-14 15:25:51	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0xbdc785…
03-14 15:25:33	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x70c13a…
03-14 08:37:43	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x12e6d3…
03-14 08:37:25	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0xdd04dc…
03-14 01:43:31	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x98ed23…
03-14 00:58:31	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x53ea4e…
03-13 18:52:31	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xdbca49…
03-13 10:25:21	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	238	100¢	$238	0xc29931…
03-12 14:15:37	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x1606c1…
03-11 16:31:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	190	100¢	$189	0x0a1433…
03-11 09:36:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x10b6e7…
03-08 18:37:13	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 2 8	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xfa1ed8…
03-05 13:26:17	nba nop sac 2026 03 05	Pelicans	BUY	36	65¢	$23	0x06d6ce…
03-04 21:06:15	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Knicks	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0x382d31…
03-04 21:05:43	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x7012d2…
03-04 21:05:09	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Pacers	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0xd0f968…
03-04 14:19:17	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$197	0x7b5872…